1. Deep Shift: 21 Ways Software Will Transform Global Society
Hans Brechbühl
Executive Director, Center for Digital Strategies
Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth
Member, WEF Global Advisory Council on the Future of Software & Society

2. ______________________________________________________
Why
Ubiquity of software
Widespread business & societal impact
Belief in need for understanding
Resulting mission
______________________________________________________
What
Brainstorm
Shifts…Megatrends
Tipping Points
Survey (800+)
Results

3. Six Megatrends… People and the internet
Computing, communications and storage everywhere
The internet of things (IoT)
Artificial intelligence and big data
The sharing economy and distributed trust
The digitization of matter

4. Six Megatrends… People and the internet
Computing, communications and storage everywhere
The internet of things (IoT)
Artificial intelligence and big data
The sharing economy and distributed trust
The digitization of matter

5. Six Megatrends… People and the internet
Computing, communications and storage everywhere
The internet of things (IoT)
Artificial intelligence and big data
The sharing economy and distributed trust
The digitization of matter

6. Shift 1: Implantable Technologies
Tipping Point: The first implantable mobile phone available commercially Expected date: 2023 By 2025: 82% expect will have occurred

7. Shift 5: Ubiquitous Computing
Tipping Point: 90% of population with regular access to the internet Expected: 2024 By 2025: 79% expect will have occurred

8. Shift 8: Internet of and for Things
Tipping Point: 1 trillion sensors connected to the internet Expected date: 2022 By 2025: 89% expect will have occurred

9. Shift 11: Big Data for Decisions
Tipping Point: The first government to replace its census with big data sources Expected date: 2023 By 2025: 83% expect will have occurred

10. Shift 13: AI and Decision-Making
Tipping Point: The first AI machine on a corporate board of directors Expected date: 2026 By 2025: 45% expect will have occurred

11. Shift 16: Bitcoin and the Blockchain
Tipping Point: 10% of global GDP stored on blockchain technology Expected date: 2027 By 2025: 58% expect will have occurred

12. Shift 17: The Sharing Economy
Tipping Point: Globally more trips/journeys via car sharing than in private cars Expected date: 2025 By 2025: 67% expect will have occurred

13. Shift 20: 3D Printing and Human Health
Tipping Point: The first transplant of a 3D-printed liver Expected date: 2024 By 2025: 76% expect will have occurred

14. Cross-Cutting Impacts
Jobs and the Nature of Work
Security
Transparency, Trust and Privacy
The Economy
Government
Organizations, Communities…and… the Individual
Shifting Ownership
Human Health and Lifespan

15. Conclusion Two fundamental capabilities:
Connectivity, everyone to everything, anywhere and anytime
Mechanisms/tools for analyzing data created and direct machine usage thereof
Simultaneously more “bite-size” and aggregable
Value network, ecosystem economy
Possibilities great, but scale and speed of change…
Role of CIO: Conductor of the digital orchestra