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Today’s topics… 2015 topline economic impact numbers

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Presentation on theme: "Today’s topics… 2015 topline economic impact numbers"— Presentation transcript:

1 North of Boston Tourism Industry Forum Research Presentation January 28, 2017

2 Today’s topics… 2015 topline economic impact numbers
North of Boston share of state tourism economic impact Overseas market share shifting away from Northeast U.S. VISA Domestic $$ (State and Super Region) CYTD2016 data shows slowing of traveler spending growth in MA

3 Who is considered a traveler???
One who travels 50 or more miles one way from his/her home or stays overnight (paid) A TRAVELER ….count as Volume v. count as Spending

4 Economic Impact of Travel to MA, CY2015

5 Historic Direct Spending In Massachusetts, CYs 2000-2015
Travel Price Inflation and Population growth

6 Ranking of States by Economic Impact, 2014
$$ Millions California 124,193.5 Florida 85,274.6 Texas 65,960.7 New York 65,334.1 Illinois 36,345.9 Nevada 33,518.7 Georgia 26,656.1 Pennsylvania 24,442.5 Virginia 22,913.6 North Carolina 22,148.6 Hawaii 20,803.9 New Jersey 20,414.6 Massachusetts (13th) 19,500.7

7 Travel Spending by Domestic/International and Sub-Industry
3rd Largest ???? 2015 Travel Expenditures Domestic International Total ($ Millions) % of total  % of Total  Public Transportation $5,693.7 32.6% $305.3 11.1% $5,999.3 Auto Transportation $2,271.2 13.0% $37.7 1.4% $2,309.1 Lodging $3,934.2 22.5% $1,059.4 38.5% $4,993.9 Foodservice $3,495.1 20.0% $529.4 19.3% $4,024.8 Entertainment & Recreation $991.8 5.7% $210.5 7.7% $1,202.3 General Retail Trade $1,098.7 6.3% $606.1 22.1% $1,704.9 $17,484.7 $2,748.5 $20,234.3

8 Jobs Supported by Sub Industries total 135,000!
Full, part, seasonal jobs

9 Taxes Generated by the $20.2 Billion in Spending

10 MA Monthly State and Local Rooms Occupancy Tax Collections, CY 2016

11 Domestic….

12 Massachusetts's Market Share of all U. S
Massachusetts's Market Share of all U.S. Domestic Travel Expenditures , Loss M/S = Lost $$

13 Origins of Domestic Travelers to MA, CY2015
MA is a drive market… 75% arrive by auto

14 Domestic Primary Trip Purpose MA, FY 2015

15 Domestic Volume to MA by Type, CY 2015

16 Economic Impact by County, 2015
Spend % of Massachusetts Payroll Jobs Supported State Taxes Local Taxes Massachusetts statewide amounts Domestic $17,484,700,000 $3,805,300,000 116,020 $700,000,000 439,400,000 International $2,748,500,000 $609,200,000 18,950 $112,200,000 58,300,000 Totals $20,233,200,000 $4,414,500,000 134,970 $812,200,000 497,700,000 Essex County $876,169,570 5.01% $201,379,875 6,725 $47,512,881 $22,571,854 $100,872,645 3.67% $24,272,015 660 4,956,000 2,748,421 Total $977,042,215 4.83% $225,651,890 7,385 $52,468,881 $25,320,275 $1.7 B Federal taxes

17 Domestic Spending in 2015 by city/town in Essex County
North of Boston Expenditures Payroll Employment State Tx Local Tx $876,169,570 $201,379,875 6,725 $47,512,881 $22,871,854 Amesbury $30,753,552 $7,068,434 236 $1,667,702 $802,802 Andover $44,071,329 $10,129,408 338 $2,389,898 $1,150,454 Beverly $25,408,918 $5,840,016 195 $1,377,874 $663,284 Boxford $3,329,444 $765,244 26 $180,549 $86,913 Danvers $62,120,423 $14,277,833 477 $3,368,663 $1,621,614 Essex $26,460,321 $6,081,672 203 $1,434,889 $690,730 Georgetown $2,978,977 $684,692 23 $161,544 $77,764 Gloucester $99,883,331 $22,957,306 767 $5,416,468 $2,607,391 Groveland $1,752,339 $402,760 13 $95,026 $45,744 Hamilton $2,453,275 $563,864 19 $133,036 $64,041 Haverhill $30,665,935 $7,048,296 235 $1,662,951 $800,515 Ipswich $38,288,610 $8,800,301 294 $2,076,313 $999,500 Lawrence $25,321,301 $5,819,878 194 $1,373,122 $660,997 Lynn $12,003,523 $2,758,904 92 $650,926 $313,344

18 Domestic Spending in 2015 by city/town in Essex County
North of Boston Expenditures Payroll Employment State Tx Local Tx $876,169,570 $201,379,875 6,725 $47,512,881 $22,871,854 Lynnfield $1,401,871 $322,208 11 $76,021 $36,595 Marblehead $30,490,701 $7,008,020 234 $1,653,448 $795,941 Merrimac $3,329,444 $765,244 26 $180,549 $86,913 Methuen $15,070,117 $3,463,734 116 $817,222 $393,396 Middleton $7,535,058 $1,731,867 58 $408,611 $196,698 Mnchstr-BtS $12,266,374 $2,819,318 94 $665,180 $320,206 Nahant $788,553 $181,242 6 $42,762 $20,585 Newbury $6,834,123 $1,570,763 52 $370,600 $178,400 Newburyport $53,358,727 $12,264,034 410 $2,893,534 $1,392,896 North Andover $15,771,052 $3,624,838 121 $855,232 $411,693 Peabody $62,208,039 $14,297,971 477 $3,373,415 $1,623,902 Rockport $47,926,475 $11,015,479 368 $2,598,955 $1,251,090 Rowley $10,338,801 $2,376,283 79 $560,652 $269,888 Salem $101,723,287 $23,380,203 781 $5,516,245 $2,655,422 Salisbury $31,717,338 $7,289,951 243 $1,719,966 $827,961 Saugus $40,479,034 $9,303,750 311 $2,195,095 $1,056,680 Swampscott $4,906,550 $1,127,727 38 $266,072 $128,082 Topsfield $17,172,924 $3,947,046 132 $931,252 $448,288 Wenham $7,359,824 $1,691,591 56 $399,108 $192,124

19 North of Boston Travel Spending $3.7 Billion!!

20 International…

21 Origins of International Travelers to MA, CY2015

22 Ranking of States by Economic Impact, 2014
$$ Millions California 124,193.5 Florida 85,274.6 Texas 65,960.7 New York 65,334.1 Illinois 36,345.9 Nevada 33,518.7 Georgia 26,656.1 Pennsylvania 24,442.5 Virginia 22,913.6 North Carolina 22,148.6 Hawaii 20,803.9 New Jersey 20,414.6 Massachusetts (13th) 19,500.7 Michigan 18,108.8 13th in 1999 and 2000 Mass and Michigan have changed places several times since 2001

23 Overseas to MA…Primary Trip Purpose, CY 2015

24 Massachusetts's Market Share of U. S
Massachusetts's Market Share of U.S. International Travel Expenditures , Loss M/S= Lost $$

25 Regional Market Shares of Overseas Volume, 2010 to 2015
New England was Down 12% in 2014

26 VISA Card Spending Data…Bottom up view of traveler impact
Consumer (94%) and Commercial (6%) Cardholder Spend in 2015, 2016 by Qs Cardholder Counts, Spending, Transactions and CASH 290 MSAs, 27 Market Segments, 280 Merchant Categories Northeast data only Domestic

27 VISA Card Data--- WHAT WE DON’T GET……
Demographic data such as age, sex, HHI, race Length of trip, travel party size VISA market share of all travelers and travelers to your region Match up with “traveler” definition NOT 100% Data for Northeast excludes residents of region!!!

28 VISA spend data does NOT contain……
Other Cards!....VISA about 35-55% HOW Cash taken out by VISA cardholders is spent….!!! Cash taken from origin by traveler Travelers form within region… >50 miles or stayed Overnight

29 VISA Domestic Cardholder Spending, Northeast, other Regions, CY2015
Super Regions Western Northeast South Cape & Isl Central Greater Bstn STATE Tot Spend Amt $535,060,599 $1,545,337,297 $1,036,598,201 $714,354,072 $1,012,366,826 $3,279,238,618 $8,122,955,613 % of Total STATE 6.6% 19.0% 12.8% 8.8% 12.5% 40.4% Y/Y growth 3.4% 14.4% 12.0% 10.1% 7.6% 10.4% Spend / Crdhldr $174.92 $287.00 $304.28 $324.08 $228.29 $350.12 $291.62 Northeast 19% of state 4th highest Spend/Crdhldr All Super Regions EXCLUDE their own residents

30 Top Originating MSAs for Northeast Super Region, 2015
Top Originating MSAs for Northeast Super Region, (excludes residents of Northeast Super Region!!)

31 Top Market Segments Northeast, 2015

32 Top Market Segments Northeast by Cardholder Count , 2015

33 Top Merchant Categories Northeast by Cardholder Counts, 2015

34 Selected MSAs to Northeast, 2015
Cardholder MSA Cardholder Count Sales Amount Sales/Crdhldr Transaction Count Cash Amount Avg Ticket 284,354 $50,436,673 $177.37 1,002,660 $1,034,914 $50.30 AUSTIN-SAN MARCOS, TX 19,410 $2,212,230 $113.97 45,090 $77,797 $49.06 NORFOLK-VIRGINIA BEACH-NEWPORT NEWS, VA-NC 12,901 $2,207,146 $171.08 45,749 $124,082 $48.24 PITTSBURGH, PA 12,509 $2,014,095 $161.01 43,009 $43,486 $46.83 LAS VEGAS, NV-AZ 10,859 $1,980,636 $182.40 32,298 $105,857 $61.32 ALLENTOWN-BETHLEHEM-EASTON, PA 6,498 $973,608 $149.83 21,357 $40,270 $45.59 MILWAUKEE-RACINE, WI 6,227 $965,575 $155.06 16,464 $24,603 $58.65 TUCSON, AZ 4,996 $955,570 $191.27 20,689 $39,390 $46.19 RENO, NV 2,880 $384,643 $133.56 5,728 $9,796 $67.15 MOBILE, AL 3,238 $380,126 $117.40 5,883 $16,801 $64.61 HUNTSVILLE, AL 2,363 $377,782 $159.87 7,113 $5,583 $53.11 TUSCALOOSA, AL 1,212 $196,157 $161.85 4,185 $4,054 $46.87 YOUNGSTOWN-WARREN, OH 1,292 $194,827 $150.79 3,578 $3,699 $54.45

35 Selected Market Segments-Atlanta MSA to Northeast, 2015
Cardholder MSA Market Segment Cardholder Count Sales Amount Transaction Count Avg Ticket ATLANTA, GA Lodging 2,345 $812,572 3,260 $249.26 Restaurants 7,453 $692,816 16,049 $43.17 Other Travel & Entertainment 933 $48,356 1,519 $31.83 Department Stores 431 $42,072 562 $74.86 Discount Stores 288 $23,898 417 $57.31 Misc. Specialty Retail 696 $42,002 831 $50.54 Sporting Goods Stores 203 $15,148 243 $62.34 Supermarkets 2,650 $266,420 6,273 $42.47 Oil 4,208 $161,226 7,172 $22.48 Radio TV & Stereo Stores 134 $29,952 154 $194.49 Drug Stores & Pharmacies 1,534 $62,665 2,597 $24.13 QSR's 5,580 $145,925 15,411 $9.47 Remaining Merchants 8,388 $684,219 8,029 $85.22

36 Merchant Category-Grocery Stores to Northeast, 2015
Cardholder MSA Cardholder Count Sales Amount Transaction Count Cash Amount Avg Ticket 32,054 $4,687,664 91,737 $0 $51.10 ALBUQUERQUE, NM 324 $46,029 800 $57.54 ALEXANDRIA, LA 12 $1,022 22 $46.47 ALLENTOWN-BETHLEHEM-EASTON, PA 707 $66,875 1,801 $37.13 AMARILLO, TX 26 $1,630 59 $27.62 ANCHORAGE, AK 259 $47,264 830 $56.95 ATLANTA, GA 2,650 $266,420 6,273 $42.47 CHARLOTTE-GASTONIA-ROCK HILL, NC-SC 1,153 $114,233 2,893 $39.49 HONOLULU, HI 529 $80,522 1,926 $41.81 LEXINGTON, KY 178 $21,127 535 YUBA CITY, CA 15 $1,841 43 $42.82 YUMA, AZ 38 $4,219 74 $57.01

37 VISA Domestic Spending by Selected Merchant Categories, Northeast, 2015
Category * Cardholder Count Spend $$ Spend/Crdhldr Bowling Alleys 7,146 $374,822 $52.45 Opticians 2,397 $792,804 $330.75 Package Stores 109,371 $5,913,147 $54.24 Motion Picture Theaters 34,122 $910,696 $26.70 Parking Lots/Garages/Meters 39,216 $296,008 $7.55 Dry Cleaners (walk-in) 5,908 $382,479 $64.73 Pet Stores 16,185 $1,220,733 $75.42 * Removed the Boston MSA also

38 Whatz 2016 look like….

39 Visa Domestic Northeast & Mass, 2016 thru June
Y/Y % Change Northeastern Massachusetts Cardholder count 29.7 8.5 Total Spend 21.2 5.9 Transaction count 20.4 8.9 Average Ticket 0.7 -2.4 Only SR up!

40 Rm Sold +ADR = Room Revenue

41 RevPar % change CY 2016 v. 2015 weekly for Boston, Philly and NYC areas

42 Essex County…Other travel related data, CY 2016
$$

43 Mass …other travel related data, 2016 v. 2015
Mass STATE Rooms Occupancy Collections… % Mass LOCAL Rooms Occupancy Collections… % Mass STATE MEALS …………………………………… % Mass LOCAL MEALS…………………………………… % LIA International A/D………………………………..… % LIA Domestic A/D……………………..………………… %

44 Massachusetts and U.S. …volume data , 2016
Domestic Volume to MA through July, 2016 Up 3% International Volume to U.S. through July, 2016 Total International …Down 2.0% Canada …Down 6.7% Western Europe …Down 8.7%

45 Conclusions… Tourism is a wicked huge industry for MAIN street
Conclusions… Tourism is a wicked huge industry for MAIN street ! Massachusetts solid economic impact growth ! MA loss of market share ! The end…yeah Questions???


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