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Chapter Twenty-two International Corporate Finance
Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Chapter Organisation 22.1 Terminology
22.2 Foreign Exchange Markets and Exchange Rates 22.3 Purchasing Power Parity 22.4 Interest Rate Parity, Unbiased Forward Rates and the International Fisher Effect 22.5 International Capital Budgeting 22.6 Exchange Rate Risk 22.7 Political Risk Summary and Conclusions Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Chapter Objectives Be familiar with international finance terminology.
Apply exchange rates and cross rates. Understand triangle arbitrage and covered interest arbitrage. Distinguish between purchasing power parity, interest rate parity, unbiased forward rates, uncovered interest parity and the international Fisher effect. Calculate the NPV of a foreign operation in home currency terms. Explain exchange rate risk and political risk. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Domestic versus International Financial Management
Whenever transactions involve more than one currency, the levels of, and possible changes in, exchange rates need to be considered. The risk of loss associated with actions taken by foreign governments also needs to be considered. This political risk can be difficult to assess and difficult to hedge against. Financing opportunities encompass international capital markets and instruments, which can reduce the firm’s cost of capital. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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International Finance Terminology
Cross rate The implicit exchange rate between two currencies quoted in some third currency. Euro The monetary unit for the European Monetary System (EMS). Eurobonds International bonds issued in multiple countries but denominated in the issuer’s currency. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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International Finance Terminology
Eurocurrency Money deposited in a financial centre outside the country whose currency is involved. Foreign bonds International bonds issued in a single country usually denominated in that country’s currency. Foreign exchange market The market in which one country’s currency is traded for another. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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International Finance Terminology
Gilts British and Irish government securities. London Interbank Offer Rate (LIBOR) The rate most international banks charge one another for overnight Eurodollar loans. Swaps Agreements to exchange two securities or currencies. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Foreign Exchange Market
The world’s largest financial market. Most trading takes place in a few currencies: US dollar ($), euro (€), British pound sterling (£), Japanese yen (¥) and Swiss franc (SF). Participants in the market include: Importers Exporters Portfolio managers Foreign exchange brokers Traders Speculators. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Exchange Rates Q: If you wish to exchange $100 for British pounds at an exchange rate of $A1/£0.337, how many pounds will you receive? A: $A100 × (0.337) = £33.7 Q: You paid 20 French francs for a croissant in France. If the exchange rate is $A1/FF4.1184, how much did it cost in dollars? A: FF20 = $A4.8563 Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Exchange Rate Quotations
$US – Rate at which dealer BUYS $US or SELLS $A Rate at which dealer SELLS $US or BUYS $A Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Example—Exchange Rates
If you wish to convert $A1 000 to $US at the above exchange rates: you SELL $A; therefore, the dealer BUYS $A $A1 000 × = $US819. If you now convert $US819 back to $A: you BUY $A; therefore, the dealer SELLS $A $US819 = $A The difference is the dealer fee ($A1 000 = $A3.04). Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Triangle Arbitrage You have observed the following exchange rates:
$A1/FF10 $A1/DM2.00 DM/FF4.00 Step 1 Buy 1000 francs for $100 Step 3 Exchange DM250 for $A125 Step 2 Buy DM250 for FF1000 You have just made $A25! Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Cross Rates To prevent triangle arbitrage: Cross rate must be:
the $A can be exchanged for FF10 or DM2.00 Cross rate must be: Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Example—Cross Rates The exchange rates for the British pound and the Japanese yen are: $A1 = £0.3538 $A1 = ¥63.74 Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Types of Transactions Spot deal an agreement to trade currencies based on the exchange rate today for settlement within two business days. Spot exchange rate the exchange rate on a spot deal. Forward deal an agreement to exchange currency at some time in the future. Forward exchange rate the agreed-upon exchange rate to be used in a forward deal. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Purchasing Power Parity
The idea that the exchange rate adjusts to keep purchasing power constant among currencies. Absolute purchasing power parity (PPP)—a commodity costs the same regardless of what currency is used to purchase it or where it is selling. For absolute PPP to hold: transaction costs must be zero there must be no barriers to trade the items purchased must be identical in all locations. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Relative Purchasing Power Parity
The idea that the change in the exchange rate between two currencies is determined by the difference in inflation rates between the two countries. Relative PPP, therefore, explains the changes in exchange rates over time rather than the absolute levels of exchange rates. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Relative PPP Equation Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Example—Relative PPP The German exchange rate is currently 1.3 DM per dollar. The inflation rate in Germany over the next five years is estimated to be 5 per cent per year, while the Australian inflation rate is estimated to be 3 per cent per year. What will be the estimated exchange rate in five years? Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Solution—Relative PPP
The DM will become less valuable; $A will become more valuable. The exchange rate change will be 5% – 3% = 2% per year. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Example—Covered Interest Arbitrage (CIA)
Assume: S0 = $A1/¥66.42 F1 = $A1/¥64.80 RA = 7% RJ = 5% $A @ 7% $A $A Profit @ ¥ year @ ¥64.80 ¥ @ 5% ¥ Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Interest Rate Parity (IRP)
The interest rate differential between two countries is equal to the percentage difference between the forward exchange rate and the spot exchange rate. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Unbiased Forward Rates (UFR)
The current forward rate is an unbiased predictor of the future spot exchange rate. On average, the forward exchange rate is equal to the future spot exchange rate. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP)
The expected percentage change in the exchange rate is equal to the difference in interest rates. Combines IRP and UFR. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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International Fisher Effect (IFE)
Real interest rates are equal across countries. Combines PPP and UFR. Ignores risk and barriers to capital movements. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Example—International Capital Budgeting
Pizza Shack is considering opening a store in Mexico. The store would cost $A or 3 million pesos (at an exchange rate of $A1/6.000 pesos). They hope to operate the store for two years and then sell it to a local franchisee. Assume that the expected cash flows are pesos in the first year and 5 million pesos in year 2 (including the selling price of the store and fixtures). The Australian risk-free rate is 7 per cent and the Mexican risk-free rate is 10 per cent. The required return in Australia is 12 per cent. Ignore taxes. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Example—Method 1: Home Currency Approach
Using the interest rate parity relationship: Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Example—Method 2: Foreign Currency Approach
Using a 3 per cent inflation premium: (1.12 × 1.03) – 1 = 15.36% Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Unremitted Cash Flows A foreign subsidiary can remit (or pay out) funds to a parent in many ways, including: dividends management fees for central services royalties on the use of trade name and patents. Earlier example assumed all after-tax cash flows from the foreign investment could be remitted or ‘repatriated’ to the parent firm. Not always the case. Some governments limit the ability of international firms to remit cash flows. Funds that cannot currently be remitted are sometimes said to be blocked. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Exchange Rate Risk The risk related to having international operations in a world where currency values vary. Short-run exposure—uncertainty arising from day-to-day fluctuations in exchange rates. Long-run exposure—potential losses due to long-run, unanticipated changes in the relative economic conditions in two or more countries. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Translation Exposure Uncertainty arising from the need to translate the results from foreign operations (in foreign currency) to home currency for accounting purposes. What is the appropriate exchange rate to use for transferring each balance sheet account? How should balance sheet accounting gains and losses from foreign currency translation be handled? Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Political Risk Changes in value due to political actions in the foreign country. Investment in countries that have unstable governments should require higher returns. The extent of political risk depends on the nature of the business: The more dependent the business is on other operations within the firm, the less valuable it is to others. Natural resource development can be very valuable to others, especially if much of the ground work in developing the resource has already been done. Local financing can often reduce political risk. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Types of Political Risk
Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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Summary and Conclusions
The international firm has a more complicated life than the purely domestic firm. Management must understand the connection between interest rates, foreign currency exchange rates, inflation, financial market regulations, and tax systems. The fundamental relationships between international variables are: Absolute and relative purchasing power parity (PPP) Interest rate parity (IRP) Unbiased forward rates (UFR). Foreign exchange relationships imply two conditions: Uncovered interest parity International fisher effect. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 4e, by Ross, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield & Jordan
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