1. Shale Gas Research Michael Kenomore Michael.kenomore@port.ac.uk
Graduate Teaching Assistant
Portsmouth University
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2. University of Portmouth
Biography
: BEng Petroleum Engineering, Portsmouth University : MSc Petroleum Engineering, Heriot-Watt University Interests: Shale Gas and Coalbed Methane
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3. Overview on the proposed research outcome
Aim
Overview on the proposed research outcome
Call for possible data acquisition and collaboration
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Research Process
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Data Acquisition
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Region of Interest
Key wells: Grange Hill 1, Elswick 1, Preese-Hall 1, Thistleton 1, Hesketh 1, Beconsall 1, Formby 1, 4, and 5.
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7. University of Portmouth
Possible Outcomes
Which US shale plays would closely match the Bowland Basin?
Estimate possible recoverable volumes
Number of wells needed to develop the field to achieve certain production rates and revenue
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8. Shale Gas in Place – Bowland-Hodder Shale
Range as estimated in the BGS/DECC report
Estimates consists of the less prospective lower Bowland-Hodder shale
Low Estimate
Middle Estimate
High Estimate
822 TCF
1329 TCF
2281 TCF
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9. UK Shale Gas Production/annum
A third of Britain's gas demand could be met.
Energy Demand
UK Shale Gas Production/annum
2011 UK Gas Demand
2030 UK Gas Demand
Low Scenario
853BCF
3055BCF
3049BCF
Central Scenario
1121BCF
Best Scenario
1389BCF
Recovery factor of shale gas would determine revenue generated.
Natural gas demand for heating, electricity, and industry is not expected to change drastically over the next decade.
IOD, 2013
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10. UK Gas import dependency can be reduced from 76% to 37% by 2030.
Cost of net gas imports will drop by more than half from $15.6bn to $7.5bn.
Significant tax revenues owing to decline north sea production
Declining North Sea oil and gas production and more effi cient car and truck engines will
lead to a fall in tax revenues from Fuel Duty and the North Sea, opening up a tax gap of
around 1.25% of GDP over the next two decades.
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Conclusion
Production forecast
Economic considerations
Ongoing IHS discussion
Two papers to be published on shale gas by July 2015.
Open to other possibilities
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12. University of Portmouth
Questions
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