1. Comparative: Nigeria Public Policy
Vincent Sweet
March 31st 2010
1st Hour

2. I. Economic Performance
According to the Conflict Assessment System Tool (CAST) Nigeria isn’t doing so hot.
Scores: 1 (Best), 10 (Worst)
Total Score = 120 (Complete State Collapse.)

3. Nigeria’s CAST scores Social Mounting Demographic Pressures = 8.2
Massive movement of refugees or internally displaced persons = 5.1
Legacy of Vengeance-seeking group violence or group paranoia = 9.4
Chronic and sustained human flight = 8.2

4. Nigeria’s CAST scores cont.
Economic
Uneven economic development along group lines = 9.2
Sharp and/or severe economic decline = 5.9

5. Nigeria’s CAST scores cont.
Political and Military
Criminalization and/or de-legitimization of the state = 8.9
Progressive deterioration of public services =8.7
Suspension or arbitrary application of human rights= 7.5
Security apparatus operates as a “state within a state” = 9.2
Rise of factionalized elites = 9.3
Intervention of other states or external political actors = 6.1

6. Final Score Overall Score of 95.7
Remember that Nigeria is only 24.3 points away from complete stat failure.

7. II. Social Welfare Education
84.7 % of Nigerians were literate (2004 data)
Men being the more literate gender by 5%.
74% of children who start their education will make it to the fifth grade.
Comparing Nigeria to other countries like Kenya actually declare Nigeria the better country.

8. II. Social Welfare (cont.)
Health
HIV prevalence rate of 3.9% (2005)
Life expectancy = 44 years
Percent of children immunized at birth = 30%
48% have access to clean water
Total health care spending = 1.2% of GDP

9. II. Social Welfare (cont.)
Poverty
Unemployment rate of 17%
New job have been created over the years resulting in an increase in employment
GDP is actually increased by figures of 7.8%
On the Human Poverty Test Nigeria scored 37.3 with 100 being the worse.
70.8% of Nigerians live on 1$ a day
Huge rich-poor gap

10. III. Freedoms/ Rights Right to a Corrupt Government
Nigerians lack many rights that Americans take for granted.
The Judiciary of Nigeria has way to much power; such as the ability to close a twitter feed. Other examples include “extrajudicial killings and use of excessive force by security forces; impunity for abuses by security forces; arbitrary arrests; prolonged pretrial detention; judicial corruption and executive influence on the judiciary; rape, torture and other cruel, inhuman or degrading treatment of prisoners, detainees and suspects; “

11. IV. Environment Environment
While the Niger Delta isn’t being fought over it damaging the environment. It experience major oil spills which destroys the nearby fauna.
Deforestation
Soil Degradation
Global Warming
Lack of Water and Sewage treatment
Pollution

12. V. Population and Migration
As of 2003 the population of Nigeria was 124,009,000.
It was the 10th most populated country in the world.
44% of the population was under 15
101 males to 100 females.
Migration rate in 2000 was -0.2 immigrants per 1000 population

13. VI. Economic Development
Currently Nigeria’s economy is dependent on oil prices, although Nigeria is trying to branch out to prevent the boom and bust cycle of oil.
Obasanjo supported market driven economic improvement