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Natural Gas: Market Trends in Supply and Consumption

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1 Natural Gas: Market Trends in Supply and Consumption
October 7, 2015 Natural Gas: Market Trends in Supply and Consumption

2 Who We Are Founded in 1918, American Gas Association represents more than 200 local energy companies that deliver clean natural gas throughout the United States More than 71 million residential, commercial and industrial natural gas customers in the U.S., of which 94 percent - more than 68 million customers - receive their gas from AGA members

3 Downstream Natural Gas Delivery System

4 Natural Gas Getting It to Homes, Businesses and to Work for America
Upstream

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7 Record Production Levels in 2015
Source: Bentek Energy LLC

8 Outcrop – Utica Shale Source:

9 US Shale Gas Production
Source: US Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration.

10 North American Production Outlook by Area
Dry gas production (Bcfd) Rig count, select areas Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance. Note: Rig count should not be viewed as comprehensive as not every play modelled.

11 US Natural Gas Consumption 2014
Source: Bentek Energy.

12 US Working Gas in Underground Storage

13 Total Peak Day Natural Gas Consumption 2007-2015
Source: Bentek Energy

14 Residential Natural Gas Use: An Efficiency Success Story
Natural gas usage per household has decreased even as overall demand for energy has risen. This trend is due in part to installation of tighter-fitting windows and doors, better insulation, utility sponsored energy efficiency programs, and the development of increasingly more efficient natural gas appliances. Customers Sales

15 Cumulative Growth in Residential Burner Tips by Type 1993 - 2013
Source: American Housing Survey , US Census Bureau

16 Source: AGA Natural Gas Efficiency programs Survey.
Ratepayer-Funded Natural Gas Efficiency Programs in Active in 39 States & 6 in Canada Source: AGA Natural Gas Efficiency programs Survey.

17 Growth in CO2 Emissions Has Been Driven by Greater Electricity Use
Source: Energy Information Administration

18 More nuclear and hydro in grid mix.
Source: MIT Future of Natural Gas Appliance efficiencies Energy STAR compliant.

19 Natural Gas Value Chain Emissions Leakage Rates
Only 0.24% of produced natural gas is emitted from systems operated by natural gas utilities Natural Gas Value Chain Emissions Leakage Rates Production 130 Bcf 0.41% Processing 122 Bcf 0.38% Transmission & Storage 84 Bcf 0.27% Approximately 1.3% of gross natural gas production (31 Tcf) is estimated to be emitted throughout the supply chain. Distribution 66 Bcf 0.24% Source: U.S. Department of Energy and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency

20 Natural gas systems represent a small share of annual GHGs
its inception in 1993. Source: EPA GHG Inventory 2013

21 Emissions Have Declined Even as Pipelines Have Expanded
Replacing pipelines with protected steel and plastic materials can reduce emissions more than 95%.

22 EPA and Other Policy Actions
Section 433 – 2007 energy legislation requiring elimination of fossil fuels from government buildings and installations Boiler Rule – Air toxics on industrial and other boiler applications EPA 111(b) and 111(d) emissions rules new source and existing source power plants DOE Furnace Rule

23 Find Us Online Brendan O’Brien Energy Analyst, Policy Analysis
Brendan O’Brien Energy Analyst, Policy Analysis


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