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Monetary Policy Report February 2011
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Balance in the economy requires continued repo rate increases
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Good growth in Sweden ahead
GDP, quarterly changes in per cent calculated as an annual rate, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
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Recovery abroad GDP, annual percentage change.
IMF’s October forecast for Brazil, Russia, India and China (BRIC) Sources: The IMF and the Riksbank
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Forward-looking indicators point to high growth
Purchasing managers’ index in the manufacturing industry, BRIC =Brazil, Russia, India and China Sources: Institute for Supply Management, Markit Economics and Swedbank
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Lower Swedish unemployment
Percentage of labour force, seasonally-adjusted data Source: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
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Strong recruitment plans
Net figures total resp. annual percentage change Sources: National Institute of Economic Research and Statistics Sweden
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Labour shortages increasing
Per cent, seasonally-adjusted data Source: National Institute of Economic Research
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Stronger Swedish krona
Index, 18 November 1992 = 100 Source: The Riksbank
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Higher commodity and energy prices
USD, Index 2005=100 Sources: The Economist and Reuters
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Inflation higher than expected
Annual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
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Inflation close to target
Annual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
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Repo rate increased slightly faster
Per cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank
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A forecast, not a promise
Domestic demand/ Commodity prices Stronger productivity/ Exchange rate Per cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank
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Balance in the economy requires continued repo rate increases
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