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Time Value of Money Future value Present value Rates of return Amortization
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Time lines show timing of cash flows.
1 2 3 i% CF0 CF1 CF2 CF3 Tick marks at ends of periods, so Time 0 is today; Time 1 is the end of Period 1; or the beginning of Period 2.
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Time line for a $100 lump sum due at the end of Year 2.
1 2 Year i% 100
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Time line for an ordinary annuity of $100 for 3 years.
1 2 3 i% 100 100 100
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Time line for uneven CFs -$50 at t = 0 and $100, $75, and $50 at the end of Years 1 through 3.
1 2 3 i% -50 100 75 50
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What’s the FV of an initial $100 after 3 years if i = 10%?
1 2 3 10% 100 FV = ? Finding FVs is compounding.
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After 1 year: FV1 = PV + INT1 = PV + PV(i) = PV(1 + i) = $100(1.10) = $ After 2 years: FV2 = PV(1 + i)2 = $100(1.10)2 = $
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After 3 years: FV3 = PV(1 + i)3 = $100(1.10)3 = $ In general, FVn = PV(1 + i)n.
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Four Ways to Find FVs Solve the equation with a regular calculator. Use tables. Use a financial calculator. Use a spreadsheet.
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Financial Calculator Solution
Financial calculators solve this equation: There are 4 variables. If 3 are known, the calculator will solve for the 4th. FVn = PV(1 + i)n.
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Here’s the setup to find FV:
INPUTS N I/YR PV PMT FV 133.10 OUTPUT Clearing automatically sets everything to 0, but for safety enter PMT = 0. Set: P/YR = 1, END
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What’s the PV of $100 due in 3 years if i = 10%?
Finding PVs is discounting, and it’s the reverse of compounding. 1 2 3 10% PV = ? 100
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( ) ( ) Solve FVn = PV(1 + i )n for PV: PV = = FVn . FVn (1 + i)n 1
1.10 3 PV = $ = $100(PVIFi,n) = $100(0.7513) = $75.13.
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Financial Calculator Solution
N I/YR PV PMT FV -75.13 INPUTS OUTPUT Either PV or FV must be negative. Here PV = Put in $75.13 today, take out $100 after 3 years.
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If sales grow at 20% per year, how long before sales double?
Solve for n: FVn = $1(1 + i)n; $2 = $1(1.20)n Use calculator to solve, see next slide.
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Graphical Illustration:
INPUTS N I/YR PV PMT FV 3.8 OUTPUT Graphical Illustration: FV 2 3.8 1 Year 1 2 3 4
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What’s the difference between an ordinary annuity and an annuity due?
1 2 3 i% PMT PMT PMT Annuity Due 1 2 3 i% PMT PMT PMT
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What’s the FV of a 3-year ordinary annuity of $100 at 10%?
1 2 3 10% 100 100 100 110 121 FV = 331
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Financial Calculator Solution
INPUTS 331.00 N I/YR PV PMT FV OUTPUT Have payments but no lump sum PV, so enter 0 for present value.
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What’s the PV of this ordinary annuity?
1 2 3 10% 100 100 100 90.91 82.64 75.13 = PV
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Have payments but no lump sum FV, so enter 0 for future value.
INPUTS N I/YR PV PMT FV OUTPUT Have payments but no lump sum FV, so enter 0 for future value.
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Find the FV and PV if the annuity were an annuity due.
1 2 3 10% 100 100 100
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Switch from “End” to “Begin.”
Then enter variables to find PVA3 = $ INPUTS N I/YR PV PMT FV OUTPUT Then enter PV = 0 and press FV to find FV = $
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What is the PV of this uneven cash flow stream?
1 2 3 4 10% 100 300 300 -50 90.91 247.93 225.39 -34.15 = PV
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Input in “CFLO” register:
Enter I = 10, then press NPV button to get NPV = $ (Here NPV = PV.)
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What interest rate would cause $100 to grow to $125.97 in 3 years?
INPUTS N I/YR PV PMT FV OUTPUT 8%
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The Power of Compound Interest
A 20-year old student wants to start saving for retirement. She plans to save $3 a day. Every day, she puts $3 in her drawer. At the end of the year, she invests the accumulated savings ($1,095) in an online stock account. The stock account has an expected annual return of 12%.
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How much money by the age of 65?
1,487,261.89 INPUTS N I/YR PV PMT FV OUTPUT If she begins saving today, and sticks to her plan, she will have $1,487, by the age of 65.
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How much would a 40-year old investor accumulate by this method?
146,000.59 INPUTS N I/YR PV PMT FV OUTPUT Waiting until 40, the investor will only have $146,000.59, which is over $1.3 million less than if saving began at 20. So it pays to get started early.
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How much would the 40-year old investor need to save to accumulate as much as the 20-year old?
-11,154.42 INPUTS N I/YR PV PMT FV OUTPUT The 40-year old investor would have to save $11, every year, or $30.56 per day to have as much as the investor beginning at the age of 20.
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Will the FV of a lump sum be larger or smaller if we compound more often, holding the stated I% constant? Why? LARGER! If compounding is more frequent than once a year--for example, semiannually, quarterly, or daily--interest is earned on interest more often.
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Semiannually: FV6 = $100(1.05)6 = $134.01.
1 2 3 10% 100 133.10 Annually: FV3 = $100(1.10)3 = $ 1 2 3 1 2 3 4 5 6 5% 100 134.01 Semiannually: FV6 = $100(1.05)6 = $
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We will deal with 3 different rates:
iNom = nominal, or stated, or quoted, rate per year. iPer = periodic rate. EAR = EFF% = effective annual rate
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iNom is stated in contracts. Periods per year (m) must also be given.
Examples: 8%; Quarterly 8%, Daily interest (365 days)
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Periodic rate = iPer = iNom/m, where m is number of compounding periods per year. m = 4 for quarterly, 12 for monthly, and 360 or 365 for daily compounding. Examples: 8% quarterly: iPer = 8%/4 = 2%. 8% daily (365): iPer = 8%/365 = %.
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Effective Annual Rate (EAR = EFF%):
The annual rate that causes PV to grow to the same FV as under multi-period compounding. Example: EFF% for 10%, semiannual: FV = (1 + iNom/m)m = (1.05)2 = EFF% = 10.25% because (1.1025)1 = Any PV would grow to same FV at 10.25% annually or 10% semiannually.
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An investment with monthly payments is different from one with quarterly payments. Must put on EFF% basis to compare rates of return. Use EFF% only for comparisons. Banks say “interest paid daily.” Same as compounded daily.
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How do we find EFF% for a nominal rate of 10%, compounded semiannually?
(1 + ) iNom m EFF = – 1 m (1 + ) 0.10 2 = – 1.0 = (1.05)2 – 1.0 = = 10.25%. 2 Or use a financial calculator.
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EAR = EFF% of 10% EARAnnual = 10%. EARQ = (1 + 0.10/4)4 – 1 = 10.38%.
EARM = ( /12)12 – 1 = %. EARD(365) = ( /365)365 – 1 = %.
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Can the effective rate ever be equal to the nominal rate?
Yes, but only if annual compounding is used, i.e., if m = 1. If m > 1, EFF% will always be greater than the nominal rate.
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When is each rate used? iNom: Written into contracts, quoted by banks and brokers. Not used in calculations or shown on time lines.
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iPer: Used in calculations, shown on time lines. If iNom has annual compounding, then iPer = iNom/1 = iNom.
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EAR = EFF%: Used to compare returns on investments with different payments per year. (Used for calculations if and only if dealing with annuities where payments don’t match interest compounding periods.)
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FV of $100 after 3 years under 10% semiannual compounding? Quarterly?
mn i æ ö FV = PV ç + Nom ÷ n è ø m 2x3 0.10 æ ö FV = $100 ç 1 + ÷ 3S è ø 2 = $100(1.05)6 = $ FV3Q = $100(1.025)12 = $
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What’s the value at the end of Year 3 of the following CF stream if the quoted interest rate is 10%, compounded semiannually? 1 2 3 4 5 6 6-mos. periods 5% 100 100 100
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Payments occur annually, but compounding occurs each 6 months.
So we can’t use normal annuity valuation techniques.
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1st Method: Compound Each CF
1 2 3 4 5 6 5% 100 100 100.00 110.25 121.55 331.80 FVA3 = $100(1.05)4 + $100(1.05)2 + $100 = $
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Could you find FV with a financial calculator?
2nd Method: Treat as an Annuity Could you find FV with a financial calculator? Yes, by following these steps: a. Find the EAR for the quoted rate: EAR = ( ) – 1 = 10.25%. 0.10 2 2
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Or, to find EAR with a calculator:
NOM% = 10. P/YR = 2. EFF% =
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b. The cash flow stream is an annual annuity. Find kNom (annual) whose
EFF% = 10.25%. In calculator, EFF% = 10.25 P/YR = 1 NOM% = 10.25 c. INPUTS N I/YR PV PMT FV OUTPUT 331.80
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What’s the PV of this stream?
1 2 3 5% 100 100 100 90.70 82.27 74.62 247.59
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Amortization Construct an amortization schedule for a $1,000, 10% annual rate loan with 3 equal payments.
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Step 1: Find the required annual payments.
1 2 3 10% -1,000 PMT PMT PMT INPUTS N I/YR PV PMT FV OUTPUT 402.11
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Step 2: Find the interest paid in Year 1.
INTt = Beg balt (i) INT1 = $1,000(0.10) = $100. Step 3: Find repayment of principal in Year 1. Repmt = PMT – INT = $ – $100 = $
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Step 4: Find ending balance after Year 1.
End bal = Beg bal – Repmt = $1,000 – $ = $ Repeat steps 2-4 for Years 2 and 3 to complete the amortization table.
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Interest declines. Tax implications.
BEG PRIN END YR BAL PMT INT PMT BAL 1 $1,000 $402 $100 $302 $698 TOT 1, ,000 Interest declines. Tax implications.
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10% on loan outstanding, which is falling.
$ 402.11 Interest 302.11 Principal Payments 1 2 3 Level payments. Interest declines because outstanding balance declines. Lender earns 10% on loan outstanding, which is falling.
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Amortization tables are widely used--for home mortgages, auto loans, business loans, retirement plans, etc. They are very important! Financial calculators (and spreadsheets) are great for setting up amortization tables.
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