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Real Estate Principles, 11th Edition
By Charles F. Floyd and Marcus T. Allen
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Risk, Return, and the Time Value of Money
Chapter 17 Risk, Return, and the Time Value of Money
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Relationship Between Risk and Return
Return – profit as a percentage of total investment Risk – uncertainty about the actual rate of return an investment will provide over an anticipated investment period Risk and return are directly related (investors require greater returns for greater risk)
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Types of Risk Business risk – uncertainty arising from changing economic conditions that affect an investment’s ability to generate returns Financial risk – uncertainty associated with the possibility of defaulting on borrowed funds used to finance an investment
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Types of Risk, cont. Purchasing power risk – uncertainty arising from the possibility that the amount of goods and services that can be acquired with a given amount of money will decline over time (inflation) Liquidity risk – possibility of loss resulting from not being able to convert an asset into cash quickly should the need arise
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Time Value of Money Principle
Money in hand today is worth more than money to be received in the future
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Future Value of a Lump Sum
Compound interest – during any given period, interest is earned not only on the original principal amount, but also on any interest previously earned by the principal amount Compounding – the process of determining future value Example: What is the future value of $70,000 compounded at 10% annual interest over 3 years?
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Present Value of a Lump Sum
Discounting – the process of determining present value of a single amount (lump sum) to be received in the future Example: What is the present value of $93,170 to be received in 3 years discounted at 10% annual interest?
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Present Value of an Annuity
Annuity: a series of equal amounts received one per period for a specified number of periods Example: What is the present value of a series of three payments of $1,000 received at the end of each year if the discount rate is 10%?
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Future Value of an Annuity
Example: What is the future value of a series of five payments of $100 received at the end of each year if the compound interest rate is 10%?
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Sinking Fund Payments Sinking Fund Payments: equal amounts of money that are deposited into an account earning for a specific number of years to accumulate a specific amount. Example: What is the amount of money that must be deposited into an account each year that earns 10% for five years in order to accumulate $20,000?
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Mortgage Payments Mortgage Payment: equal amount of money that must be paid to a lender each period to fully amortize a loan. Example: What annual payment would be necessary to amortize a loan for $100,000 over ten years at 10% interest?
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Financial Decision Rules
Net Present Value (NPV): difference between how much an investment costs and how much it is worth to an investor in present value dollars NPV = present value of cash inflows minus present value of cash outflows NPV Decision Rule: If the NPV is equal to or greater than zero, we choose to invest
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Financial Decision Rules, cont.
Internal Rate of Return (IRR): the discount rate that makes the NPV equal to zero IRR = the rate of return on the investment IRR Decision Rule: If the IRR is greater than or equal to our required rate of return, we choose to invest
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