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The current economic situation Swedbank

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Presentation on theme: "The current economic situation Swedbank"— Presentation transcript:

1 The current economic situation Swedbank 2010-08-20
First Deputy Governor Svante Öberg

2 Global GDP growth Annual percentage change
Note. Striped bars represent the Riksbank’s forecast. Sources: IMF and the Riksbank

3 GDP growth in the BRIC countries Annual percentage change
Note and 2011: IMF forecasts from July. Source: IMF

4 GDP growth in the USA Annual percentage change
Sources: IMF and the Riksbank

5 Purchasing managers’ index Index figure above 50 indicates growth
Sources: Institute for Supply Management, Markit Economics and Swedbank

6 Inflation in the USA Annual percentage change
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

7 Central banks’ balance sheets Per cent of GDP
Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Eurostat, Statistics Sweden and the respective central banks

8 GDP growth in the euro area Annual percentage change
Sources: IMF and the Riksbank

9 Inflation in the euro area Annual percentage change
Source: Eurostat

10 Public finances in the OECD-area Per cent of GDP
Source: OECD

11 Interest rate differential against Germany Percentage points
Note. 10-year Government bonds Source: Reuters EcoWin

12 Sources: Reuters EcoWin and the Riksbank
Basis spread Difference between the interbank rate and the expected policy rate Basis points Sources: Reuters EcoWin and the Riksbank

13 CDS premiums for the banks
Source: Reuters EcoWin

14 GDP growth Annual percentage change
Source: Statistics Sweden

15 GDP per quarter Quarterly percentage change, seasonally adjusted
Source: Statistics Sweden

16 Economic Tendency Survey Index, average = 100, standard deviation = 10
Source: National Institute of Economic Research

17 Purchasing managers’ index Index above 50 indicates growth
Sources: Institute for Supply Management, Markit Economics and Swedbank

18 Source: Statistics Sweden
Industrial and services production Index, 2005 = 100, seasonally-adjusted data Source: Statistics Sweden

19 Labour and employment Thousand persons,15-74 years, seasonally-adjusted data
Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

20 Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
Unemployment Per cent of the labour force, years, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

21 Inflation Annual percentage change
Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

22 Sources: TNS SIFO Prospera and Statistics Sweden
Inflation and inflation expectations Annual percentage change, all agents Sources: TNS SIFO Prospera and Statistics Sweden

23 Repo rate Per cent, daily data respectively quarterly averages
Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecasts. Source: The Riksbank

24 Repo rate and expected repo rate Per cent, all agents
Sources: TNS SIFO Prospera and the Riksbank

25 Monetary policy expectations Per cent, money market participants
Sources: TNS SIFO Prospera, Reuters EcoWin and the Riksbank

26 The Riksbank’s outstanding loans SEK billion
Source: the Riksbank


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