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AUSTRALIA Taipei AUGUST 2016 Simon Every
APEC Green Energy Finance Initiative Session IV: Best Practice & Policies: AUSTRALIA Taipei AUGUST 2016 Simon Every Head of Government and Stakeholder Relations
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Agenda Australia’s energy challenge Challenges for green energy
The role of the CEFC Case studies
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Electricity in Australia
2 major markets A few remote grids Multiple isolated settlements ~85% Fossil Fuels NEM SWIS Customers 9 million 1 million Generating Capacity 45,000 MW (~71%) 5,800 MW (~9%) Consumption 200 TWh/per annum 18 TWh/per annum Transmission length 40,000 km 7,800 km Value of trade $5.9bn USD $385m USD Cities over 1 million pop. Cities million pop. Source: AER, AEMO, Office of Chief Economist
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In 2015, ~15% of Australia’s electricity came from renewable sources
35,000GWh from renewables 205,000GWh from fossil fuels Source: Clean Energy Council
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Australia has commited to reducing emissions by 26% by 2030
2005: 612MtCO2-e 2030 target: MtCO2-e Source: Climate Change Authority, Australian Government
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Energy and transport are responsible for 70% of Australia’s emissions
536Mt* in 2015 Electricity, stationary energy and transport account for 70% of Australia’s emissions. Land-use changes have traditionally been big driver of emissions in Australia In recent years, emissions from the electricity sector fell, due to decreasing demand and lower emissions intensity *estimate Source: Australian Government
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New build renewables are competitive with or cheaper than new build coal
(no CCS) Source: BNEF, coal range uses BNEF for upper estimate ~$120 and CO2CRC for lower estimate $70
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Agenda Australia’s energy challenge Challenges for green energy
The role of the CEFC Case studies
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What is “green” finance in Australia
CEFC Definition: Renewable energy (wind, solar, hydro, oceanic, geothermal, biomass & waste to energy) Energy efficiency (either absolute or energy intensity per unit produced/consumed basis) Other emission abating activity (generally less than 50% emissions intense than baseline e.g. green vehicles, waste coal mine gas or landfill gas to energy.) Input goods and services, related technologies or hybrids of the above But not Conservation or recycling if unrelated to the above Nuclear energy – prohibited 1/3 of world’s known uranium resources but only 1 nuclear plant in Australia Carbon capture & storage – prohibited
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Challenges for “green” finance in Australia
Regulatory and policy uncertainty Energy market characteristics and constraints Finance market characteristics and constraints
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Challenges: Regulatory and policy uncertainty
1. Kyoto Period – signed 1997 but did not ratify Protocol until 2007 2. Mandatory Large Scale Renewable Energy Target – 2001 Initiated with a target of 9,500 GWh by 2010 2011 Expanded to a target of 41,000 GWh by 2020 2015 Reduced to a target of 33,000 GWh by 2020 2016 Not clear at present what post 2020 regime to look like, but scheme continues until 2030 3. Pricing Carbon 2007 Promised 2008 Delayed due to GFC 2011 Legislated 2013 Repealed 4. Emissions Reduction Fund 2013 Legislated 2016 Post initial funding period unclear 5. Inconsistent state-based schemes (e.g. wind farm regulation, landfill fees, reverse auctions, feed in tariffs) But post Paris policy “fusion” between energy and climate ministries gives much more hope for emergence of stable consistent schemes going forward
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Challenges: Energy Market characteristics and constraints
Very long skinny network with limited interconnectivity between NEM regions – “national” system masks great degree of regional variability in nature of generation assets Very strong uptake of household PV – highest % household uptake in world Carbon not currently part of the administrative scheme Concentration of ownership: State/Territory Government heavily invested in SOEs in 6 of 8 jurisdictions 3 x large private “gentailers” vertically integrated generation and retail + large gas interests 3 x large state gentailers 4. Small market e.g. no Australian biomass specialist utility
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Challenges: Finance Market characteristics and constraints
Small market – 23m people Domestic capital markets not deep – 4x large private domestic banks whose rate of lending to business has been in decline, lack of appetite for long-term debt Finance market gaps: lack of angel investors lack of venture capital lack of patient capital small project finance capital willing to take merchant price risk on energy projects market locked out of financing many government facilities split incentives (e.g. street lights, hotels, tenanted buildings) lack of knowledge among investors and facility owners “chicken & egg” scenario – who comes first – debt or equity?
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Agenda Australia’s energy challenge Challenges for green energy
The role of the CEFC Case studies
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CEFC – Facilitating flows of private sector finance
Driving productivity gains, lowering energy costs and reducing emissions Independent, Australian Government institution that operates like a traditional financier Private sector expertise with public purpose - Finance for energy efficiency, low-emissions and renewable energy projects and programs across the economy Access to AUD 10 billion by July 2017 Commercial return on investment (debt or equity) Projects that are smaller, more complex or new to the Australian market Operates as a co-financier to encourage participation in the sector from private sector financiers
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Australian Opportunities: CEFC strategic framework
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The CEFC’s business platforms and programs
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Where we invest across the commercialisation pathway
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Our investment process
ELIGIBLE TECHNOLOGIES Renewable energy Energy efficiency Low-emission PROHIBITED TECHNOLOGIES Nuclear and CCS
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The CEFC currently has ~$1.8bn of investment commitments
AUD m At June
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The CEFC’s portfolio is invested across different finance types and technologies
Project finance Corporate loans Co-finance or aggregation Equity At March
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We invest across the capital structure
Direct investments Indirect investments Seed and venture e.g. Innovation Fund RISK Expansion capital e.g. Innovation Fund Property equity e.g. High Income Sustainable Office Trust (HISOT) Infrastructure equity e.g. Palisade, Aus Bioenergy Fund Mezzanine debt, corporate finance and bonds e.g. CBA, NAB, Westpac, Firstmac, Eclipx, Origin Senior debt e.g Moree Solar Farm, DeGrussa Copper Mine Solar and Storage, Barcaldine Solar Farm RETURN
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CEFC role: an example of solar
Cornerstone investor for new solar technologies New financing models, setting a precedent for the financial market Finance for smaller utility-scale projects Financing merchant solar, when needed Underwrote debt for Sundrop Farms solar thermal greenhouse Solar leasing and PPAs. $250m large-scale solar program. $13m for Uterne PV plant in NT. $15m for DeGrussa solar and storage in WA 56MW Moree Solar PV Farm
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Agenda Australia’s energy challenge Challenges for green energy
The role of the CEFC Case studies
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Replacing diesel fuel with solar and storage
Debt financing for solar and storage at remote copper mine Action Impact CEFC COMMITMENT Up to $15 million A commitment of $15 million to Sandfire Resources for Australia’s largest integrated off-grid solar and battery storage facility Installation of 34,000 solar PV array integrated with battery storage and existing diesel generator at DeGrussa Copper Mine Peak-load power expected to offset nearly half of mine’s daytime electricity consumption Reduces reliance on diesel fuel and exposure to oil price volatility. PROJECT VALUE $40 million EXPECTED CO2 REDUCTION 12,000 t/CO2-e annually MW OF RENEWABLES 10.66MW battery storage with existing diesel system MW solar PV
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Remote Industrial: Replacing diesel fuel with solar and storage
Debt financing for solar and storage at remote copper mine Action Impact CEFC COMMITMENT Up to $15 million A commitment of $15 million to Sandfire Resources for Australia’s largest integrated off-grid solar and battery storage facility Installation of 34,000 solar PV array integrated with battery storage and existing diesel generator at DeGrussa Copper Mine Peak-load power expected to offset nearly half of mine’s daytime electricity consumption Reduces reliance on diesel fuel and exposure to oil price volatility. PROJECT VALUE $40 million EXPECTED CO2 REDUCTION 12,000 t/CO2-e annually MW OF RENEWABLES 10.66MW battery storage with existing diesel system MW solar PV
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NEM Utility Solar: Tracking the sun to drive performance for
large-scale solar farm Debt finance for 56 MW solar power station Action Impact CEFC COMMITMENT Up to $46 million Funded in conjunction with FRV and ARENA CEFC underwrote the senior debt CEFC provided finance even with merchant power price risk Investment supports innovative on-grid, large scale solar with single axis tracking to increase performance Employing more than 150 people during construction and benefitting up to 40 local businesses TOTAL PROJECT VALUE Up to $46 million NEW RENEWABLE CAPACITY 56 MW LOCATION Moree, NSW TECHNOLOGY Solar
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Urban Energy Efficiency: Better social and affordable housing
CEFC finance gives community housing a clean energy boost CEFC COMMITMENT $60 million Not-for-profit community housing provider SGCH and the CEFC have reached an agreement to develop environmentally-friendly social and affordable housing projects CEFC has committed up to $60m Expected to build over 200 new energy efficient homes. Upgrade a proportion of SGCH’s 4,300 existing, older properties with energy efficient technologies. EXPECTED RATING 4-star Green Star 7-star NatHERS TECHNOLOGIES LED lighting, energy efficient appliances, smart meters and solar, window glazing, insulation PROJECT PARTNER St George Community Housing (SGCH)
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Opportunity: the Future is Now
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