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SO, WHAT IS DEMOCRACY ANYWAY?
The de Borda Institute . ♯deborda Even if only 50% + 1
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“A or B?” or “X, yes-or-no?”
50% + 1… …the winner wins everything and the loser gets nothing. Yugoslavia
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“All the wars in the former Yugoslavia started with a referendum.”
Oslobodjenje, Sarajevo’s famous newspaper, Electoral systems. Often hopelessly inaccurate. Brexit. 4 options. Only 1 vote.
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Brexit The UK in the… like... EU Austria EEA (European Economic Area) Norway Customs Union Turkey WTO (World Trade Organisation) Others Remain or leave? Other majority votes.
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Brexit The UK in the… EU (remain-or-leave?) yes-or-no? EEA (European Economic Area) ? Customs Union ? WTO (World Trade Organisation) ? Today, decision-making. Mum and dad. Majority voting. As in Brexit. Answer = question. Napoleon
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Three referendums: Napoléon to be… 1800 Consul 99 % 1802 Consul for Life 99 % 1804 Emperor 99 %
L’état, c’est quoi? Lenin
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. .Majoritarianism or bolshevism?
Lenin All-Russian Congress of Social Democrats, voted ‘for’ 49 % 17 voted ‘against’ 44 % 3 abstained 8 % Hitler
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‘democratic dictator’ ..
Three referendums: 1934 Hitler as Chancellor 88 % 1936 Hitler as Führer 98 % ________ 1938 Anschluss 99 % Iran
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Referendums in Iran And now, preferential voting Pluralist democracy…
A B C…
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9 voters choosing a barrel of drink A ale, B beer or C cider
1st Preference 2nd Preference 3rd Preference 4 = A C B
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A ale, B beer or C cider Ale Cider Beer 9 voters 4 voters 3 voters
1st Preference Ale 2nd Preference Cider 3rd Preference Beer 3 = B C A
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A ale, B beer or C cider Ale Beer Cider 9 voters 4 voters 3 voters
1st Preference Ale Beer 2nd Preference Cider 3rd Preference 2 = C B A
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A ale, B beer or C cider Ale Beer Cider 9 voters 4 voters 3 voters
1st Preference Ale Beer Cider 2nd Preference 3rd Preference Overall, divisive, mixed, consensus
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A ale, B beer or C cider Ale Beer Cider 9 voters 4 voters 3 voters
1st Preference Ale Beer Cider 2nd Preference 3rd Preference Plurality
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Result: A = 4, B = 3, C = 2, so A wins.
Plurality Vote 9 voters 4 voters 3 voters 2 voters 1st Preference A B C 2nd Preference 3rd Preference Result: A = 4, B = 3, C = 2, so A wins. Two round system
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Two-round system 9 voters 4 voters 3 voters 2 voters 1st Preference A B C 2nd Preference 3rd Preference Result: st round, A = 4, B = 3, C = nd round, A = 4, B = so B wins. Points system
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Points system A = 12 B = 9 C = 6 C = 8 B = 4 A = 3 A = 2
9 voters 4 voters 3 voters 2 voters 1st Preference = 3 points A = 12 B = 9 C = 6 2nd Preference = 2 points C = 8 B = 4 3rd Preference = 1 point A = 3 A = 2 Result: A = = B = = C = = so C wins. Totally democratic results
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The ‘totally democratic’ winner!
Voting Systems The Winner Plurality voting ALE - A Two-round system BEER - B Points system CIDER - C Once upon a time… The House of Lords
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A B C D E
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A fairy tale: the British House of Lords
Elected Appointed A % % B % % C % % D % % E % % Lord J
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Lord J’s set of A- B- C- D- E preferences Preferences: 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th ….... Lord J : – 1 points Lady K
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Two sets of A- B- C- D- E preferences Preferences: 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th ….... Lord J : – 1 points Lady K : – 1 points Lady L
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Three sets of A- B- C- D- E preferences Preferences: 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th ….... Lord J : – 1 points Lady K : – 1 points Lady L : – 1 points Good Lord – Lord M
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Good Lord! .. Lord M’s 1st , 2nd , 3rd, 4th, 5th preferences are B, D, A, E, C A – 3rd, B – 1st, C – 5th, D – 2nd and E – 4th 62% elected, 38% appointed The fairy tale ends
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The collective will of all three: J, K and L Lord J : – 1 points Lady K : – 1 points Lady L : – 1 points TOTAL: – 3 points Brexit
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A multi-option vote? The UK in the… EU 48 % EEA (European Economic Area) x % Customs Union y % WTO (World Trade Organisation) z % x + y + z = 52 % Preferential voting
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Preferential points voting
If you vote for only 1 option, your favourite gets 1 point. If vote for 2 options 27
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Preferential points voting
If you vote for only 1 option, your favourite gets 1 point. If you vote for 2 options, your favourite gets 2 points (and your 2nd choice gets 1 point). So on 4 options 28
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A 4-option preferential ballot
If you vote for: Number of options 1 option 2 options 3 options 4 options your 1st preference gets: 1 pt 2 pts 3 pts 4 pts your 2nd preference gets: - your 3rd preference gets: your 4th preference gets: So, to conclude, majority voting is divisive.. BBC 29
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Majority rule Parliament The People Opposition Government
Inclusive democracy: average = non-majoritarian
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Preferential voting - a catalyst of consensus
Parliament The People Government Majority voting divisive. Majority rule conflict. Bizarrely… BBC By all means, majority. New Zealand.
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Majority votes in national parliaments, the UN Security Council, etc.; Referendums in… …Catalonia, Kashmir, Kurdistan, Northern Ireland, Quebec, Scotland, Taiwan, Xīnjiāng… So what is democracy? Gandhi
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So, what is democracy anyway?
Majoritarianism: majority voting and majority rule. Consensus: preferential decision-making and all-party power-sharing. The de Borda Institute ♯deborda
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