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Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 8/31/2017

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Presentation on theme: "Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 8/31/2017"— Presentation transcript:

1 Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 8/31/2017
Drought Conditions Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 8/31/2017

2 Prelude to Drought 2017 for ND
Period Precipitation Ranking Fall 2016 14th Wettest Winter 6th Wettest September through February 9th Wettest 6-mo Period March 2017 48th Driest April 2017 34th Driest May 2017 15th Driest Spring 2017 9th Driest Spring June 14th Driest July 11th Driest March-July 3rd Driest 5-mo Period August (unofficial/preliminary) 21st Wettest March through August (unofficial/Preliminary) 9th Driest

3 Precipitation Accumulation Since March 1 in Select Locations in ND (Ranking)
Precipitation Totals Since March 1st Weekly Change Fargo 10th Driest (Record History: 137 years) -1 Grand Forks 20th Driest (Record History: 125 years) -6 Bismarck 45th Driest (Record History: 143 years) -2 Williston 16th Driest (Record History: 124 years) Minot 7th Driest (Record History: 113 years) +2 Bowman 5th Driest (Record History: 103 years) Crosby 10th Driest (Record History: 111 years) Bottineau 35th Driest (Record History: 121 years)

4 7-Day Rainfall total

5 30-Day Rainfall Total Accumulation % of Normal

6 Long Term Precipitation % of Normal
60 Days 90 Days

7 (% Change from previous week)
Cumulative % area (% Change from previous week) D1 66% (+3) DO 100% (0) D4 <1% (0) D3 22% (0) <1% (0) D2 51% (-2)

8 Drought Change One-week Change 4-week Change

9 State Coverage and Intensity (Time Scale)
*Drought Severity and Coverage Index = DOx1+D1x2+D2x3+D3x4+D4x5 *Akyuz (2007)

10 State Coverage and Intensity

11 7-day Forecast Thu 7am, Aug 31 through Thu 7am, Sep 7

12 Medium Range Forecast 8-14 Day Precipitation 8-14 Day Temperature

13 Medium Range Forecast Week 3-4 Precipitation Week 3-4 Temperature

14 1-Month Forecast September Precipitation September Temperature

15 3-Mounth Outlook (September through November)
Precipitation Temperature

16 Drought Outlook


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