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Market Review Springtime for Commodities

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Presentation on theme: "Market Review Springtime for Commodities"— Presentation transcript:

1 Market Review Springtime for Commodities
Daryl Montgomery March 22, 2016 Copyright 2016, All Rights Reserved

2 The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation to buy or sell any security and are for educational purposes only The New York Investing meetup is not affiliated with the New York Life Insurance Co.

3 Shorts Run for it as Commodity Bull Emerges

4 Didn’t Attend New York Investing Meetup Meetings

5 Regularly Attends New York Investing meetup
Arrested for counterfeiting

6 Stocks, Commodities, Currencies, Bonds

7 Articles Published Since February Meeting
17 articles published on Seeking Alpha. Sign up (it’s free) and follow me so you get the URLs ed to you when articles appear. 03/15/16: “Broken BRICs: How Their Bear Markets Are Affected By Commodities” 03/16/16: “Why the US Dollar May Not Rally Further” 03/17/16: “Euro More Likely To Rally Than The U.S. Dollar” 03/18/16: “Healthcare Sector: How to Invest to Make Yourself Feel Good”

8 Market Summary Central banks flooding markets with liquidity – minus rates in Japan, EU, Fed slowing rate rise. Stocks AND commodities have been rallying. Bear market moving average pattern in place for Dow, S&P 500, Russell Nasdaq almost (same as last month). Could hold market up. Dollar weakening, Euro/Swissy, Aussie stronger. Gold entered bull market almost overnight. Leveraged miners, natgas stocks up 100%; top 5 performers 2016 all commodities. Oil has probably bottomed.

9 U.S Stock Indexes Technical Analysis
New York Investing meetup March 22, 2016

10 Dow Industrials: 3 Years Weekly
10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

11 Dow Transportation: 3 Years Weekly
10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

12 S&P500: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

13 Nasdaq: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

14 Russell 2000: 3 Years Weekly 10,40,65-Week lyMoving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

15 End of U.S. Stocks

16 Foreign Stocks: Major Indexes Technical Analysis
New York Investing meetup March 22, 2016

17 UK FTSE: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

18 German DAX: 3 Years Weekly
10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

19 Japan Nikkei: 3 Years Weekly
10, 40, 65-WeeklyMoving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

20 End of Foreign Stocks Majors

21 Foreign Stocks: BRICs Technical Analysis
New York Investing meetup March 22, 2016

22 Brazil BOVESPA: 3 Years Weekly
10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

23 China Shanghai Composite: 3 Years Weekly
10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

24 India SENSEX: 3 Years Weekly
10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

25 Russia RSX: 10 Years Weekly
10, 40, 65-Week lyMoving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

26 End of Foreign Stocks BRICs

27 Currencies Technical Analysis
New York Investing meetup March 22, 2016

28 US Dollar DXY: 3 Years Weekly
10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

29 Euro FXE: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

30 Swiss Franc FXF: 3 Years Weekly
10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

31 Japanese Yen: 3 Years Weekly
10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

32 Australian Dollar FXA: 3 Years Weekly
10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

33 End Currencies

34 Energy – Oil and Natural Gas Technical Analysis
New York Investing meetup Feb 23, 2016

35 Oil WTI: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65 Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

36 Oil WTI Trade Setup: Three-Month Daily
50, 200, 325 Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

37 Oil WTI Trade: 10-Day/15 Minute Sell Signal
50, 200, 325 Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

38 Oil WTI Trade: 10-Day/Hourly Buy Signal
50, 200, 325 Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

39 Natural Gas: 3 Years Weekly
10, 40, 65 Weekly Moving-Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

40 Natural Gas Trade: 3 Months Weekly
10, 40, 65 Weekly Moving-Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

41 Uranium Companies URA: 3 Years Weekly
10, 40, 65 Weekly Moving-Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

42 Precious Metals Technical Analysis
New York Investing meetup Feb 23, 2016

43 Gold ETF GLD: 3 Years Weekly
10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

44 Gold Miners ETF GDX 3 Years Weekly
10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

45 Junior Gold Miners ETF GDXJ 3 Years Weekly
10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

46 Silver ETF SLV: 3 Years Weekly
10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

47 Platinum PPLT: 3 Years Weekly
10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

48 Palladium PALL 3 Years Weekly
10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

49 End of Precious Metals

50 High Yield (Junk) Bonds: 3 Years Weekly
10, 40, 65- Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

51 30-Year Treasury Yield: 10 Years Weekly
10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

52 10-Year Treasury Yield: 3 Years Weekly
10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

53 Miscellaneous

54 Copper JJC: 3 Years Weekly
10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

55 Coffee JO: 3 Years Weekly
10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

56 The End


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