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Climate change impact on mean annual river flows
M. Brilly*1, A. Horvat1, D. Matthews2 and M. Šraj1 1University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Civil and Geodetic Engineering, Ljubljana, Slovenia 2Hydromet DSS, Silverthorne, US
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Hydrogeological map
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Terrain
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Mean annual precipitation in Slovenia
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River network
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Watersheds contour lines
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LANDSCAPE UNITS IN SLOVENIA
… the Alps the Pannonian lowlands ... … the Mediterranean the Dinaric Karst ...
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Slovene part of Sava River Basin with WatBal regions
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Land surface characteristics of the Sava River subwatersheds, CORINE land cover
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METHODS Discharge ratio calculation q = Q/AVERAGE(Q(1961-1990))
10 years average Q(i)=AVERAGE (Q(i-9,i) water balance modeling
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10 years average discharges ratio in the upper part of the River Basin
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Sava River Basin
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10 years average discharges ratio in the Danube River Basin
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RHEIN River
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Colorado River Basin Allocation
Up Upper Basin: per Basin: 7.5 MAF allocated 51.75 % to Colorado 23.00 % to Utah 14.00 % to Wyoming 11.25 % to New Mexico 50,000 AF to Arizona Lower Basin: 4.4 MAF to California 2.8 MAF to Arizona 0.3 MAF to Nevada II
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AMAZON River
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Long term variability
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Global discharge variability
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10 years average discharges ratio of precipitation in Trieste and Ljubljana
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Lowest yearly precipitation in Ljubljana
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Highest yearly precipitation in Ljubljana
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Discharge and precipitation
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Forestation in Slovenia
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Water balance of the Sava River - Šent Jakob
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Water balance of the Ljubljanica River - Moste
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Conclusion There are no clear universal trends in the water regimes of the analyzed rivers in the past century or in past twenty years also. Large differences in trends occur even in nearby watersheds. Similarity in discharge fluctuation is presented in the discharge regime along the river stream. Climate change impacts are overloaded by other human impacts on water regime
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Thank you for your attention!
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