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AM and ChemClim WG - February, 2008

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Presentation on theme: "AM and ChemClim WG - February, 2008"— Presentation transcript:

1 AM and ChemClim WG - February, 2008
Aerosol-Climate Interactions in the CAM-Oslo atmospheric GCM and Investigation of Associated Basic Shortcomings * Øyvind Seland 1 Trond Iversen, 1,2 Alf Kirkevåg, 1 Trude Storelvmo, 2,3 1) Norwegian Meteorological Institute 2) University of Oslo 3) ETH Zurich Thanks to: Jon Egill Kristjansson, Phil J. Rasch, Steve Ghan, Richard Easter * In press in Tellus 60A (2008) (RegClim Special issue) Also CAM-Oslo with slab ocean: Kirkevåg et al (2008) AM and ChemClim WG - February, 2008

2 First: Under development: Norwegian GCM/ESM Bjerknes Centre / met
First: Under development: Norwegian GCM/ESM Bjerknes Centre / met.no / Univ. Of Oslo ”CAM-Oslo” based on CAM3 + aerosols CLM3 CICE4 BCM version of MICOM isopycnic ocean model Prism (Oasis 4) coupling (alternative to CPL6/7) Later: Photochemistry (simplified) Carbon cycle emphasizing on ocean processes CAM4 ?

3 This Talk Aerosol-cloud-climate in ”CAM-Oslo” Brief on validation
Direct radiative forcing (DRF) Is absorption in CAM-Oslo abnormal? Indirect radiative forcing (IRF) and the role of prognostic cloud droplet number Influence of natural aerosols on IRF

4 Aerosol-cloud-climate in ”CAM-Oslo”
Major extensions to NCAR CAM3: Aerosol lifecycling and physical properties Sea-Salt, Dust, SO4, OM, BC Size-modes of emitted primary particles are presumed Concentrations are tagged to production and size mode Process-specific mixing state Tables for size, optical, and physical properties Aerosol interactions with radiation Refractive index according to mixing state and size Optical Mie scattering and absorption Aerosol interaction with clouds CCN activation by realized super-saturations Cloud droplet aging and autoconversion

5 Vavrus ”freeze-dry” parameterisation:
Aerosol-cloud-climate in ”CAM-Oslo” Other changes and adjustments of CAM3 physics Vavrus ”freeze-dry” parameterisation: Cloud fraction reduced for low specific humidities Critical mean volume radius for onset of warm-cloud auto-conversion is set to: r3lcrit =15 mm (not 10 mm); Critical precipitation for reduction of auto-conversion collection efficiency by a factor 10: Paut,crit=5 mm/day (not 0.5 mm/day)

6 Brief on validation Regular Surface Measurement verification: Modeled vs. Measured annual concentrations SO4 BC OM SS DU SO4: over-estimated remotely BC: under-estimated SS: over-estimated DU: under-estimated

7 Brief on validation: AODAerosol Optical Depth
CAM-Oslo Model calculated clear sky (0.120) Brief on validation: AODAerosol Optical Depth CAM-Oslo Modis + MISR Satellite Retrievals (0.137) Modis + MISR Satellite Retrievals (0.137) Aeronet General: under-estimate Tropics (biomass reg.): under-estimate Extratropics ocean: over-estimate

8 Brief on validation Ångström parameter: Indicating dominating particle size
Accumulation Mode particles CAM-Oslo Coarse particles Aeronet Coarse particles Accumulation Mode particles Slightly too large particles in CAM-Oslo

9 Year 2000 vs. ”pre-industrial” (1750)
Direct radiative forcing (DRF): CAM-Oslo DRF Year vs. ”pre-industrial” (1750) Top of the Atmosphere W/m2 Ground Surface W/m2 TOA global DRF is approximately zero.

10 Direct radiative forcing (DRF) AerosolDirect Radiative Forcing (since 1750) Our aerosol absorbes more than average AeroCom Mean DRF TOA (W m-2) CAM-Oslo Total -0.22 +0.031 Contribution by SO4 only -0.35 -0.338 SO4 and OM -0.47 -0.504 SO4 and BC -0.05 +0.164 BC and OM +0.13 +0.379 Aerocom average: Total: Wm-2; SO4: W m-2; OM: W m-2 BC: 0.25 Wm-2

11 Is absorption in CAM-Oslo abnormal? Absorption part of AOD
Aeronet ECHAM5-HAM Stier et al 2005 The aerosol does not appear to be too absorptive - If anything it absorbs too little.

12 Is absorption in CAM-Oslo abnormal
Is absorption in CAM-Oslo abnormal? Assumptions influencing aerosol absorption TEST CAM-Oslo DRF TOA (W m-2) Standard set-up 0.031 BC assumed externally mixed -0.175 No OM absorption assumed -0.018 No primary BC(ac) emitted (all in Nucleation / Aitken) -0.021 Assuming external mixing has serious implications for climate impacts of BC

13 Direct radiative forcing (DRF) Surface albedo
CAM-Oslo (0.147) Aerocom aver.(0.170) Modis + SSMI (0.153) (S. Kinne) CAM-Oslo surface albedo large at high latitudes and in some mid-latitude areas

14 1st indirect effect (cloud albedo).
IRF and the role of prognostic CDNC Simulated TOA IRF; 1st indirect effect (cloud albedo). Prognostic CDNC: W/m2 CDNC=CCN: W/m2 Compensating effects in cloud droplet generation and aging are important

15 Influence of natural aerosols on IRF Sensitivity of 1st and 2nd IRF to increased pre-ind CDNC ( +15 cm-3 to account for missing natural aerosols; e.g. SOA)

16 Points of Concern AOD 10-25% underestimated  Missing aerosols ?
Non-desert mineral dust Nitrate Natural and anthropogenic SOA Bio-aerosols Slightly positive direct aerosol forcing; Internal mixing increases absorption efficiency Surface albedo and ABL cloudiness Water cloud indirect forcing is sensitive to Cloud droplet number concentrations (CDNC) in pristine areas Compensating effects in CCN and CDNC modeling

17 Thank You


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