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Quasi-Experiments – Outline

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1 Quasi-Experiments – Outline
True Experiments Characteristics Threats to validity controlled by experiments Threats not controlled by experiments Obstacles to true experiments in the field Quasi-experiments The logic of quasi-experiments Non-equivalent control group design Example – Langer & Rudin (1976) Interrupted time-series design Example – Campbell (1969) Quasi

2 True Experiments - Characteristics
True experiments are characterized by: A manipulation A high degree of control An appropriate comparison (the major goal of exerting control) Manipulation in the presence of control gives you an appropriate comparison. Quasi

3 Threats to validity controlled by true experiments
History occurrence of an event other than the treatment (Campbell & Stanley, 1966) Quasi

4 Threats to validity controlled by true experiments
History Maturation participants always change as a function of time. Is change in behavior due to something else? Quasi

5 Threats to validity controlled by true experiments
History Maturation Testing improvement due to practice on a test (familiarity with procedure, or with testers expectations) Quasi

6 Threats to validity controlled by true experiments
History Maturation Testing Instrumentation especially if humans are used to assess behavior (fatigue, practice) Quasi

7 Threats to validity controlled by true experiments
History Maturation Testing Instrumentation Regression when first observation is extreme, next one is likely to be closer to the mean. Interactions with selection – one or more groups respond differently to effects of history, maturation, or instrumentation. Quasi

8 Threats to validity controlled by true experiments
History Maturation Testing Instrumentation Regression Selection if differences between groups exist from the outset of a study Interactions with selection – one or more groups respond differently to effects of history, maturation, or instrumentation. Quasi

9 Threats to validity controlled by true experiments
History Maturation Testing Instrumentation Regression Selection Mortality if exit from a study is not random, groups may end up very different Interactions with selection – one or more groups respond differently to effects of history, maturation, or instrumentation. Quasi

10 Threats to validity controlled by true experiments
History Maturation Testing Instrumentation Regression Selection Mortality Interactions of selection… with History with Maturation with Instrumentation (ceiling effects) Interactions with selection – one or more groups respond differently to effects of history, maturation, or instrumentation. Quasi

11 Note difference between these threats:
Maturation One group; performance better on post-test than on pre-test Interaction of Maturation & Selection Two or more groups Performance difference larger on post-test than on pre-test Interaction: threat to validity is that the performance difference may occur because the two groups matured at different rates (e.g., selection effect produces difference between the two groups at beginning of study, and different rates of maturation increase this difference). A true experiment controls for both kinds of threats. Quasi

12 Threats to validity not controlled by experiments
Contamination communication of information about the experiment between groups of subjects Cook & Campbell (1979): resentment ‘compensatory rivalry’ diffusion of treatment: control subjects use information given to others to change their own behavior. Contamination could lead to lowered performance in a control group if they ‘lose heart’ because they are not getting a desirable treatment; it may also lead to a spirit of competition. Quasi

13 Contamination – an example
Craven, Marsh, Debus, & Jayasinghe (2001) Journal of Educational Psychology Teachers trained to improve students’ academic self-concept through praise Internal control External control Quasi

14 Contamination – an example
Craven, Marsh, Debus, & Jayasinghe (2001) Next slide shows T2 (post-test) academic self-concept scores as a function of T1 scores for control children only. Quasi

15 T2 acad self concept 1.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 -1.0 No diffusion Resentful demoralization? Overzealous cooperation? Low focus group consistently higher than external control Diffusion Low Medium High T1 acad self concept External control Internal control Internal high focus Internal low focus

16 Threats to validity not controlled by experiments
Contamination Threats to external validity best way to deal with this is replication Quasi

17 Threats to validity not controlled by experiments
Contamination Threats to external validity Hawthorne effects changes in a person’s behavior due to being studied rather than the manipulation. a special kind of reactivity. name stems from studies of productivity at Western Electric Company, Hawthorne, Illinois, Quasi

18 Hawthorne effects Demand characteristics
cues communicated by researcher subject’s under-standing of their role Quasi

19 Hawthorne effects Role of “research subject”
Is subject behaving the way he thinks a person in that role should behave? (E.g., hypnotized person) Subjects in psychological studies are sensitive and accommodating. Quasi

20 Hawthorne effects Orne (1962)
‘good subjects’ think they are contributing to science by complying with researcher’s demands Orne tried to find a task that subjects would either refuse to do or do for only a short time. He asked subjects to ad thousands of rows of 2-digit numbers. Five and a half hours after subjects began, the experimenter gave up. Subjects even kept going when instructed to tear each worksheet into a minimum of 32 pieces before going on to the next one. Quasi

21 Hawthorne effects What to do about Hawthorne effects?
Orne (1962): Use quasi-control subjects as “co-investigators” They do your task, reflect on demand characteristics of the experiment. Quasi

22 Obstacles to true experiments in the field
Sometimes, we cannot bring the phenomenon we want to study into the lab, so we have to work in the field. Can we do experiments in the field? Quasi

23 Obstacles to true experiments in the field
Can’t get permission from individuals in authority? Your study may involve some time and effort on their part. But what’s in it for them? In schools, parents also have to agree. Quasi

24 Obstacles to true experiments in the field
Can’t get permission from individuals in authority? Can’t assign subjects to groups randomly? have to work with intact groups (e.g., classes in a school) fairness issue: who wants to be in control group? give treatment to control group afterwards Quasi

25 Quasi-Experiments Quasi-experiments resemble true experiments…
usually include a manipulation, and provide a comparison. …but they are not true experiments. lack high degree of control that is characteristic of true experiments. Quasi

26 Quasi-Experiments Quasi-Experiments are compromises
They allow the researcher some control when full control is not possible. Quasi

27 Quasi-Experiments Because full control is not possible, there may be several “rival hypotheses” competing as accounts of any change in behavior observed. How do we convince others that our hypothesis is the right one? Quasi

28 The Logic of Quasi-Experiments
Eliminate any threats you can Show how each threat to validity on list given above is dealt with in your study. Argue that others don’t apply. using evidence or logic Quasi

29 Two kinds of quasi-experiments
Non-equivalent control group “non-equivalent” because not randomly assigned Quasi

30 Two kinds of quasi-experiments
Non-equivalent control group Interrupted time-series design a series of observations over time, interrupted by some treatment Quasi

31 Non-equivalent Control Group design
Control group is “like” the treatment group. Chosen from same population Pre- and post-test measures obtained for both groups, so similarity can be assessed. Quasi

32 Non-equivalent Control Group design
Control group is not equivalent subjects are not randomly-assigned to control & treatment groups so best you can do is argue that comparison is appropriate. Quasi

33 Non-equivalent Control Group design
If the groups are comparable to begin with, this design potentially eliminates threats to internal validity due to: History Maturation Testing Instrumentation Regression Quasi

34 Problems with the NECG design
Threats to validity due to interactions with selection may not be eliminated using the NECG design. Selection and maturation Most likely when treatment group is self-selected (as in psychotherapy cases – people who sought help). When treatment group is self-selected, then comparison group may be from a different population. Quasi

35 Problems with the NECG design
Selection and maturation Selection and history Does one group experience some event that has a positive or negative effect (e.g., teacher of one class leaves)? Quasi

36 Problems with the NECG design
Selection and maturation Selection and history Selection and instrumentation Does one group show ceiling or floor effects? Quasi

37 Problems with the NECG design
Selection and maturation Selection and history Selection and instrumentation Regression to the mean Are one group’s pretest scores more extreme than the other group’s? Quasi

38 Possible NECG study outcomes
both experimental and control groups show improve-ment from pretest to posttest appears not to be any effect of the treatment Pretest Posttest Control group Quasi

39 Possible NECG study outcomes
Looks like a treatment effect, but there may be a threat due to selection and maturation, selection and history Pretest Posttest Control group Selection and maturation may be a threat – control group did not mature. Selection and history could be if Program group experienced something Comparison group didn’t (or vice-versa). Selection and regression probably not a threat here. Quasi

40 Possible NECG study outcomes
Selection and maturation could be a threat Or interaction of selection and history testing instrumentation or mortality. Pretest Posttest Control group Selection and maturation could certainly be a threat – the 2 groups are different to begin with, which may reflect different maturation rates. Could be interaction of selection and history, testing, instrumentation, or mortality. Selection and regression probably not a threat here. Quasi

41 Possible NECG study outcomes
Interaction of selection and regression looks like a serious threat here Selection and maturation probably not a threat here. Pretest Posttest Quasi

42 Possible NECG study outcomes
Crossover effect Clearest evidence for an effect of the program of any of these graphs. Selection and instrumentation not a problem – no ceiling or floor effects Pretest Posttest Quasi

43 Quasi-experiment example
Langer & Rudin (1976) Research conducted in retirement home. Residents on one floor given more control over their daily lives Residents of another floor given same interaction with staff, but no increased control. Treatment group given control over things such as rising time, bedtime, choice of movie shown in the evening. Quasi

44 Langer & Rudin (1976) – Measures
Ratings Self-report of feeling of control from residents Staff assessments of mental & physical well-being, by ‘blind’ assessors Objective measures record of movie attendance participation in “Guess how many jelly-beans” contest on each floor Quasi

45 L & R (1976) – limits on control
L & R had no control over who entered the home who was assigned to either floor. no control over staff hiring or firing / resigning. Only whole floors could be assigned to conditions. Quasi

46 L & R (1976) – Possible Problems
Interaction of Selection and Maturation even if groups have similar pretest scores, they may differ on things pretest didn’t measure probably not a problem here – people on both floors had similar SES assigned to floors randomly, not by health status. Quasi

47 L & R (1976) – Possible Problems
Selection and history suppose a popular (or unpopular) nurse left one of the floors during the study. That might influence well-being. L & R did not address this issue. Quasi

48 L & R (1976) – Possible Problems
Selection and history Selection and instrumentation did one group show ceiling or floor effects? L & R say, no. Quasi

49 L & R (1976) – Possible Problems
Selection and history Selection and instrumentation Regression were one group’s pretest scores more extreme than the others? L & R say, no. Quasi

50 L & R (1976) – Possible Problems
Selection and history Selection and instrumentation Regression Observer bias and Contamination observers in the L & R study were not aware of the hypothesis. L & R reported there was little communication between floors. Quasi

51 L & R (1976) – Possible Problems
Selection and history Selection and instrumentation Regression Observer bias and Contamination Hawthorne Effect cannot be ruled out, but L & R took care to give both floors same attention. Message varied between floors, but “face time” was the same. Quasi

52 L & R (1976) – Possible Problems
Selection and history Selection and instrumentation Regression Observer bias and Contamination Hawthorne Effect External Validity might be an issue. home involved was rated “one of the finest” in the state subjects may have been atypical in their desire for control If residents were relatively wealthier than residents of other homes, thus more independent, the move into the home might have been harder on them Then treatment (increasing control) might have been more important to them than it would have been to residents of other homes. Quasi

53 Two kinds of quasi-experiments
Non-equivalent control group Interrupted time-series design a series of observations over time, interrupted by some treatment Quasi

54 Time-Series Designs In T-S designs, performance is measured both before and after a treatment. If there is an abrupt change in performance at time of treatment, we conclude that treatment worked. Major issues – are there history effects? Instrumentation effects? Quasi

55 Time-series designs example
Campbell (1969) Effect of speed limit reduction on traffic fatalities in Connecticut incidence of traffic fatalities in years before and after the speed limit reduction, conclusion: speed limit change had a modest effect. Neighboring states would have had roughly the same climate, roads of about the same quality, automobile fleet of about the same age. Quasi

56 Campbell (1969) Any threat to internal validity?
other explanations for any change in traffic fatality incidence: Changes in car safety Weather Record keeping Quasi

57 Campbell (1969) Any threat to internal validity?
Such effects should be similar in neighboring states Campbell found no change in fatality incidence in those states. Quasi

58 Campbell (1969) Any threat to external validity?
E.g., would treatment have same effect in other states, or are people in Connecticut more law-abiding? Quasi

59 Campbell (1969) Time-series design eliminates most other threats to validity – e.g., maturation, testing, regression. For example, maturation would probably not produce a sudden change in performance of the kind found in Time-Series Designs. Quasi


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