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Panasonic Federal Security Symposium 2013
Resilience Planning: Using Infrastructure Investment for Operational Survival Alec Hay CEng PEng FICE FInstRE Member of the Register of Security Engineers and Specialists
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What is resilience? Why is it relevant? What does it do for us? How do we incorporate it in practice?
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‘It is that essential ability of an operation to respond to and absorb the effects of shocks and stresses and to recover as rapidly as possible normal capacity and efficiency.’ Operational Resilience, CRCI
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assume failure
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operation focussed
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Flood Source: Canadian Disaster Database 2013
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Wildfire Source: Canadian Disaster Database 2013
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Tornado AUGUST 20TH OUTBREAK OF 18 TORNADOS IN ONTARIO
Source: Canadian Disaster Database 2013
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POLAR SHIFT
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‘How does an infirm elderly widow who lives alone on the 24th floor feed and warm herself during a prolonged winter power outage in an interstitial community?’ “Community Resilience”, CRCI
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‘liability ... where an infrastructure stakeholder complies with the minimum standards set out in laws ... but fall below the standards of a reasonable person’ Koval & Gherbaz, Torys, 2008
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Understand Risk Context
Inform decision making Auditable Resilience Plan Community consequence
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Determine resilience to catastrophic events, hence capacity to pursue mission
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Assess resilience of isolated communities, hence constraints and restraints to mission
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Environment Infrastructure Context Operation Organisation People
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Understand the Requirement Analyse the Risk Context
Resilience & Security Planning
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London 2005 Bus & Tube Bombings
Madrid Train Bombing London Bus & Tube Bombings Explosion Event All images from blogspot.com Buncefield (UK) 2005 Oil Depot Explosion Japan 2011 Tsunami Gas Explosion
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Threat Spectrum MRTC 1250 kg Minimum design standard 1000 kg MAR
Minimum construction standard STC 125 kg Threat Spectrum
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Supermarket Power Usage
kWhr Daily cycle Normal Operations Essential Operations High Use Tariff Regular Tariff
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Alternative Power Supplies Solar, Wind & Generator
Seasonal Best Case Annual Mean Seasonal Worst Case kWhr Daily cycle Stand-by Diesel Generator
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Recovery Optimisation
Strategic Plan Master Plan Schematic Design Detailed Design Contract Documents Resilience Plan Recovery Optimisation Single resource demand & dependency plan to assure resource continuity Fully integrated plan to assure operational survival
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What’s new ... ... emerging thinking? What’s happening now?
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Cost balance between protection and resilience
Stimulate community resilience What’s happening now?
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Questions
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Alec Hay (416)
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