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2008 Global Financial Crisis
Compiled by Liao
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Content Recession types Liquidity Problem Seven Measures
V-shaped recession U-shaped recession L-shaped recession Liquidity Problem Seven Measures Opportunities for Taiwan
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Recession Types (1/3) V-shaped Recession Economic Growth Time
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Recession Types (2/3) U-shaped Recession Economic Growth Time
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Recession Types (3/3) V-shaped Recession Economic Growth Time
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Liquidity problems Financial Crisis M&A Bankruptcy Recession
Illiquidity Financial Sectors M&A Bankruptcy Unemployment Real Sectors Recession
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Global Financial Crisis
Seven Measures (1/8) By Nouriel Roubini Interest-rat cuts Deposits guarantee Temporary Freeze on household’s debt Global Financial Crisis Public provision of credit Fiscal stimulus Financing between countries Provision of liquidity
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At least 150 basis points on average globally
Seven Measures (2/8) Interest-rat cuts At least 150 basis points on average globally What about Japan?
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A temporary blanket guarantee of all deposits
Seven Measures (3/8) Deposits guarantee A temporary blanket guarantee of all deposits Insolvent financial institutions Distressed but solvent financial institutions Be shut down Partially nationalized and injected
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A temporary freeze on foreclosures
Seven Measures (4/8) Temporary Freeze on household’s debt A temporary freeze on foreclosures
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Provision of liquidity
Seven Measures (5/8) Provision of liquidity Massive and unlimited provision of liquidity to solvent financial institutions
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To the solvent parts of the corporate sector
Seven Measures (6/8) Public provision of credit To the solvent parts of the corporate sector Avoid a short-term refinancing crisis for solvent but illiquid business
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Seven Measures (7/8) Fiscal stimulus
1 Public works 2 Infrastructure 3 Unemployment benefits 4 Tax rebate to lower-income households 5 Grants to cash-strapped local governments
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Seven Measures (8/8) Financing between countries Creditor countries
running current account surplus Debtor countries Running current account deficits To maintain an orderly financing of deficits
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Opportunities for Taiwan
London Financial Center UK Wall Street US Taiwan Middle East PRC
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