1. Texas Demographic Characteristics and Trends among Young Texans
Texas Association of Chicanos in Higher Education
January 31, 2011
Austin, TX
Lloyd Potter is the Texas State Demographer and the Director of the Texas State Data Center based at the University of Texas at San Antonio.

2. 25 Million Reasons to be Proud of Texas (among a few more)
Demographic Highlights
TEXAS is:
big.  The population of Texas is the second largest in the United States, approaching 25 million people (estimated population of 24.8 million people in 2009).7
young.  Approximately 28% of Texas’ population is under 18 and only 10% of the population is older than 65 years.1  Webb County in Texas, has the youngest population in the U.S. with children younger than 5 comprising 12.8% of the population.7
embracing of culture and diversity.  Approximately 9 million or 38% of Texans are of Hispanic descent,  2.8 million or 12% are African Americans, and 1 million or 4% are other (non-Anglo mainly of Asian descent).1  In about a decade, it is expected that Texas’ population will have more persons of Hispanic descent than any other racial or ethnic group.4
a desired place to live and work.  Net in-migration to Texas accounts for almost half of the population growth in recent years.1 More than 171,900 college graduates moved into Texas each year between 2006 and 2008, placing Texas as 2nd in the Nation by this measure.
The Office of the State Demographer and the Texas State Data Center are committed to ensuring that our policy makers, state and local government agencies, businesses, and the general public have ready access to information about our greatest asset: our people. Our mission is to help our constituents to understand the population characteristics and trends that are relevant to their areas of responsibility and interest and to present that information in a way that is easily understood. Toward this end, we are working to craft products and informational interfaces that will target the informational needs of our constituents. We are also very committed to providing timely responses to our constituents specific informational needs. This slide provides a number of relevant demographic facts about our State’s greatest asset.
Data sources: 1. Texas State Data Center, Population Estimates; 2.  U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey; 3. U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 4. Texas State Data Center, Population Projections; 5. U.S. Census Bureau,  Metropolitan Statistical Area Estimates; 6. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; 7. U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

3. 25 Million Reasons to be Proud of Texas (among a few more)
TEXAS is:
urban. Texas has three of the top 10 largest cities in the Nation.3 Several of the metropolitan areas in Texas are among the most rapidly growing in the Nation.5
rural. Texas is the second largest state in the Nation in terms of square miles (268,601) and approximately 17% of the population lives in rural areas.1 
a working state. Texas has a civilian labor force of more than twelve million workers and an unemployment rate lower than in most States.6
family oriented and multigenerational.  Texas ranks 3rd among states for the percent of households which are married-couple families with children (24.4%).2 Texas ranks 3rd among states for percent of households which are multigenerational (4.5%).2
growing – fast.   Texas gained more population than any other state in the last estimate year (between July 1, 2008 and July 1, 2009), adding 478,000 people.7   Among cities over 100,000 population in the U.S., 4 of the 10 fastest growing areas are in Texas ( change).7  
Data sources: 1. Texas State Data Center, Population Estimates; 2.  U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey; 3. U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 4. Texas State Data Center, Population Projections; 5. U.S. Census Bureau,  Metropolitan Statistical Area Estimates; 6. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; 7. U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

4. Fastest Growing States, 2000-2010
Population*
2010
Numerical
Change
Percent
United States
281,424,602
308,745,538
27,323,632
9.7
Texas
20,851,820
25,145,561
4,293,741
20.6%
California
33,871,648
37,253,956
3,382,308
10.0%
Florida
15,982,378
18,801,310
2,818,932
17.6%
Georgia
8,186,453
9,687,653
1,501,200
18.3%
Arizona
5,130,632
9,535,483
1,486,170
18.5%
Virginia
7,078,515
8,001,024
1,261,385
24.6%
Population values are decennial census counts for April 1 for 2000 and 2010.
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census
15.7% of numerical change in U.S.
Texas is the second largest state in terms of population (2nd to CA) and area (2nd to AK). In terms of number of people, Texas’ growth exceeds that of all other states between 2000 and 2010.

5. Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2009
Percent Change Due to
Year*
Population
Numerical
Change
Natural
Increase
Net
Migration
Percent
1950
7,711,194 --
1960
9,579,677
1,868,483
1,754,652
113,831
24.2
93.91
6.09
1970
11,196,730
1,617,053
1,402,683
214,370
16.9
86.74
13.26
1980
14,229,191
3,032,461
1,260,794
1,771,667
27.1
41.58
58.42
1990
16,986,510
2,757,319
1,815,670
941,649
19.9
65.85
34.15
2000
20,851,820
3,865,310
1,919,281
1,946,029
22.8
49.65
50.35
2009
24,782,302
3,930,484
2,124,124
1,781,785
18.8
54.04
45.33
* All values for the decennial dates are for the indicated census year. Values for 2009 is for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Bureau of the Census.
Source: Derived from U.S. Bureau of the Census Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center, University of Texas at San Antonio.
Note: Residual values are not presented in this table.
The components of change include natural increase (births-deaths) and net migration (in-out migration). In recent years, natural increase and net migration have contributed almost equally to Texas’ growth. Natural increase is much more predictable and stable than net migration. Net migration tends to fluctuate with economic factors.

6. Estimated Annual Net Migration to Texas, 2000 to 2009
Migration into Texas has made very significant contributions to our population growth for the past few decades. International migration is estimated to have made significant contributions this decade. Generally, international migration is regulated and tends not to vary substantially from year to year. Internal (state-to-state) migration is estimated to have increased significantly in the middle of this decade and has remained relatively high. However, with the economic downturn, internal migration into Texas is likely slowed. Internal migration is not regulated by the government and is largely driven by the presence or absence of jobs and economic opportunity. Therefore, internal migration tends to be variable and dependent upon economic fluctuations.
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census 2009 Estimates

7. Estimated Number and Percent of Migrants to Texas between 2000 and 2009 by Race and Ethnicity
White
Hispanic
Black
Other
Total
Net domestic migration
Number of migrants
371,150
238,866
195,024
43,663
848,702
Percent of Row Total
44%
28%
23% 5%
International migration
224,820
469,591
73,140
165,532
933,083
24%
50% 8%
18%
595,970
708,457
268,163
209,195
1,781,785
33%
40%
15%
12%
 52% of all migrants were international
This table presents the estimated number and percent of migrants to Texas between 2000 and 2009 by race/ethnicity and type of migrant (domestic and international). The majority of domestic migrants to Texas were non-Hispanic Anglo (White), followed by persons of Hispanic descent and non-Hispanic African Americans (Black). Persons of Hispanic descent made up about half of all international migrants to Texas during this period, followed by non-Hispanic Anglo persons. More than half of the population change attributable to migration in Texas over this period is attributable to international migration. One-third (1/3) of the population growth attributable to all migration over this period was from non-Hispanic Anglo persons and the balance (2/3) was from persons of Hispanic, African American, and Other (non-Anglo) descent.
67% of all migrants
Sources: Percentages of domestic and international migrants by race and ethnicity derived from the American Community Survey. Total numbers of domestic and international migrants between are from Table 4. Cumulative Estimates of the Components of Resident Population Change for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2009, U.S. Census Bureau

8. Estimated domestic migration (2000-2008) by county as a percentage of 2000 population
This map demonstrates DOMESTIC, or internal, migration made up largely of persons who are citizens or legal residents of the United States. International migrants are not included on this map. Generally, western counties had U.S. residents and citizens moving out and the areas around urban cores had U.S. residents and citizens moving in. Note that Dallas and Harris county have net out domestic migration indicating that persons from these counties may be moving to more suburban adjacent counties.
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, Map produced by the Texas State Data Center

9. Estimated international migration (2000-2008) by county as a percentage of 2000 population
This map demonstrates in migration of international migrants. Domestic migrants are not included on this map. It is estimated that international migrants made significant contributions to population growth in large urban counties and along the border. Note that Dallas and Harris counties experienced substantial international migration resulting in a positive net in-migration to those counties.
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, Map produced by the Texas State Data Center

10. > 6% of Texas’ Population
Estimated Unauthorized Immigrant Population by State of Residence: January 2009 and 2000
> 6% of Texas’ Population
The question of unauthorized migration often arises in the context of discussing migration in Texas. The Department of Homeland Security estimates that there were approximately 1.68 million unauthorized migrants residing in Texas in This number may have declined some because of the downturn in the economy. Texas is second to California in terms of number of unauthorized migrants.
Source: U.S. Department of Homeland Security.

11. Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition,
As of the 2000 Census, about 53% of Texas’ population was non-Hispanic Anglo, about 32% where of Hispanic descent, about 11% where non-Hispanic African American, and about 4% were non-Hispanic Other.
In 2009, it is estimated that about 47% of the Texas population was non-Hispanic Anglo, 37% of Hispanic descent, 11% were non-Hispanic African American, and about 4% were non-Hispanic Other (largely of Asian descent).
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Census count and 2009 Population Estimate

12. Estimate percent non-Hispanic Anglo and Hispanic by County, 2009
In examining racial and ethnic geographic distribution, these maps demonstrate the percent of the population of each county that is Anglo (on the left) and Hispanic (on the right). Most counties in the State are at least 50% Anglo. Counties on the southern border and far west Texas tend to have populations that are less than 50% Anglo and these tend to be more than 50% Hispanic. Few counties have less than 10% of their population composed of persons of Hispanic descent. .
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates

13. Projected Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010
This Texas population pyramid indicates that the portion of the population that is non-Hispanic Anglo is generally older than the other racial/ethnic groups. The portion of the population that is of Hispanic descent is comparatively young. This is also true for the African American portion of the population.

14. Projected Texas Population Pyramids by Race/Ethnicity, 2010
This Texas population pyramid indicates that the portion of the population that is non-Hispanic Anglo is generally older than the other racial/ethnic groups. The portion of the population that is of Hispanic descent is comparatively young. This is also true for the African American portion of the population.

15. Total Population, 2009 Estimate
Denton, Collin, and Fort Bend Counties moved into the greater than 500,000 population category over the past 9 years. Other counties, mainly in urbanized areas, also grew over the past 9 years.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates

16. Percent Change of Total Population in Texas Counties, 2000-2009
Population increase for
Texas was almost 19%
during this period
This map demonstrates the percent change in population over a 9 year period. Percent change is one indicator of the speed of population change but is not always an indicator of the absolute change in numbers. For example, county A with 100 people added 100 people, and has a 100% increase. Meanwhile county B with 1,000 people added 100 people and has a 10% increase. County A is growing at a more rapid rate than county B, but in terms of total numbers, they grew by the same amount.
The State of Texas is estimated to have grown by almost 19% between 2000 and 2009.
The darker green colors on this map indicate counties with greater percentage change. The counties that are not shaded (white) mostly experienced negative change, or population decline. Thus, many of the more rural, less populated counties have experienced declines in population over the past nine years. Most counties experienced increases within 25%, while a smaller number of counties surrounding urbanized areas experienced significant growth beyond 25%.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Census Count and 2009 Population Estimates

17. Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2000-2040
This graph represents variable population projections for the State under different migration scenarios. The base (brown dashed line) is the assumption of no migration. Under this scenario, the State will grow as a function of natural increase (births-deaths). The ½ scenario (the red split line) is the most conservative. The and scenarios reflect estimates of migration for those two periods and suggest more rapid population growth. Under any scenario, even no migration, Texas will continue to grow.
Year
Source: Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections

18. Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas, 2000-2040
The migration scenario is likely the most realistic to consider in short term projections. Using this scenario, the number of Hispanics will likely exceed the number of non-Hispanic Anglos in the State around 2015.
Source: Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections , Migration Scenario

19. Percent of the population 5 and over who speak English less than very well by state, 2009
Source: American Community Survey, 2009

20. Percent of the population 5 and over who speak Spanish at home, 2009
Source: American Community Survey, 2009

21. Percent of population that is foreign born, 2005-2009
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample

22. Percent of the population 5 and over who speak Spanish at home, 2005-2009
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample

23. Number of Linguistically Isolated Households, by County, 2005-2009
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample

24. Percent of Households that are Linguistically Isolated, by County, 2005-2009
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample

25. Percent of Linguistically Isolated Households that Speak Spanish, by County, 2005-2009
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample

26. Percent of 7-12 Grade Students Dropping Out by County, 2008
Source: Texas Education Agency

27. Percent of 7-12 grade Hispanic Dropouts by County, 2008
Source: Texas Education Agency

28. Percent of population aged 25 years and older with high school or equivalent degree or higher
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample

29. Percent of population aged 25 years and older with Bachelors degree or higher. 2005-2009
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample

30. Educational Attainment in 2000 in Texas for Persons 25+ Years of Age By Race/Ethnicity
Percent

31. Projected Percent of Labor Force by Educational Attainment in Texas, 2000 and 2040tc

32. Texas economy 2nd largest in the U.S.
15th largest in the world based on GDP
Source: CNBC.com

33. Demographics and Destiny
Texas is growing – with more people being added than in any other state we will add 3 if not 4 additional seats to our representation in the U.S. Congress.
Texas is becoming more urban. Many rural counties are losing population. Urbanized metropolitan areas have been growing dramatically over the decade.
Texas is becoming more diverse – much of our growth is attributable to growth of the Hispanic population.
persons, access to health care, and transportation.

34. Contact Lloyd Potter, Ph.D.
Office: (210) Internet: TXSDC.utsa.edu
Lloyd Potter, Ph.D.
The Office of the State Demographer and the Texas State Data Center are committed to supporting your work through providing you with the best, most accurate, and objective information we can identify about our greatest asset, the people of Texas.