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CHAPTER 9 Sampling Distributions

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Presentation on theme: "CHAPTER 9 Sampling Distributions"β€” Presentation transcript:

1 CHAPTER 9 Sampling Distributions
9.2 Sample Proportions

2 Sample Proportions FIND the mean and standard deviation of the sampling distribution of a sample proportion. CHECK the 10% condition before calculating the standard deviation of the sample proportions. DETERMINE if the sampling distribution of sample proportions is approximately Normal. If appropriate, use a Normal distribution to CALCULATE probabilities involving a sample proportion.

3 Proportions – Review Symbols/Vocab
𝑝 =

4 The Sampling Distribution of
Consider the approximate sampling distributions generated by a simulation in which SRSs of Reese’s Pieces are drawn from a population whose proportion of orange candies is What do you notice about the shape, center, and spread of each? Population n=5 n=20 n=50 Shape Unknown Center Spread

5 The Sampling Distribution of
What did you notice about the shape, center, and spread of each sampling distribution? These are general observations. We will get more specific in a few minutes. Shape: The sampling distribution of 𝑝 can be approximated by a Normal curve in certain circumstances. This depends on the values of n and 𝑝 RULE: As long as npβ‰₯10 and n(1-p)β‰₯10, the sampling distribution of 𝑝 can be approximated by a Normal curve

6 The Sampling Distribution of
What did you notice about the shape, center, and spread of each sampling distribution?

7 The Sampling Distribution of
What did you notice about the shape, center, and spread of each sampling distribution? **This formula can only be used when the sample size is no more than 10% of the population size n ≀ (1/10)N**

8 The Sampling Distribution of
In Chapter 8, we learned that the mean and standard deviation of a binomial random variable X are As sample size increases, the spread decreases.

9 The Sampling Distribution of
Sampling Distribution of a Sample Proportion As n increases, the sampling distribution becomes approximately Normal. Before you perform Normal calculations, check that the Normal condition is satisfied: np β‰₯ 10 and n(1 – p) β‰₯ 10.

10 The Sampling Distribution of

11 Example: Planning for College
The superintendent of a large school district wants to know what proportion of middle school students in her district are planning to attend a four-year college or university. Suppose that 80% of all middle school students in her district are planning to attend a four-year college or university. Problem: What is the probability that an SRS of size 125 will give a result within 7 percentage points of the true value? Step 1) Define the parameter: p = Step 2) Determine the mean and standard deviation (10% rule!) and verify that the sampling distribution is approx Normal. 𝝁 𝒑 = Check 10% Rule: 𝝈 𝒑 = Check Normality Condition (np β‰₯ 10 and n(1 – p) β‰₯ 10)

12 Example: Planning for College
The superintendent of a large school district wants to know what proportion of middle school students in her district are planning to attend a four-year college or university. Suppose that 80% of all middle school students in her district are planning to attend a four-year college or university. Problem: What is the probability that an SRS of size 125 will give a result within 7 percentage points of the true value? The sampling distribution of p-hat is approximately Normal with 𝝁 𝒑 = 0.8 and 𝝈 𝒑 = 0.036 Step3) Calculations! Step4) Conclusions:

13 Sample Proportions FIND the mean and standard deviation of the sampling distribution of a sample proportion. CHECK the 10% condition before calculating the standard deviation of the sample proportions. DETERMINE if the sampling distribution of sample proportions is approximately Normal. If appropriate, use a Normal distribution to CALCULATE probabilities involving a sample proportion.


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