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Chapter 29 Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Copyright © 2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
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Chapter Objectives Aggregate demand (AD) Aggregate supply (AS)
How AD and AS determine equilibrium price and real GDP The AD-AS model
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Aggregate Demand Amount of real GDP purchased at each price level
Why the downward slope? No income or substitution effect Real-balances effect: purchasing power of held assets (C) Interest-rate effect: demand for $ (I) Foreign purchases effect (X) Consumption, investment, and net exports
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Aggregate Demand Curve
Price Level AD Real Domestic Output, GDP
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Aggregate Demand Determinants of aggregate demand
Fixed variables along the demand curve Change in fixed variable (C I G X) Multiplier effect Consumer spending variables: Consumer wealth: value of assets Consumer expectations: income and prices Household borrowing: borrowing vs. repaying Personal taxes
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Aggregate Demand Investment spending variables
Real interest rates (related to money supply) Expected returns on investment Future business conditions Technology Degree of excess capacity Business taxes r = i
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Aggregate Demand Government spending Net export spending variables
Remember - Non-transfers only Net export spending variables National income abroad Exchange rates
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Dempsey may have gained us a point…
…but Gerrard can take solace in the favorable exchange rate.
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Changes in Aggregate Demand
Increase in Aggregate Demand Price Level Decrease in Aggregate Demand AD2 AD1 AD3 Real Domestic Output, GDP
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Aggregate Supply Amount real GDP produced at each price level
Three time horizons Immediate short run Few days to a few months All prices fixed (input and output) Implicit price agreements (output) Contractual agreements (input)
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Immediate-short-run Aggregate Supply
ASISR Price Level Immediate-short-run Aggregate Supply Qf Real Domestic Output, GDP
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Aggregate Supply
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Aggregate Supply Short run Long run Input prices fixed
Output prices variable Real profit changes Long run All prices variable Full employment GDP All prices adjust
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Aggregate Supply Slope not constant: per unit production cost and firm capacity Aggregate Supply (Short Run) Competition for resources hikes ATC Price Level Plentiful resources limit growth of ATC Qf Real Domestic Output, GDP
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Aggregate Supply Long-run Aggregate Supply ASLR Price Level
Qf Real Domestic Output, GDP
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Aggregate Supply Determinants of aggregate supply
Change in input price (land, labor, capital) Domestic resource prices Prices of imported resources Change in productivity Change in legal-institutional environment Business taxes and subsidies Government regulation
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Aggregate Supply AS3 Decrease in AS1 Aggregate Supply AS2 Increase in
Price Level Increase in Aggregate Supply Real Domestic Output, GDP
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Equilibrium Price Level and
Real Output Demanded (Billions) Real Output Supplied (Billions) Price Level (Index Number) $506 508 510 512 514 108 104 100 96 92 $513 512 510 507 502 Equilibrium Price Level and Equilibrium Real GDP
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Real Domestic Output, GDP
Equilibrium AS Price Level Equilibrium 100 92 a b AD 502 510 514 Real Domestic Output, GDP (Billions of Dollars)
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Changes in Equilibrium
Increase in Aggregate Demand AS Demand-Pull Inflation P2 Price Level P1 AD1 AD **increase in price level diminishes the multiplier effect Qf Q1 Q2 Real Domestic Output, GDP
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Changes in Equilibrium
Decrease in Aggregate Demand AS Price Level b P1 a P2 c Creates a Recession **No change in price level protects full multiplier effect AD1 AD2 Q1 Q2 Qf Real Domestic Output, GDP 21
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Changes in Equilibrium
Decrease in aggregate demand Recession and cyclical unemployment Deflation? Downward price inflexibility: Fear of price wars Menu costs Wage contracts Morale, effort, and productivity Efficiency wages: output per hour of input Minimum Wage
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Real Domestic Output, GDP
Changes in Equilibrium Decrease in Aggregate Supply AS2 AS1 Cost-Push Inflation b P2 Price Level a P1 AD Q1 Qf Real Domestic Output, GDP
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Real Domestic Output, GDP
Changes in Equilibrium Increases in Aggregate Supply – Full-Employment With Price-Level Stability AS1 AS2 P3 b P2 c P1 a Price Level AD2 AD1 Q1 Q2 Q3 Real Domestic Output, GDP
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Impact of Oil Prices Aggregate supply shocks Cost push inflation
Oil prices affected core inflation prior to 1980 Core inflation unaffected post 1980 Energy efficiency Composition of GDP Fed vigilance
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Key Terms aggregate demand-aggregate supply (AD-AS) model
real-balances effect interest-rate effect foreign purchases effect determinants of aggregate demand aggregate supply immediate-short-run aggregate supply curve short-run aggregate supply curve long-run aggregate supply curve determinants of aggregate supply productivity equilibrium price level equilibrium real output menu costs efficiency wages
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Next Chapter Preview… Fiscal Policy, Deficits, and Debt
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Appendix The Relationship of the Aggregate Demand Curve to the Aggregate Expenditures Model
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Aggregate Expenditures
Deriving the AD Curve AE1 (at P1 ) AE2 (at P2 ) AE3 (at P3 ) As Price Levels Increase… Aggregate Expenditures (billions of dollars) 45° P3 Real GDP Declines Price Level P2 P1 AD Q1 Q2 Q3 Real Domestic Product, GDP
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Aggregate Expenditures
Deriving the AD Curve Price Level Aggregate Expenditures 45° Real Domestic Product, GDP AE2 (at P1 ) AE1 (at P1 ) Increase in Aggregate Expenditures Increase in Aggregate Demand P1 AD2 AD1 Q1 Q2
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Aggregate Expenditures
Deriving the AD Curve Price Level Aggregate Expenditures 45° Real Domestic Product, GDP AE2 (at P1 ) AE1 (at P1 ) The Shift in the Aggregate Demand Curve is a Multiple of the initial Change in Aggregate Expenditures P1 AD2 AD1 Q1 Q2
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