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Published byMargaretMargaret Curtis Modified over 6 years ago
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The Current State and Future of Online Lending
By Renaud Laplanche
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The Last 10 Years: A Slow March Into the Mainstream
“Websites are allowing person-to-person loans, cutting out the middleman.”
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Now Nearing Completion
“I see the growth of online lending and marketplace lenders as the natural evolution of banking itself.” Noreika said.
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Why Online Lending Works
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Online Lending Platforms Operate at Lower Costs
Online Lending Generates 400bps in Operating Costs Reduction vs. Traditional Lenders
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More Complete Data Set Enhances Underwriting
Bank account data Credit Score History Debt to Income Ratio Traditional Lenders Credit Score History Online footprint Bank account data Debt to Income Ratio Utility Payments Online Lending Location Data Free Cash Flow
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Delivering Attractive Investor Returns
Source: Wall Street Journal. Data as of 10/6/2017.
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And Attractive Yield/Maturity Through Securitization
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Mostly Uncorrelated to Other Asset Classes
Source: Garret/Galland Research
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Fast Growing Appetite from Borrowers & Investors
87% CAGR
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The growth of online lending will accelerate in the next 15 months
Prediction #1 The growth of online lending will accelerate in the next 15 months
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The Next 15 Months
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Initial Opportunity is Expanding: CC Balance Rising
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But Mortgage Debt Is Declining
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Driving Overall Debt Service Ratio to All-Time Low
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Enabling Sustained Economic Growth
The current economic expansion is 99-month old. The expansion cycle before last lasted from March 1991 to March 2001, a full 120 months.
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The Emergence of Online Lending 2.0
Borrowers Investors Greater Affordability & Convenience Greater Predictability & Liquidity User Impact Lower Operating Costs & Faster Dev Cycle Better Underwriting Models Stronger Compliance, Transparency & Data Integrity Benefit Modern Architecture / Microservices Cloud Computing Big Data Blockchain Protocol Technology
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An organized secondary market for online
Prediction #2 An organized secondary market for online loans will emerge in the next 15 months
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Product Innovation
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The “Unbundling” of Banking: 1998 through 2015
Banks Lending Deposits Payments Asset Management Personal Finance Lending Club Prosper OnDeck Kabbage PayPal Stripe Square Marqeta Wealthfront Betterment Wealthsimple WiseBanyan Credit Karma Mint Acorn Digit
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The Great “Re-bundling”: 2015 - 2020
Lending Payments Asset Management Personal Finance Deposits
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Credit Monitoring & Education Empower Consumers
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Continued re-bundling will give birth to at least one
Prediction #3 Continued re-bundling will give birth to at least one major consumer product innovation in next 15 months
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Legal Disclaimer Disclaimer
Some of the statements in this presentation are "forward-looking statements." The words "anticipate," "believe,“ "estimate," "expect," "intend," "may," “outlook,” "plan," "predict," "project," "will," "would" and similar expressions may identify forward-looking statements, although not all forward-looking statements contain these identifying words. Upgrade may not actually achieve the plans, intentions or expectations disclosed in forward-looking statements, and you should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Actual results or events could differ materially from the plans, intentions and expectations disclosed in forward-looking statements. Upgrade does not assume any obligation to update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law. Information in this presentation is not an offer to sell securities or the solicitation of an offer to buy securities, nor shall there be any sale of securities in any jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of such jurisdiction.
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Thank You
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