1. * Matjaž Gams Institut “Jožef Stefan”
07/16/96
Superintelligence
Matjaž Gams
Institut “Jožef Stefan”
Intelligent systems, *

2. AI ENDANGERS HUMAN EXISTENCE
Elon Musk, the billionaire chief executive of SpaceX and Tesla Motors and a techno-optimist
Bill Gates
Stephen Hawking ….
„The development of full artificial intelligence could spell the end of the human race“
Intelligent systems,

3. SUPERINTELLIGENCE
Bostrom, N Superintelligence – Paths, Dangers, Strategies. Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK. (100 Global Thinkers)
Future of Life Institute: „Because of the great potential of AI, it is important to research how to reap its benefits while avoiding potential pitfalls“
Relations when computers surpass humans 3 forms of superintelligence: speed, collective, quality Intelligence can not be controlled Depending on the form, AI will be more or less dangerous
Intelligent systems,

4. AI PROGRESS Examples of AI progress
Self-driving cars: Google car: over 1 million miles without accident fault, several cars with lane assist
Computers surpass humans in symbolic tasks like chess, Jeopardy, IQ tests, verbal IQ tests (Microsoft Beijing, 2015; an average person)
Autonomous robots (walking, flying)
Intelligent systems,

5. EXAMPLES OF AI PROGRESS
IJCAI Gerhard Widmer
MusicCompanion
Intelligent systems,

6. IJCAI 2015 World-best AI conference, 30% increase of paper numbers
Computer and Thought Award recipient Ariel Procaccia AI: Kidney exchange, security (Nash agents), fair division
Christof Koch presented Consciousness in Biological and Artificial Brains: necessary conditions for consciousness (feelings, self-consciousness), axioms and postulates, numeric function to compute consciousness, computers probably not (no simulation, HW insufficient)
Chinese advances: Alibaba, Baidu, Taoobao, Vivian …top no. of users
Intelligent systems,

7. AI DANGERS - SUMMARY
BAN all activities potentially dangerous to humans such as autonomous weapons (Slovenian AI society voted)
Prevention: Programs and robots should not ever be given rights of animals, far less humans
So far, the negative effects of AI have been negligible and so far all the doomsday predictions turned false (every 13 minutes a person dies in car crash in USA)
Most likely, warning (Hawking, Musk, Gates …) is inside the doomsday category - cooperation is more beneficial
Intelligent systems,

8. Computer/Human memory
Intelligent systems,

9. INFORMATION HUMAN SOCIETY Humans versus computers*
07/16/96
INFORMATION HUMAN SOCIETY
Humans versus computers
Kurtzweil
humans computers
processing power
Fermi paradox
computers
humans
Nora rast znanosti bo pripeljala v teorijo singularnosti, v nove fantastične čase. Flaynnov učinek – ljudje so čedalje pametnejši. So pa morebitni problemi, npr. Fermijev paradoks.
Moore’s law
Intelligent systems,
time *

10. SUMMARY
Of all dangers to the EU/Slovenian population, the technological ones, climate changes, business, … only one stands out: demographic
Civilization dangers - Fermi paradox?
The sooner superintelligence (safe) the better for humans
Fantastic human progress
Science progressing fast, colliding with ideology and myths
It is up to the AI society to fulfil its own prophecy and not the mass media’s fears
The human civilization is to step into a new civilization area of unimaginable power and success
Intelligent systems,

11. Thank you Contact: matjaz.gams@ijs.si*
07/16/96
Thank you Contact:
Intelligent systems, *