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De-worse-ification
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How Does the Smart Money Look at Diversification?
Many Believe Broad Diversification Creates Safety How Does the Smart Money Look at Diversification?
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Flaws In Broad Diversification
“De-worse-ification: to describe an investment approach where people spread themselves too thin and do not concentrate on the best opportunities available.” What is normal? Is there a new normal? - Peter Lynch- Research Consultant and acclaimed Fidelity Investments Magellan Fund manager from 3
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Flaws In Broad Diversification
“If you can buy more of your best idea, why put [the money] into your 10th best idea or 20th best idea? The more positions you have, the more average you are.” - Bruce Berkowitz Founder and Managing Member of Fairholme Capital Management and a Director of Fairholme Funds, Inc. 4
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“The Best” Investor View
“Diversification is a protection against ignorance. It makes very little sense for those who know what they are doing… Wide diversification is only required when investors do not understand what they are doing.” Have you been working with an advisor where there strategy is Buy and Hope? Is your advisor trying to convince you if you just keep hoping everything will turn out okay? How many of you believe that? -Warren Buffet Chief Executive of Berkshire Hathaway (1966 annual report) 5
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“The Best” Investor View
"Do you really like a particular stock? Put 10% or so of your portfolio on it. Make the idea count … Good [investment] ideas should not be diversified away into meaningless oblivion." Have you been working with an advisor where there strategy is Buy and Hope? Is your advisor trying to convince you if you just keep hoping everything will turn out okay? How many of you believe that? -William H. Gross “Bill Gross On Investing” (1998) 6
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Other Views of Diversification
“You’ll need at least a dozen carefully selected individual stocks to be truly diversified.” - Beginner’s Guide to Asset Allocation, Diversification, and Rebalancing ( 7
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Too Many Holdings? “The Wall Street Journal reports that the average stock fund has 172 holdings. What is the point of having that many holdings?” Here’s what we’ve learned about over diversification. According to an article written in 1987, “there is very little incremental reduction in annual standard deviation once you get past about 20 holdings.” Source: How Many Stocks is too many? Diversification, John Reese, The Guru Investor, Validea, August 19, 2009 8
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What’s the right number?
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No strategy can guarantee profit or protect against a loss.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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BigFoot Investments (a DBA of Lee Johnson Capital Management) does not promise, guarantee or imply that you will improve your operation, or increase your revenues. As with any business, earnings potential and successful or unsuccessful use of BigFoot Investments’ products and materials will widely vary among our customers depending on many factors, including but not limited to, the customer’s finances, knowledge and skill set, creativity, motivation, level of effort, individual expertise and as such we do not guarantee your success or income level. The information conveyed by BigFoot Investments, as well as the information otherwise conveyed in these materials is intended to provide you with basic instruction regarding your business or operation. BigFoot Investments does not guarantee any results or returns based on the information you receive. Past performance or examples of other’s performance is no indication or guarantee of your anticipated future results, and individual results may vary. We are not responsible for any success or failure of your business if you implement the information you receive from us. We provide a tool that you can use to try to improve the operations of your business. All information contained or received through the use of our materials is provided “as is” without warranty of any kind. We hereby disclaim all warranties with regard to the information contained in our materials including without limitation all expenses, statutory and implied warranties of merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose.
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