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13 The Campaign Process Carolyn Kaster/ AP Images

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2 13 The Campaign Process Carolyn Kaster/ AP Images
Presidential campaigns leave indelible marks on the nation. In this chapter, we will examine the campaign process closely. Carolyn Kaster/ AP Images

3 13 Learning Objectives In this chapter we we'll take a close look at presidential campaigns and how they are run. We start with a look at the primaries. Next, we'll look at the role of money in campaigns and determine why campaigns have a limited impact on election outcomes. Then we'll consider the voters, looking at why people vote or don't vote, and the factors that influence their voting behavior. Finally, we'll analyze the 2012 presidential election. Trace the evolution of political campaigns in the United States. 13.1 Assess the role of candidates and their staff in the campaign process. 13.2

4 13 Learning Objectives Evaluate the ways campaigns raise money. 13.3
Identify the ways campaigns use the media to reach potential voters. 13.4

5 13 Learning Objectives Analyze the 2012 presidential campaign. 13.5

6 Roots of Modern Political Campaigns
13.1 Roots of Modern Political Campaigns Campaigns are both unique and similar. How can that be? The candidates, the issues, the technology, the scandals, and the results all change from campaign to campaign, but the structure remains the same, as we will learn in this first section. The Nomination Campaign The General Election Campaign

7 Nomination Campaign 13.1 Winning the primary election
Starts years before general election Target party leaders and interest groups Test themes, slogans, and strategies Primary voters more extreme and ideological Candidates must be careful. Before a candidate can run in the general election, he must win his party's primary election. The primary campaign starts years before the general election, with potential candidates testing the waters, targeting party leaders and interest groups to see if they can build a base of support. Candidates also test out themes, slogans, and strategies at this time. Very few citizens vote in primary elections, and those that do tend to be ideologically-driven partisans. Candidates who shift too far to the right or left to appeal to primary voters may find themselves perceived as too extreme in the general election. When they try to appear more moderate in the general election campaign, statements they made in the primary campaign may come back to haunt them.

8 General Election Campaign
13.1 General Election Campaign Candidates must switch gears when they win their party's nomination. In the general election campaign, they are running against nominees from other parties. Most partisan voters are unlikely to change their party loyalty so the candidates in the general election are competing for the few undecided voters in the middle of the political spectrum who could vote for either party. The whole general election campaign is geared to wooing these undecided voters. The length of the general election campaign varies by state, depending upon how early they hold their primary. Different than primary Compete against different parties Movement toward center Party loyalists unlikely to budge Competing for moderates Length of campaign varies by state

9 13.1 Why are political campaigns important?
Political campaigns help voters to make informed choices on Election Day. They do this through a complex set of political tools, including media signs and slogans. Here, a sign encourages voters to endorse Dwight D. Eisenhower and Richard M. Nixon for president and vice president, respectively, in 1952. David J. & Janice L. Frent Collection/Corbis

10 13.1 How do general election campaigns differ from primary campaigns?
We've just discussed some differences between primary and general election campaigns. Do you remember them? Candidates attempt to appear more moderate in primaries. Candidates don't use slogans in primaries. Candidates attempt to appear more moderate in general elections. Candidates spend less money in general elections.

11 13.1 How do general election campaigns differ from primary campaigns?
Candidates attempt to appear more moderate in general election campaigns because they are vying for moderate voters rather than partisans. Candidates attempt to appear more moderate in primaries. Candidates don't use slogans in primaries. Candidates attempt to appear more moderate in general elections. Candidates spend less money in general elections.

12 Assembling a Campaign Staff
13.2 Assembling a Campaign Staff Candidates may be the center of political campaigns, but much of the decision making and work of the campaign is done by trusted advisors and campaign staff. In this section, we will learn about some of the major actors in political campaigns. The Candidate The Campaign Staff

13 The Candidate 13.2 Why do candidates run?
Personal ambition Ideological objectives Campaigns take a personal toll. Public exposure and scrutiny for entire family Chance of rejection Meet and greet as many voters as possible Exhaustion leads to gaffes. Tempers flare due to sleep deprivation. The decision to run for political office is not an easy one. Candidates run for office for any number of reasons, including personal ambition, the desire to promote ideological objectives or pursue specific public policies, or simply because they think they can do a better job than their opponents. Regardless of their reasons for taking the plunge, a campaign for public office takes a massive personal toll on candidates and their families, who are subjected to intense public exposure and scrutiny. Since there is only one winner in each election, the candidate is also risking rejection by the voters. It is impossible for candidates to meet more than a tiny fraction of the voters, but they must try. Glad-handing has symbolic value and candidates maintain grueling schedules in their efforts to come face-to-face with as many voters as possible. They also must engage in continual fundraising throughout the campaign. Sleep is a luxury, and sleep-deprived candidates become increasingly short-tempered as campaigns progress, which can lead to gaffes that could cost them the election.

14 The Campaign Staff 13.2 Campaign manager Finance chair
Both paid staff and an army of volunteers work on political campaigns. Obviously, the size of the staff varies depending upon the level of the campaign. Most state and national campaigns have a campaign manager. The campaign manager works closely with the candidate, traveling with him and making most of the day-to-day decisions related to campaign logistics and strategy. The finance chair handles the financial and accounting aspects of the campaign, spearheading fundraising, filing required paperwork, and tracking income and expenditures. As campaigns have gotten more expensive, this role has become significantly more critical and prestigious. The communications director also has a crucial role, developing the media strategy for the campaign, including supervision of advertisements. Well-funded campaigns will also hire a press secretary, who interacts with journalists, acting as primary spokesperson for the campaign. This job includes responding to attacks and delivering bad news. It is better not to have the actual candidate doing the dirty work. The Internet plays an increasingly large role in political campaigns, and some staff are devoted just to managing the candidate's online presence. Campaign manager Finance chair Communications staff Communications director Press secretary Internet team

15 The Campaign Staff 13.2 Campaign consultants Volunteers
Candidates rely on a variety of consultants, particularly pollsters, to give them up-to-the-minute information on where they stand with voters and to gauge the potential reaction to various positions and advertisements. Last but not least, volunteers are the lifeblood of political campaigns. Volunteers canvass; that is, go door-to- door soliciting funds and votes, and engage in get-out-the-vote efforts, such as providing transportation to the polls. Campaign consultants Volunteers

16 13.2 What role do campaign staff play? Brian Snyder/Reuters
Staff assist the candidate with much of the day-to-day work of running a political campaign. Here, presidential candidate Mitt Romney holds a meeting on his campaign bus with senior advisors Stuart Stevens and Eric Ferhnstrom and campaign manager Beth Myers. Brian Snyder/Reuters

17 13.2 FIGURE 13.1 How is a campaign staff organized?
Presidential candidates have large staffs that help them run the day-to-day operations of their lengthy campaigns to be the chief executive of the United States. Among these officers are the campaign manager, finance chair, communications director, and a large number of professional political consultants. The diagram below shows the staff of the 2012 Barack Obama campaign. SOURCE: Updated with data from

18 13.2 13.2 Which member of the campaign staff focuses on the candidate's media strategy? Let's review the various members of the campaign staff that we've discussed. Can you answer this brief question? Campaign manager Communications manager Finance manager Candidate himself

19 13.2 13.2 Which member of the campaign staff focuses on the candidate's media strategy? The communications manager is in charge of the candidate's media strategy. Campaign manager Communications manager Finance manager Candidate himself

20 Raising Money 13.3 Regulating Campaign Finance
Modern political campaigns are staggeringly expensive. The Democratic and Republican parties raised over $2 billion for the 2012 presidential election campaign. Congress has made some half-hearted attempts to regulate campaign finance, but these efforts have been unsuccessful in curbing the growing role of money in political campaigns. In this section, we will briefly look at some of these campaign finance reform efforts and consider sources of campaign funding. Regulating Campaign Finance Sources of Campaign Funding Public Funds

21 Regulating Campaign Finance
13.3 Regulating Campaign Finance Early attempts Prohibition on soliciting funds from federal workers (1883) Tillman Act (1907) Federal Election Campaign Act (FECA) Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act (BCRA) Citizens United v. FEC (2010) Early attempts to regulate campaign finance included a prohibition on soliciting funds from federal workers, passed in 1883 along with other early civil service reforms, and the Tillman Act of 1907, which prohibited corporations from making direct contributions to candidates for federal office. The first serious legislation came in the 1970s. The Federal Election Campaign Act created a program to provide public funding for presidential candidates, and the Federal Election Commission was created to enforce election laws. In 2002, a bipartisan law was passed that set new limits on contributions and advertising. Opponents quickly challenged the law on free speech grounds, and the Supreme Court has ruled that certain parts of BCRA are unconstitutional, such as limits on when advocacy ads can run, and limiting the amount of a candidate's own money that can be spent on his campaign. Most significantly, the Court's decision in Citizens United v. FEC held that spending money on a campaign is a form of free speech and thus cannot be legally restricted. This ruling gutted campaign finance reform and has led to the unchecked expansion of campaign spending since.

22 Sources of Campaign Funding
13.3 Sources of Campaign Funding Individuals $2,500 per election Small donations add up. Political parties Quasi-judicial process Personal savings No limits Political action committees (PACs) $5,000 per election As you saw in the preceding table, individuals are limited to contributing no more than $2,500 per candidate per election. Primary and general elections are considered separately. Individual donors provide most campaign funding. In 2012, Obama raised over $600 million for his re-election campaign, with 34% coming from small donors. Parties also give money to their nominees. They can contribute up to $5,000 for a House candidate and $43,100 to a Senate candidate. Parties provide about 20% of a candidate's campaign funds. Since the Supreme Court ruled that no limits could be placed on personal financing of campaigns, some wealthy candidates have spent tens of millions of dollars of their own money on their campaigns. Interestingly, these wealthy self-financed candidates rarely win. PACs are fund-raising organizations created by economic or ideologically- driven groups. They can give up to $5,000 per candidate per election. In 2012, PACs contributed $32 million, 61% of which went to Republican candidates and 39% to Democrats. PACs are controversial because they are viewed as special interests buying politicians.

23 13.3 TABLE What are the individual contribution limits under BCRA? The BCRA places limits on how much individuals and committees can contribute per election and per year. Source: Federal Election Commission,

24 13.3 FIGURE 13.2 How do PACs allocate their campaign contributions?
Political action committees are major players in American elections. Most PAC money goes to incumbent candidates running for the House of Representatives or the Senate. Source: Center for Responsive Politics,

25 Sources of Campaign Funding
13.3 Sources of Campaign Funding 527s are named for the section of the tax code that covers them. They do not contribute directly to candidates but conduct electioneering activities on behalf of their interests. In 2012, 527s spent $343 million on electoral activities. 501(c) interest groups are not primarily political and may not spend more than half of their funds on campaign politics. Super PACs are the fasting growing actor in electoral politics. They are a special type of PAC that spends money in dependently of individual campaigns. They do not give money directly to candidates and they are not subject to expenditure limits. In 2012, Super PACs spent over $600 million. 527 political committees Named for section of tax code No limits 501(c) groups Not primarily political Super PACs

26 Public Funds 13.3 Presidential candidates
Public campaign funds are donations from general tax revenues to candidates for public office. If a presidential candidate raises at least $5,000, he can apply for federal matching funds. Third party candidates only get funds after the election if they earned more than 5% of the vote. These funds come from the Presidential Election Campaign Fund, which collects $3 each from the taxes of those who tick the donation box on their tax return. Candidates who accept public funds must use them as the sole source of funding for their campaign. The current cap is $91.2 million. In 2008, Barack Obama became the first candidate to opt out of public financing. In 2012, both candidates opted out. Each candidate was able to raise significantly more than the federal limit, so this trend is likely to continue. Presidential candidates Few candidates accept them. Must raise at least $5,000 to qualify for matching funds Third party candidates only get funds after election. Presidential election campaign fund $3 from each taxpayer who ticks box 20% of taxpayers participate 26

27 13.3 13.3 What is the limit on individual contributions to candidates in federal elections? This section covered how political campaigns are funded. Let's recall what we've covered with this brief question. $2,500 $5,000 No limit for individuals, only for corporations Supreme Court has declared such limits unconstitutional.

28 13.3 13.3 What is the limit on individual contributions to candidates in federal elections? Individuals may contribute $2,500 per candidate per election. This does not count contributions to PACs and political parties. $2,500 $5,000 No limit for individuals, only for corporations Supreme Court has declared such limits unconstitutional.

29 Reaching Voters 13.4 Traditional Media New Media
The media have almost complete control over what you, the voter, see and hear about political candidates. Both traditional and new media are important for campaign coverage today. Candidates have little control over how they are portrayed in the media, except for the content of their own campaign advertisements. In this section, we will explore the roles of traditional media, new media, and campaign advertising. Traditional Media New Media Campaign Advertisements

30 Traditional Media 13.4 Deciding what is newsworthy
Obsession with the horse race Strategies to control media coverage Isolate candidate from press Stage media events Spin Appear on on talk and comedy shows Candidate debates Directions to agencies that have the force of law The news media report what they view as newsworthy—"fit to print," as they say. They report on candidates' speeches and other campaign activities, as well as any unflattering personal details that may emerge. Much to the annoyance of the candidates, the main focus of the media at election time tends to be on the horse race: who is ahead, and by how many percentage points. This is a problem because reports of even tiny fluctuations in public opinion can have a major influence on the financial and practical support a candidate receives. It can even influence how people vote. Candidates employ some strategies to try to obtain favorable media coverage. Their staff often seek to isolate them from the press to avoid gaffes. They also stage media events to portray their candidate in the way they want him to be perceived. Spin control is a major part of the job of campaign staff. Candidates also appear on talk shows, comedy shows, and other non-news programs to present themselves in a more informal and appealing way to voters. In the last half century, debates have become an expected part of presidential races, as well as senatorial and gubernatorial elections. Debates are used by voters not so much to learn candidates' positions on issues, as to assess their suitability for office.

31 13.4 How have the rules and format for presidential debates changed since the first televised debates? Presidential debates have come a long way since an ill-at-ease Richard M. Nixon was visually bested by John F. Kennedy in the first set of televised debates. In 2012, President Barack Obama sparred with Governor Mitt Romney in a series of three debates, including one focusing on domestic policy, shown here. Pablo Martinez Monsivais/AP Images Bettmann/ Corbis

32 New Media 13.4 Faster dissemination of information
New media have revolutionized campaigning, particularly the dissemination of information and the gathering of data. Candidates can also respond to breaking news, scandals, or other issues quickly and flexibly. Over the last 20 years, the Internet has become a vital tool used by virtually all candidates for public office. Social media is increasingly important in reaching different demographic groups. One use of new technology that has not proved popular with voters is the use of the robo-call. Such recorded phone calls are frequently used to spread false information about opponents. Faster dissemination of information Faster data collection Faster response time Internet Social media such as Facebook, Twitter, and YouTube Robo-calls

33 Campaign Advertisements
13.4 Campaign Advertisements Positive ads Stress qualifications Negative ads Attack opponents Contrast ads Compare candidates Inoculation ads Anticipate attacks Candidates employ several different types of advertisements in their arsenal of campaign strategies. Positive ads stress the candidate's qualifications while negative ads focus on attacking the opponent's qualifications, character, or policy views. Contrast ads compare the candidates, with an obvious bias for the candidate sponsoring the ad. Inoculation ads attempt to anticipate attacks and deflect them.

34 13.4 Why are candidates often frustrated with the news media?
Please answer this multiple-choice question on the role of the media in political campaigns. They cannot control how they are portrayed. The media focus on the negative, such as gaffes or scandals. The media focus on the horse-race aspects of the election. All of the above

35 13.4 Why are candidates often frustrated with the news media?
Candidates have a frustrating relationship with the media because they need coverage to win elections, yet they cannot control how they are portrayed. The media focus on the negative, as well as the horse-race aspects of who is ahead in the polls. They cannot control how they are portrayed. The media focus on the negative, such as gaffes or scandals. The media focus on the horse-race aspects of the election. All of the above

36 Toward Reform: The 2012 Presidential Campaign
13.5 Toward Reform: The 2012 Presidential Campaign When the incumbent president is running for reelection, the outcome is partly a referendum on his performance of the past four years. This was the case in the 2012 presidential election, which is the subject of the final section of this chapter. The Nomination Campaign The Interim Period The Party Conventions The General Election Campaign Election Results and Analysis

37 The Nomination Campaign
13.5 The Nomination Campaign President Obama did not face any challengers for the Democratic nomination, but Republican candidate Mitt Romney competed against a large field to secure the Republican nomination. His record as a moderate as governor of Massachusetts and his Mormon faith both worked against him with conservative Republican primary voters. The first three primaries featured three different winners, so his victory was far from assured in the early stages of the primacy season. But after Super Tuesday in March, only Rick Santorum remained as a serious challenger, and Romney won sufficient states by early April that it became clear he was going to win the nomination. The Democratic race No challenger The Republican race Large field Romney's victory Record as moderate Mormon faith Rick Santorum emerged as challenger.

38 13.5 FIGURE How did the frontrunner change throughout the 2012 Republican primary? Reflecting the diversity of the Republican field, many candidates appeared to be the "flavor of the week" during the nomination campaign. From November 2011 to April 2012, however, three candidates separated themselves from the field—Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, and Rick Santorum. This figure tracks the rise and fall of each candidate's popularity, as well as that of several other Republican candidates. SOURCE: Data from

39 The Interim Period 13.5 Quiet period before party conventions
Both Obama and Romney used the interim months before their party conventions to fundraise. Obama received a boost to his campaign when the individual mandate of the "Obamacare" legislation was upheld by the Supreme Court as constitutional. But he also committed a major gaffe that summer which would haunt him for the rest of his campaign: In referring to the benefits that business owners receive from the government, he said, "You didn't build that." The phrase was, of course, taken out of context and used against him by Republicans for the remainder of the race. Romney committed a few minor verbal gaffes of his own, but they did not have the impact of “You didn't build that." In August, Romney announced that his running mate would be 42-year-old Representative Paul Ryan of Wisconsin. This pick was calculated to bolster Romney's credentials with conservatives and it worked. Quiet period before party conventions Used for fundraising Obama gets a boost then makes a gaffe Obamacare upheld "You didn't build that" Romney announces running mate

40 13.5 How does a presidential candidate choose a running mate?
Governor Mitt Romney chose Representative Paul Ryan, chair of the House Budget Committee, because he believed Ryan would help to shore up support with the conservative base. He also hoped that Ryan would help to deliver votes in his home state of Wisconsin, which many commentators viewed as a swing state. Charles Dharapak/AP Images

41 The Party Conventions 13.5 Republican National Convention
Tampa, FL during Hurricane Isaac Ann Romney's speech Paul Ryan's acceptance speech Romney's acceptance speech had 30.3 million viewers. Democratic National Convention Charlotte, NC Michelle Obama's speech Bill Clinton's speech Obama's acceptance speech had 35.7 million viewers. The Republican National Convention got off to a windy start as Hurricane Isaac blew through Tampa, Florida. After the brief weather delay, Ann Romney gave a speech calculated to make her husband appeal to women voters. Paul Ryan's acceptance speech was criticized for numerous factual errors. The convention concluded with Romney's acceptance speech, which was viewed by an estimated 30.3 million people. The Democratic National Convention was held in Charlotte, NC. A minor controversy erupted on opening day about the absence of God from the party platform. This "oversight" was "remedied" and the program began with a speech from First Lady Michelle Obama. Candidates' wives give speeches to humanize the candidates and get the public to warm up to them, not to talk about their policy views. Bill Clinton gave a well-received speech formally nominating President Obama for reelection, but the candidate's acceptance speech had to be moved indoors due to rain, reducing the live audience from 72,000 to 20,000. About 35.7 million people are thought to have viewed Obama and Vice President Biden speak.

42 The General Election Campaign
13.5 The General Election Campaign The economy dominated the general election campaign. Critics charged that Obama could no longer blame Bush for the stagnant economy and high unemployment because he had now had four years to fix it. The fatal attack on the U.S. embassy in Benghazi, Libya, on the anniversary of the 9/11 attacks was also extremely damaging to the Obama campaign. The candidates debated on live television three times. Romney won the first debate, which was seen by more than 67 million viewers. Obama's lackluster performance garnered much criticism and lowered his poll numbers. Obama stepped up his game in the second debate, watched by 66 million viewers. Both candidates were perceived as performing well, although the nod went to Obama this time. Obama also narrowly won the third debate, but fewer viewers tuned in and it did not raise his poll numbers, leaving the race tight. 51 million viewers saw the vice presidential candidates debate. A slim majority thought that Biden won. Economy dominated. Attack on embassy in Benghazi, Libya "47 percent" Candidate debates 1st: Romney wins, 67 million viewers 2nd: Obama wins, 66 million viewers 3rd: Obama wins, 59.2 million viewers

43 The General Election Campaign
13.5 The General Election Campaign The economy dominated the general election campaign. Critics charged that Obama could no longer blame Bush for the stagnant economy and high unemployment because he had now had four years to fix it. The fatal attack on the U.S. embassy in Benghazi, Libya, on the anniversary of the 9/11 attacks was also extremely damaging to the Obama campaign. The candidates debated on live television three times. Romney won the first debate, which was seen by more than 67 million viewers. Obama's lackluster performance garnered much criticism and lowered his poll numbers. Obama stepped up his game in the second debate, watched by 66 million viewers. Both candidates were perceived as performing well, although the nod went to Obama this time. Obama also narrowly won the third debate, but fewer viewers tuned in and it did not raise his poll numbers, leaving the race tight. 51 million viewers saw the vice presidential candidates debate. A slim majority thought that Biden won. Candidate debates Vice presidential debate 51 million viewers

44 The General Election Campaign
13.5 The General Election Campaign In the final days of the campaign, the swing states such as Wisconsin, Florida, Ohio, New Hampshire, Virginia, and Colorado were all too close to call. Hurricane Sandy caused the cancellation of several campaign events in the final week of the race. The storm caused over $50 billion in damage and provided opportunities for President Obama to appear in the news media pledging relief to storm victims and viewing the damage. Bipartisan efforts to assist the beleaguered states also showed the president in a positive light. The final days Swing states too close to call Hurricane Sandy

45 13.5 How do candidates reach out to voters for support?
Candidates hold large speeches, rallies and events in an attempt to energize potential supporters. Here, President Obama speaks to a gathering in Madison, Wisconsin, in the weeks before the election. Mark Hirsch/Getty Images

46 Election Results and Analysis
13.5 Election Results and Analysis Election night was tense for supporters of both candidates as the race was too close to call. The evening began to go badly for Romney when he lost his home state of Michigan. Obama ended up winning all of the key swing states. When all states' votes were tallied, President Obama received 332 Electoral College votes and challenger Romney received 206. Obama received 8 million fewer votes than in 2008, and Romney won two states that had voted for Obama in 2008. Romney loses Michigan. Obama wins swing states. Electoral College results Obama, 332 Romney, 206

47 13.5 FIGURE Which states were the focus of the 2012 presidential campaign? The majority of candidate visits were concentrated on a small number of swing states that were viewed as up for grabs in the 2012 presidential election. During the campaign, President Obama visited the above ten battleground states 131 times and Mitt Romney visited them 179 times. The remaining 40 states received Obama 81 times and Romney 106 times. SOURCE: Data from

48 13.5 13.5 How many people watched the first presidential debate, which President Obama lost? One final multiple-choice question for this chapter on the 2012 presidential election. 67 million 15 million 750,000 50 million

49 13.5 13.5 How many people watched the first presidential debate, which President Obama lost? Over 67 million people viewed the first presidential debate. 67 million 15 million 750,000 50 million

50 13 Discussion Questions Why does money play such a large role in political campaigns? Do you think the role of money in elections should be limited? If so, how would you propose to do this without violating free speech rights?

51 13 Further Review Listen to the Chapter
Study and Review the Flashcards Study and Review the Practice Tests


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