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From: An Externally Validated Model for Predicting Long-Term Survival after Exercise Treadmill Testing in Patients with Suspected Coronary Artery Disease.

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Presentation on theme: "From: An Externally Validated Model for Predicting Long-Term Survival after Exercise Treadmill Testing in Patients with Suspected Coronary Artery Disease."— Presentation transcript:

1 From: An Externally Validated Model for Predicting Long-Term Survival after Exercise Treadmill Testing in Patients with Suspected Coronary Artery Disease and a Normal Electrocardiogram Ann Intern Med. 2007;147(12): doi: / Figure Legend: Values below the graph are patients at risk for death each year, after accounting for previous deaths and censoring. Date of download: 10/26/2017 Copyright © American College of Physicians. All rights reserved.

2 From: An Externally Validated Model for Predicting Long-Term Survival after Exercise Treadmill Testing in Patients with Suspected Coronary Artery Disease and a Normal Electrocardiogram Ann Intern Med. 2007;147(12): doi: / Figure Legend: Patients are divided into deciles of predicted risk. The 45° line represents an ideal treadmill exercise score with perfect prediction. Vertical bars represent 95% CIs. Date of download: 10/26/2017 Copyright © American College of Physicians. All rights reserved.

3 From: An Externally Validated Model for Predicting Long-Term Survival after Exercise Treadmill Testing in Patients with Suspected Coronary Artery Disease and a Normal Electrocardiogram Ann Intern Med. 2007;147(12): doi: / Figure Legend: To determine risk, draw a vertical line from each risk marker to the top line, labeled “POINTS,” to calculate points for each risk marker. The sum of all these points is then marked on the line labeled “TOTAL POINTS.” Drop vertical lines from there to yield the 3- and 5-year survival probabilities. For binary variables, 1 means yes and 0 means no. MET = metabolic equivalent. Date of download: 10/26/2017 Copyright © American College of Physicians. All rights reserved.

4 From: An Externally Validated Model for Predicting Long-Term Survival after Exercise Treadmill Testing in Patients with Suspected Coronary Artery Disease and a Normal Electrocardiogram Ann Intern Med. 2007;147(12): doi: / Figure Legend: Patients are divided into deciles of predicted risk. The 45° line represents an ideal nomogram with perfect prediction. The vertical bars represent 95% CIs. Date of download: 10/26/2017 Copyright © American College of Physicians. All rights reserved.

5 From: An Externally Validated Model for Predicting Long-Term Survival after Exercise Treadmill Testing in Patients with Suspected Coronary Artery Disease and a Normal Electrocardiogram Ann Intern Med. 2007;147(12): doi: / Figure Legend: Multivariable model cut-point yields a negative predictive value of 0.97 in the derivation data set. Date of download: 10/26/2017 Copyright © American College of Physicians. All rights reserved.


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