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GDP Growth and Elections
Marcus, Margarita, Arda
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Hibbs vs. Australia Elections Economic data US vs. Australia
Fixed vs. Non-fixed 2 party system vs. Coalitions Economic data Eeal disposable personal income vs. Quarterly GDP Growth US vs. Australia
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The Solutions Economic data—quarterly GDP growth Endogenous elections
Real GDP per capita Endogenous elections Traditional Non-traditional Dummy variables
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Possible Explanations
Australia is an open economy Welfare state Different electoral system Australians may not care about the economic voting
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Puerto Rico Gubernatorial Elections Fixed Elections 2-Party System
New Progressive Party Popular Democratic Party
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Possible Explanation and Lessons Learned
Open Economy Idiosyncratic Factors 1972 election
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Questions?
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