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Presidential Election Market Reaction

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Presentation on theme: "Presidential Election Market Reaction"— Presentation transcript:

1 Presidential Election Market Reaction
Daryl Montgomery November 30, 2016 Copyright 2016, All Rights Reserved

2 The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation to buy or sell any security and are for educational purposes only

3 Summary U.S. stocks were best performing market in world in 10 days after election (not YTD). Small caps outperform, Nasdaq underperforms. Financials, Industrials strongest rallies, Utilities, Consumer Staples biggest drops. U.S. dollar strongest currency after election (not YTD). Dollar has breakout on charts. Bond sell off globally with rising interest rates. Major bottom may have been put in. Gold big selloff, Oil sideways. Watch out for Fed meeting on Dec 13-14th.

4 Stocks

5 U.S Stocks Indices Red Russell 2000, Gold Dow, Black S&P 500, Blue Nasdaq

6 U.S Stock Sectors Light Red Financials, Orange Industrials, Light Grey Healthcare, Brown Basic Materials, Dark Red Consumer Discretionary, Black S&P 500, Blue Energy, Yellow Technology, Dark Grey Consumer Staples, Green Utilities

7 Dow Industrials Daily YTD
50, 200, 325-Day Moving Averages; RSI; MACD; DMI

8 S&P 500 Daily YTD 50, 200, 325-Day Moving Averages; RSI; MACD; DMI

9 Nasdaq Daily YTD 50, 200, 325-Day Moving Averages; RSI; MACD; DMI

10 Russell 2000 Daily YTD 50, 200, 325-Day Moving Averages; RSI; MACD; DMI

11 European Stocks Black S&P 500, Orange UK, Bronze Germany, Blue France, Yellow Italy, Red Spain

12 Asian Stocks Black S&P 500, Red Japan, Bronze China, Blue Korea, Orange India

13 South & Central American Stocks
Black S&P500, Red Peru, Orange Chile, Yellow Columbia, Bronze Mexico, Blue Brazil

14 Commodity Country Stocks
Black S&P500, Bronze Russia, Red Australia, Orange Canada, Blue South Africa

15 Bonds

16 10-Year Government Bond Yields
Black U.S. Treasuries, Gold German Bunds, Blue Japanese JGBs, Red UK Gilts

17 U.S. Government Bond Yields
Black 30-Yr Treasury, Gold 10-Yr Treasury, Blue 5-Yr Treasury, Red 2-Yr Treasury

18 High Yield Corporates Daily YTD
50, 200, 325-Day Moving Averages; RSI; MACD; DMI

19 U.S. Mortgage Rates

20 30 Year Treasury Daily YTD
50, 200, 325-Day Moving Averages; RSI; MACD; DMI

21 10 Year Treasury Daily YTD
50, 200, 325-Day Moving Averages; RSI; MACD; DMI

22 10 Year UK Gilt Daily YTD 50, 200, 325-Day Moving Averages; RSI; MACD; DMI

23 10 Year German Bund Daily YTD
50, 200, 325-Day Moving Averages; RSI; MACD; DMI

24 10 Year Japanese JGB Daily YTD
50, 200, 325-Day Moving Averages; RSI; MACD; DMI

25 Currencies

26 European Currencies Black U.S. $, Blue British Pound, Red Swiss Franc, Orange Norwegian Krone, Bronze Euro

27 Asian Currencies Black U.S. $, Red Thai Baht, Blue Indian Rupee, Orange Singapore $, Bronze Japanese Yen

28 South & Central American Currencies
Black US $, Orange Peruvian Sol, Red Columbian Peso, Yellow Chilean Peso, Blue Brazilian Real, Bronze Mexican Peso

29 Commodity Country Currencies
Black U.S. $, Blue Canadian $, Red Australian $, Orange South African Rand

30 US Dollar DXY Daily YTD 50, 200, 325-Day Moving Averages; RSI; MACD; DMI

31 Commodities

32 Precious Metals Black S&P 500, Red Palladium, Orange Platinum, Bronze Gold, Blue Silver

33 Base Metals Black S&P 500, Red Aluminum, Orange Tin, Bronze Copper, Blue Nickel

34 Energy Commodities Black S&P 500, Red Uranium, Orange Alternatives, Bronze Oil, Blue Natural Gas

35 Agricultural Commodities
Black S&P 500, Red Coffee, Orange Cotton, Bronze Grains, Blue Sugar, Yellow Livestock

36 Gold GLD Daily YTD 50, 200, 325-Day Moving Averages; RSI; MACD; DMI

37 Silver SLV Daily YTD 50, 200, 325-Day Moving Averages; RSI; MACD; DMI

38 WTI Crude Oil Daily YTD 50, 200, 325-Day Moving Averages; RSI; MACD; DMI

39 The End


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