1. Source: http://www.archdaily.com/
Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision Thomas Nowak Secretary General EHPA

2. Scenario implications 1,5C and 2C
Source: Rogelj, J.:
Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision | Thomas Nowak |

3. We need to decarbonise the energy system!

4. Final energy demand for EU28 by end-use for H/C in all sectors in 2012 [total: 12 820 TWh]
Source: Fraunhofer ISI et al. (2016): Report WP 1, p.83
!! % values apply on total!
EHPA contribution to CoolingEU | Thomas Nowak |

5. We need to decarbonise the heating sector!
“rubish in = rubish out”

6. Maybe still not obvious, yet:
If you burn fossil fuel you will emit CO2!
“rubish in = rubish out”

7. Source: edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu Own calculations
Decarbonizing the energy system How much CO2 emissions are available for heating? Mt
Last CO2 emitting
heating technology
sold
Source: edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu
Own calculations
Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision | Thomas Nowak |

8. demand reduction / efficiency
Reduction of CO2 emissions in the heating sector Investment in efficiency AND technology essential
demand reduction / efficiency
Investement in
Investement in heating technology
Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision | Thomas Nowak |

9. Linear emission reduction: necessary steps by 2050
Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision | Thomas Nowak |

10. Avg. CO2 emissions/kWh: status quo 2015 & target values (Source: EU building stock 2015, Entranze, own calculations)
Average
emissions
per kWh
=100% 50
2015
2022 29
2036 43

11. Heat pumps are suitable for residential and commercial applications everywhere in Europe, in new and renovated buildings
Heat pumps are suitable, but nearly completely overlooked for use in industrial applications.
Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision | Thomas Nowak |

12. Moving heat pumps at the center of the energy system
Source:
Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision | Thomas Nowak |

13. ”Re-think the heating heat pump industry…
R&D
“re-design
manufacturing
HP business models
“re-tool
…within 35 years
installation
“re-skill
maintenance
Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision | Thomas Nowak |

14. In my 2050 vision, heat pumps fit everywhere
Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision | Thomas Nowak |

15. Thomas Nowak thomas.nowak@ehpa.org
Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision | Thomas Nowak |