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TERM LOAN OF GUANGZHOU GUOWEI PIPED LPG DEVELOPMENT CO. LIMITED(GG)

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Presentation on theme: "TERM LOAN OF GUANGZHOU GUOWEI PIPED LPG DEVELOPMENT CO. LIMITED(GG)"— Presentation transcript:

1 TERM LOAN OF GUANGZHOU GUOWEI PIPED LPG DEVELOPMENT CO. LIMITED(GG)
Group of DKB : Vitas

2 Category Summary Profitability LPG Station Introduction Cash Flows

3 Major business and client base
Selling LPG and equipments Supply LPG gas Sell LPG appliances Sources of revenue residential and industrial users small wholesalers and retailers Deposits from consumers residential customers state-owned gas companies

4 To increase capacity Good prospects Strengths
A term loan of US$10 million at an all-in interest cost of to finance for a new LPG station in GETDD Product Clean and safe LPG gas Potential market in Guangdong Price Tariff-free quota to import Promotion Good relationship Delayed payments for customers LIBOR(5.75%)+1.5% LIBOR+1%

5 ? ? ? 3 key questions 1.LIBOR+1% adequate 2.Future cash flows adequate
3.Repayment period for a term loan ? ?

6 Introduction Category LPG Station Profitability Cash Flows Summary

7 The new LPG vaporizing station
When Sept,1997 Where GETDD How much RMB million Imported equipment: $10 million, or RMB million

8 Fixed assets for the new LPG station
1997 1998 1999 Beginning fixed assets 129,650 129,650 129,650 Depreciation 4,322 12,965 12,965 Ending net fixed assets 125,328 112,363 99,398

9 Total Capacity: 13,500 tons

10 Estimated LPG Demand from the new LPG Station (in RMB thousands)
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Industry users FULL Yearly demand (tons) 1500 3500 7500 8750 10000 Residential households FULL New households acquired 600 2400 2640 2360 Yearly demand (tons) 37.5 750 1410 2000 Total households 600 3000 5640 8000 Cylinder users New customer added 600 600 Yearly demand (tons) 600 600 600 112.5 600 750 900 1050 Total customers 1800 2400 3000 3600 4200 Total

11 In-house pipeline, owned by the customer
500 Deposit RMB 3,500 Allocate to the cost of the station and the common pipeline; add to retained earnings 1,800 General revenue 1,200

12 CUSTOMER ADVANCES (in RMB thousands) 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 for in-house pipelines 3,300 5,200 9,320 3,680 2,500 added to retained earnings 11,880 18,720 33,552 13,248 9,000 gross profit 7,920 12,480 22,368 8,832 6,000 Total deposits 23,100 36,400 65,240 25,760 17,500

13 PROJECTED SALES AND GROSS PROFIT FROM THE NEW LPG STATION
(in RMB thousands) 1997 1998 1999 LPG sales Gross profit from LPG sales LPG cost Sales from heater and stove Gross profit from heater and stove Cost of heater and stove Total gross profit

14 Introduction Category LPG Station Profitability Cash Flows Summary

15 Net present value(NPV) RISK Positive! If NPV>0

16 Net present value Method(NPV)
Discount Rate Operating cash flow Initial cash flow Present value of future cash flows LIBOR+1% (129,650) K=6.75%

17 Operating Cash Flow(OCF)
Tax shield approach OCF = (Sales – Cost ) * (1-T) + Depreciation * T Adjusted Tax shield approach OCF = (Sales – Cost + Gross Profit from Deposit) * (1-T) + Depreciation * T+ Added to retained earnings

18 OCF ×(1-T) × T + Operating Cash Flow … … 1997 1998 1999 2005 2006
Total sales 6,812 20,852 38,749 49,356 49,356 ×(1-T) Total cost 3,795 11,155 22,218 31,050 31,050 + Gross profit from deposit 7,920 12,480 22,368 × T Depreciation 4,322 12,965 12,965 12,965 12,965 Added to retained earnings 11,880 18,720 33,552 OCF

19 Positive! > 0 NCF … … 1996 1997 1998 1999 2004 2005 2006 NPV =
20,191 36,088 55,247 16,543 16,543 16,543 (129,650) 18,914 31,668 45,415 … … 9,810 9,189 Positive! 86,08 > 0 NPV = 72.809

20 Introduction Category LPG Station Profitability Cash Flows Summary

21 Cash Flow Cash flow Cash inflow Cash outflow

22 Balance Sheet Identity
Cash Flow Identity Assets = Liabilities + Owners’ Equity Cash flow from assets Cash flow to stockholders = Cash flow to creditors +

23 Operating Cash Flow(OCF) Change in Net Working Capital(NWC)
Cash Flow from Assets Operating Cash Flow(OCF) Net Capital Spending Change in Net Working Capital(NWC) Sales revenue Cost of goods sold Tax Depreciation Beginning Fixed Assets Ending Fixed Assets Depreciation

24 Current assets this year
Ending NWC If the Cash flow from assets in positive, that is to say the firm has a positive cash flow to pay for the creditors or paid out to the owners of the firm. Current liabilities this year Change in NWC Current assets in previous year Beginning NWC Current liabilities in previous year

25 Pro Forma Income Statement
The Percentage of Sales Exhibit 2,3,4,5,7 Interest Tax rate = 33%

26 Gross profit from deposits 7,920 12,480 22,368
1997 1998 1999 Total sales 61522 78298 99067 Total cost 45,953 57,368 70,874 Gross profit 15,569 20,930 28,193 Less sales expenses 521 548 576 Profit from sales 15,048 20,382 27,617 Gross profit from deposits 7,920 12,480 22,368 Profit from long-term investment 480 Less expense 13401 22,607 23,056 EBIT 10,047 10,735 27,409 Less interest 7,874 8,690 6,875 Less taxes at 33% 718 674 6,776 Net profit from sales 1,455 1,371 13,758 Deposits 11,880 18,720 33,552 Additions to retained earnings 13,335 20,091 47,310

27 Pro Forma Balance Sheet
percentage of sales approach Balance Sheet “Deposits received ” increase pro forma income statement

28 Pro Forma Balance sheet
1996 1997 1998 1999 Assets Current assets 48,309 50,724 53,260 55,923 29,558 153,809 139,685 125,467 45,209 7,608 537 306 75 134,612 223,447 204,020 199,998 70,111 62,691 45,037 22,247 35,920 14,056 -14,486 60,000 107,000 4,501 17,836 37,927 85,237 64,501 124,836 144,927 192,237 Net Fixed assets Net Intangible assets Construction work in progress - - Total assets Liabilities and Equity Liabilities Current liabilities Long-term debt Equity Paid -in capital Retained earnings Total equity Total liabilities and equity

29 Cash Flow From Assets Net capital spending Change in NWC OCF

30 OCF 1997 1998 1999 EBIT 10,047 10,735 27,409 + Depreciation 8,457
17,427 17,784 - Tax 718 674 6,776 OCF 17,786 27,488 44,516

31 Cash Flow From Assets Net capital spending Change in NWC OCF

32 Ending net fixed assets -Beginning net fixed assets
Net capital spending 1997 1998 1999 Ending net fixed assets 153,809 139,685 125,467 -Beginning net fixed assets 170,933 174,236 177,802 + Depreciation 8457 17,427 17,784 Net capital spending -8667 -17,124 -34,551

33 Cash Flow From Assets Net capital spending Change in NWC OCF

34 Change in NWC Ending NWC -11,967 8,223 33,676 -Beginning NWC -21,802
1997 1998 1999 Ending NWC -11,967 8,223 33,676 -Beginning NWC -21,802 8223 Change in NWC 9835 20,190 25,453

35 Cash flow from assets 1997 1998 1999 OCF 17,786 27,488 44,516
OCF 17,786 27,488 44,516 Net capital spending -8667 -17,124 -34,551 Change in NWC 9835 20,190 25,453 Cash flow from assets 18,954 30,554 35,418

36 Introduction Category LPG Station Profitability Cash Flows Summary

37 What repayment period should DKB recommend?
Was LIBOR plus 1% adequate given the prospects and risks facing GG, and DKB ? Question1 : Would GG’s future cash flows be adequate to service the interest and repayments? Question2 : What repayment period should DKB recommend? Question3 :

38 Positive - = Principle: NPV 129,650 Initial Investment 72,890
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 PV 18,914 31,668 45,415 26,445 21,030 10,994 10,386 9810 9189 8608 Total PV: 202,459 Positive - = NPV Total PV Initial Investment 72,890 129,650

39 What repayment period should DKB recommend?
Was LIBOR plus 1% adequate given the prospects and risks facing GG, and DKB ? Question1 : Would GG’s future cash flows be adequate to service the interest and repayments? Question2 : What repayment period should DKB recommend? Question3 :

40 Pass Budgeting for the next three years Budgeting of Balance Sheet
In RMB thousands Principle: Cash Flows Budgeting for the next three years Budgeting of Balance Sheet Pass Cash Flows from Assets Budgeting of Income Statement Each year’s Cash Flow from Assets is positive

41 What repayment period should DKB recommend?
Was LIBOR plus 1% adequate given the prospects and risks facing GG, and DKB ? Question1 : Would GG’s future cash flows be adequate to service the interest and repayments? Question2 : What repayment period should DKB recommend? Question3 :

42 Principle: Long-term Loan
1997 1998 1999 Long-term loan 35,920 14,056 (14,486) 2.5 years Negative The long-term debt can be repaid at a specific point in 1999.The payback period is expected to be 2.5 years Kango’s Profit=82650*1%*2.94=

43 Invest in the LPG Station
Conclusion Question1 Events Number Loans 82650 LIBOR 5.75% plus 1% NPV of LPG project 72809 Total cash flows of GG 84926 Payback Period 2.94 years Kango’s Profit Invest in the LPG Station Question2 Question3 DKB’s Profit

44 The End Thank You


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