1. A PERFORMANCE BASED GLOBAL AIR NAVIGATION SYSTEM: PART II
TRANSITION
Jim Nagle
Chief/CNS
ICAO
26 March 2007
SPans2007

2. Presentation outline Pick up on previous presentation
What’s possible today
Transition strategy to a global air navigation system
Performance objectives
Air navigation integrated programme
Conclusions

3. A Few Simple Questions
What operational capability cannot be accomplished with today’s infrastructure?
Is the limitation in the aircraft?
Is the limitation lack of services?
Is the limitation regulatory?
I’d like to begin with a few simple questions. While I realize the answers to these questions may not be so simple it is the answers to these questions that form the basis for the transition strategy to a performance based system.
What operational capability cannot be accomplished with today’s infrastructure?
Is the limitation in the aircraft?
Is the limitation lack of services?
Is the limitation regulatory?
In other words is the limitation technology or policy?
It is these limitations or “GAPs” that that need to that be the focus of the programmes –and- a determining factor of what role, if any that ICAO should play.
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4. Transition Strategy
NEAR-TERM
MEDIUM-TERM
LONG-TERM
Evolution – Phase 1
Evolution – Phase 2
Evolution –Phase 3
Based on what we HAVE
today
Involves application of available procedures, processes and capabilities
Identifies potential “gap” requirements that focus
near term work program activities
Based on what we
KNOW today
Involves application of emerging procedures, processes and capabilities
Identifies “gap” requirements and drives future R&D
Based on CONCEPT expectations
Involves application of new procedures, processes and capabilities
Fills “gap” requirements and sustains continuous improvement R&D
The transition strategy incorporates three phases; Near, Medium and Long Term. At this point there are no specific timelines associated with the terms however it is desirable that target dates eventually be agreed to be able to take advantage of the application of existing and emerging procedures, processes and capabilities. The next few slides will provide an overview of the focus of each of the phases.
Overlap Period
Overlap Period
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5. Transition – Near-term
Performance Capability Gap Analysis
Establish Performance Objectives
Example:
Increase Efficiency
Enhance Capacity
Improve Safety
Enhance Cost-Effectiveness
etc
Integrate Existing Capabilities with Performance Objectives
Group GPI Sets against Performance Objectives
NEAR-TERM
Establish an Inventory of Existing Capabilities
ICAO SARPS
Industry Standards
Industry Equipage
Technology
Fleet Equipage
Evolution – Phase 1
what we HAVE today
available procedures and capabilities
identifies potential “gaps”
focus on near term work
The Phase 1 or Near term activities are focused on what we have today. These activities involve the application of available procedures, processes and capabilities. The Global Plan Initiatives (GPI’s) were derived from the joint industry project ATM Implementation Roadmap and are based on capabilities that have been implemented in today’s existing global aviation environment. GPI’s will be used as tools to support implementation and performance objectives. The Secretariat is in the process of establishing an inventory of supporting documentation that provides examples and templates that will be available to assist with implementation efforts. In establishing this inventory elements that are identified as having incomplete information will become the focus of near term work program activities and help to focus medium term activities as appropriate.
The Global Plan Initiatives
capabilities that have been implemented
What can’t be implemented?
Examples:
Use RVSM to provide additional capacity
Use datalinks to provide situational awareness
Use enhanced data reporting and analysis tools to enhance safety
Standardize cross boundary coordination procedures to enhance cost effectiveness
Utilize PBN capability to fly instrument approaches, enhancing safety [reduced CFIT] and increasing access
etc
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6. Establish an Inventory of Planned Capabilities Short-term capabilities
Transition – Medium-term
MEDIUM-TERM
MEDIUM-TERM
Evolution – Phase 2
Establish an Inventory of Planned Capabilities
Short-term capabilities +
Emerging ICAO and Industry SARPS
Emerging capabilities
Emerging Technology
etc
High-Level Performance Gap Analysis
based on what we KNOW today
application of emerging procedures, and capabilities
identifies “gaps”
drives future R&D
Establish High-Level Performance Objectives
Example:
Reduce Delay
Enhance Efficiency
Reduce Environment Effect
etc
Integrate Capabilities with High-Level Performance Objectives
The medium term effort is supported by the “gap” analysis outcomes of near term efforts.
Work programs are structured towards implementation of procedures and capabilities based on validated operational requirements and cost-benefit analyses
The focus of the Phase 2 or Medium term activities are based upon what we know today. It involves the application of emerging procedures, processes and capabilities. The caution here is that the application of emerging elements need to be aligned with the ICAO strategic initiatives, be demonstrated to provide performance enhancements and cost benefit equity to both the airplane operator and the air traffic service provider. As in Phase 1 the work programs are intended to be structured towards implementation of validated operational requirements.
Example:
Use datalink and new RNP standards to increase capacity
Use emerging flow tools and traffic prediction to reduce delay
improve engine efficiency by 10%
develop more environmentally effective route structures.
etc
Group into Operational Improvements Sets against Performance Objectives
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7. Establish an Inventory of Gap Capabilities
Transition – Long-term
LONG-TERM
LONG-TERM
Establish an Inventory of Gap Capabilities
Short- and medium-term capabilities +
Identified Gap Standards
Identified Gap Capability
etc
High-Level Performance Gap Analysis
Evolution – Phase 3
based on CONCEPT expectations
application of new procedures and capabilities
Fills “gaps”
sustains continuous improvement R&D
Establish High-Level Performance Objectives
Example:
Increase Efficiency
Enhance Capacity
Improve Safety
Enhance Cost-Effectiveness
etc
Integrate Capabilities with High-Level Performance Objectives
Long term efforts are focused on meeting the expectations of the ATM Operational Concept.
New procedures, processes and capabilities will be characterized by “Performance Standards”
Phase 3 or long term activities will be focused towards meeting the expectations of the ATM Operational Concept. Activities that will be under taken during the Phase 2 efforts will be to be aligned to the desired characteristics and performance standards established to achieve the objectives of the ATM Operational Concept.
Example:
4-D Control
Self Separation
Traffic Synchronization
etc.
Group into Operational Improvements Sets against Performance Objectives
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8. The Global Transition Roadmap
Short-Term
Medium-Term
Long-Term
Establish an Inventory of Existing Capabilities
High-Level Performance Gap Analysis
Establish an Inventory of Planned Capabilities
High-Level Performance Gap Analysis
Establish an Inventory of Gap Capabilities
High-Level Performance Gap Analysis
Current ICAO SARPS
Current Industry SARPS
Current Industry Equipage
Current Technology
Current Fleet Equipage
etc
Short-term capabilities +
Emerging ICAO and Industry SARPS
Emerging Equipage
Emerging Technology
etc
Short- and medium-term capabilities +
Identified Gap Standards
Identified Gap Capability
etc
Establish High-Level Performance Objectives
Establish High-Level Performance Objectives
Establish High-Level Performance Objectives
Example:
Enhance Capacity
Improve Safety
Enhance Cost-effectiveness
etc
Example:
Reduce Delay
Enhance Efficiency
Reduce Environment Effect
etc
Example:
Increase Efficiency
Enhance Capacity
Improve Safety
Enhance Cost-Effectiveness
etc
Integrate Capabilities with High Level Performance Objectives
Integrate Capabilities with High Level Performance Objectives
Integrate Capabilities with High Level Performance Objectives
Group into Operational Improvements Sets against Performance Objectives
Group into Operational Improvements Sets against Performance Objectives
Group into Operational Improvements Sets against Performance Objectives
Example:
Use RVSM to provide additional capacity
Use datalink and RNP to provide additional capacity
Use enhanced data reporting and analysis tools to enhance safety
Standardize cross-boundary coordination procedures to enhance cost effectiveness
Utilize GNSS capability to fly instrument approaches, enhancing safety [reduced CFIT] and increasing access
etc
Example:
Use datalink and new RNP standards to increase capacity
Use emerging flow tools and traffic prediction to reduce delay
Leverage the undertaking by OEMs to improve engine efficiency by 10% by 2010 to develop more environmentally effective route structures.
etc
Example:
4-D Control
Self Separation
Traffic Synchronization
Etc.
The Phases of the transition strategy build upon each other. The Key Performance Areas will be reviewed on a regular basis to ensure that consistency is maintained in both regional and State plans to provide global interoperability.
KPA
Notional Global Transition Roadmap
Consistency Check Against Regional Plans
On a Regular Basis
Consistency Check Against Local Plans
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9. Performance Objectives
Global Performance Objective: 
Global Performance Objectives are improvements to the Air Navigation System that are on the critical path towards the Global Operational Concept and result in a direct performance enhancement, and through which differences that are obstacles to global interoperability are resolved.  Global Performance Objectives are designed to measure the effectiveness of the transition strategy and may be used to verify consistent and harmonized progress/commitment by all stakeholders.
Regional Performance Objective: 
Regional Performance Objectives are improvements to the Air Navigation System that are required to evolve the air navigation system in support of the Global Performance Objectives, and in keeping with operating environments and priorities specific to a regional level. The regional level is defined by a division of the world into homogeneous regions with similar characteristics, a common interest in terms of performance and transition planning, and that is under by a common planning and implementation group.
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10. Global Transition Goal:
Implementation of a seamless, global air traffic management system that will enable aircraft operators to meet their planned times of departure and arrival and adhere to their preferred flight profiles with minimum constraints and without compromising agreed levels of safety.
Supported by Global Performance Objectives that:
Maintain Operational Safety
Improve System Operational Performance
Harmonize Global Interoperability
Minimize Costs
Enable Transition
Security
Environment
Ensure Separation
Physical
Time value
Infrastructure
Communications
Noise
Security
of benefit
Capacity
Information
Equipage
Scalability
Navigation
Emissions
Security
Delay
Cost benefit
Transition
Surveillance
equity
Access O
& M
Databases
The Global Performance Objectives have focus areas with associated metrics that can demonstrate tangible benefits. The focus areas will be targeted towards improvements specific to a region. For instance in the North Atlantic track system the performance objective would be to increase the percentage of flights that operate on their requested trajectory. Another example would be the optimization of the AFI route structure. The Red Carpet routes project is one effort towards achieving this objective providing results that can be measured and quantified against efficiency benefits of the improvements. This also has the added benefit of minimizing cost and providing a transition cost benefit equity. In addition these efforts are implemented in a manner that maintains operational safety, supports environmental and security concerns.
Predictability
Data exchange
Flexibility
Performance Based Regulation
Efficiency
Performance Metric Elements
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11. The ICAO Process Framework
Vision
The concepts to implement the safety and efficiency strategic objectives
Global Air Navigation Plan
Global Aviation Safety Plan
Strategy
Global Performance Initiatives (GPI)
Global Safety Initiatives (GSI)
Tactics
Action
Global and regional work plans as part of the business plan for ICAO led activities
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12. A closing question
Is it policy or technology that presents the largest GAP for near term Operational Performance Objectives?
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13. Conclusions A Performance based Air Navigation System
Part I
Putting performance into context
Evolution-from FANS to Global ATM
Global Air Navigation Plan
Global Aviation Safety Plan
Global ATM Operational Concept
Part II
What’s possible today
Transition strategy to a global air navigation system
Performance objectives
Air navigation integrated programme

14. ICAO is committed to meeting expectations of all stakeholders
ICAO is committed to meeting expectations of all stakeholders. Together we have a formidable task ahead of us: to ensure the viability of the air navigation system of the future and its continued contribution to global economic development in a safe, secure and efficient manner.