1. Presented by: Alejandro Dieck
RENEWABLE ENERGY
Presented by: Alejandro Dieck
Undersecretary of Planning and Technological Development Ministry of Energy
October 2006 .
Good morning.
It is my pleasure to be here with you in this Bioenergy Forum
In this presentation I will show you a summary of the Energy Sector Outlook , which is made by the Energy Ministry with the participation of Pemex, CFE, CRE, LFC and the IMP.

2. 1 2 3 CONTENT RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES: LIMITATIONS INITIATIVES
According to estimates based on the Natural Gas Outlook document, and considering a normal scenario, both the demand and the supply of natural gas are expected to grow at an annual rate of 5.2% during the next ten years.
As the demand will be larger than the national supply, a shortfall will occur and will begin to expand by 2009, just after the supply has reached its maximum level and gradually decrease. This scenario would imply natural gas imports of 1,789 million cubic feet daily (mmcfd). 3
FINAL COMMENTS

3. Limitations Stabilization Market Financing Regulatory Framework
1. RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES: LIMITATIONS
Stabilization
Market
Limitations
Financing
According to estimates based on the Natural Gas Outlook document, and considering a normal scenario, both the demand and the supply of natural gas are expected to grow at an annual rate of 5.2% during the next ten years.
As the demand will be larger than the national supply, a shortfall will occur and will begin to expand by 2009, just after the supply has reached its maximum level and gradually decrease. This scenario would imply natural gas imports of 1,789 million cubic feet daily (mmcfd).
Regulatory Framework
Institutions

4. 2. INITIATIVES Prudent Fiscal and Monetary Policy
Done
In Progress
Stabilization
Prudent Fiscal and Monetary Policy
Inflation and interest rates levels
No changes expected the way policies are conducted
According to estimates based on the Natural Gas Outlook document, and considering a normal scenario, both the demand and the supply of natural gas are expected to grow at an annual rate of 5.2% during the next ten years.
As the demand will be larger than the national supply, a shortfall will occur and will begin to expand by 2009, just after the supply has reached its maximum level and gradually decrease. This scenario would imply natural gas imports of 1,789 million cubic feet daily (mmcfd).

5. 2. INITIATIVES Study to determine vocation on biofuels production
Done
In Progress
Market
Study to determine vocation on biofuels production
Interconnection contract model for intermittent sources of energy
Agreements signed with countries for joint action in CDM
Tax incentives / tax credits
Bill in senate to promote renewables.
National fund for r & d applied activities on renewables
According to estimates based on the Natural Gas Outlook document, and considering a normal scenario, both the demand and the supply of natural gas are expected to grow at an annual rate of 5.2% during the next ten years.
As the demand will be larger than the national supply, a shortfall will occur and will begin to expand by 2009, just after the supply has reached its maximum level and gradually decrease. This scenario would imply natural gas imports of 1,789 million cubic feet daily (mmcfd).

6. 2. INITIATIVES
Done
In Progress
Financing
Fund from international agencies and organizations: USAID / World Bank / GTZ
Public resources to finance at market rates appliances using renewable sources (boilers)
Financing of projects for biomass at state and local level using international institutions funds
Organizing national strategy to concentrate potential support from international organizations
According to estimates based on the Natural Gas Outlook document, and considering a normal scenario, both the demand and the supply of natural gas are expected to grow at an annual rate of 5.2% during the next ten years.
As the demand will be larger than the national supply, a shortfall will occur and will begin to expand by 2009, just after the supply has reached its maximum level and gradually decrease. This scenario would imply natural gas imports of 1,789 million cubic feet daily (mmcfd).

7. 2. INITIATIVES Bill to improve regulatory agency powers and tools
In Progress
Regulatory Framework
Bill to improve regulatory agency powers and tools
Instrumentation of national strategy for renewables promotion
According to estimates based on the Natural Gas Outlook document, and considering a normal scenario, both the demand and the supply of natural gas are expected to grow at an annual rate of 5.2% during the next ten years.
As the demand will be larger than the national supply, a shortfall will occur and will begin to expand by 2009, just after the supply has reached its maximum level and gradually decrease. This scenario would imply natural gas imports of 1,789 million cubic feet daily (mmcfd).

8. 2. INITIATIVES Institutions
Done
In Progress
Institutions
National Council for Energy Savings (CONAE)
National Council for Promotion of Renewables Sources of Energy
According to estimates based on the Natural Gas Outlook document, and considering a normal scenario, both the demand and the supply of natural gas are expected to grow at an annual rate of 5.2% during the next ten years.
As the demand will be larger than the national supply, a shortfall will occur and will begin to expand by 2009, just after the supply has reached its maximum level and gradually decrease. This scenario would imply natural gas imports of 1,789 million cubic feet daily (mmcfd).

9. Dialogue on Climate Change, Clean Energy, Sustainable Development
3. FINAL COMMENTS
Dialogue on Climate Change,
Clean Energy, Sustainable Development A
Urgency: we need to act immediately B
Technology importance C
Inaction implies the cost will rise geometrically
According to estimates based on the Natural Gas Outlook document, and considering a normal scenario, both the demand and the supply of natural gas are expected to grow at an annual rate of 5.2% during the next ten years.
As the demand will be larger than the national supply, a shortfall will occur and will begin to expand by 2009, just after the supply has reached its maximum level and gradually decrease. This scenario would imply natural gas imports of 1,789 million cubic feet daily (mmcfd). D
Need to make increase the market for CO2 E
Policy instruments and long term framework