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Thailand’s Green Financing Model and Landscape
Kasikornbank Public Co., Ltd Bangkok, Thailand Ittiporn Intravisit Aug 19, 2016
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Alternative Energy (Self consumption)
Green Financing Scope Demand Side Supply Side Energy Efficiency Alternative Energy (Self consumption) Renewable Energy Solar PV Farm Wind Farm Biomass Biogas
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Energy Efficiency Financing
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Energy Efficiency Financing Model (1/2)
ESCO Bank ESCO or Suppliers Lending up to 100% Energy-saving guaranteed Consultancy Firms that offer integrated services Loan or Leasing/ Hire Purchase Customers Program Feature: K-Energy Saving Guarantee Program The K-Energy Saving Guarantee Program features equipment leasing/hire purchase financing and/or long-term loan aimed primarily at energy efficiency projects under management of an Energy Service Company (ESCO). The energy savings generated by the project will be source of loan repayment (a self-financing project). ESCOs are consultancy firms that offer integrated services for the implementation of energy efficiency projects and provide a guarantee for energy saving. Up to 100% loan amount of contract value Self-Financing Project
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Energy Saving Guarantee Financing Model (2/2)
Actual Performance Baseline Guarantee 1. Shortfall Scenario 2. Surplus Scenario ESCO will guarantee saving = 30% 100% 5% ESCO will pay (Penalty) for the gap of 5 % 5% Bonus will be depended upon the agreement of customer and ESCOs. Post Retrofit Energy Cost Post Retrofit Energy Cost Post Retrofit Energy Cost
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Cash Flow Profile of EE Financing
Electricity expense Energy Efficiency (EE) Measure 5% Free cash flow 30% Free cash flow Saving Energy from EE Measure 25% (Loan repayment) 70% 70% Electricity Expense after Energy Efficiency (EE) Measure 100% Year 1 – Year 5 > 5 Years onward
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Why Energy Efficiency Financing: Banks’ perspective
Expand Product/business coverage Low risk financing due to certainty on source of repayment and credit structure Customer acquisition tool/ Improve customer relationship Access to low cost funding from various sources Promote Bank’s CSR
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Project coverage Factory/Building Retrofit Renewable Energy
US$ 85 Million Energy Saving Guaranteed Program Lighting (LED) US$ 128 Million (thru 8 banks) Ministry of Energy – Soft loan for Energy Saving Project Euro 20 Million Green Building Program by Agencies France De Development
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Opportunities for Energy Efficiency Financing
Government Support/Other international agencies through low interest financing Established ESCO’s infrastructure Growing awareness of energy efficiency and renewable energy Lower implementation and equipment cost/ faster pay back
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Challenges of Energy Efficiency Financing
Low energy prices (Oil and electricity) Confidence of end-users on energy efficiency investment. Business priority/disruption Collateral structure
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Renewable Energy Financing
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Kasikornbank’s Energy Financing Landscape
43 Proj (3 SPP 40 VSPP) 2 Proj (2 SPP) 4 Proj (4 IPP) (2 IPP) 42 Proj (3 IPP 39 SPP) (2 VSPP)
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Thailand’s RE Landscape
Project Type Capacity Installed 2016 (MW) Target 2036 (MW) Solar Wind Hydro (small scale) Biomass Biogas Waste Hydro (Large scale) 1,679 256 190 2,949 375 187 2,906 6,000 3,002 376 5,570 1,280 550 2,906 Total Total Power Capacity % of Renewable Energy 8,543 46,947 18.2% 19,684 70,335 28.0% Source: Ministry of Energy
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Thailand’s RE Financing Outlook
Project type New capacity New Investment Financing Arrangement Participation Target MW US$ million Solar Wind Hydro (small scale) Biomass Biogas Waste Hydro (Large scale) Total 4,321 2,746 186 2,621 905 363 - 11,141 6,173 5,492 318 4,492 1,551 1,141 - 19,168 4,630 4,119 223 3,145 1,086 799 - 14,001 High Low Moderate
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RE Financing Project Model
Experience / Technology / Financial strength Contract terms/ Liquidated damages Insurance and Warranty (performance guarantee) Independent engineer required Contract terms Reliable customers Competition Financial soundness Relationship with communities Experience with renewable project EPC / Supplier Main Product Offtakers Shareholder Undertaking EPC/ O&M Contract Sponsors Project Offtake Agreement Debt Financing Credit Facility Agreement Land Purchase Agreement CERs Offtakers Profitability ratio Leverage ratio Debt service ability ratio Feedstock Supply / Land Site CERs pricing stability Terms of contracts Credit worthiness of offtakers Secure Feedstock (captive) Reliable data source for optimum Energy Yield Nearby Grid Connection Independent engineer required
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Key Perception of Risks and Mitigations (Example for Solar) 1/2
Issues Mitigation Guideline Construction Balance of Plant Panel/Inverter Synchronization Cost Controls and Completion Fixed price, turn key construction contract Guarantee completion date Select experienced contractor Liquidated damage terms Acceptable performance guarantee Strong status of EPC Reliability and Durability Environmental Suitability Project Economics Technology and performance records reviews Lab testing and Certificates Supplier Reviews Service/Maintenance program Proven technology with reasonable track records Proper Manufacturing test&warranty Reputable Supplier Reachable manufacturer/supplier Technology and Components Irradiation and Production Site and Location Suitability Climate Impact Geographic Limitation Historical climate/season review On site survey and verification Yield Analysis Location clear of surrounding future development, flooding, shadows, smog and smoke Technical Advisor with formulated yield analysis approach
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Key Perception of Risks and Mitigations (2/2)
Issues Mitigation Guideline Contractual Continuity of the Power Purchase Agreement Terms and enforceability of contracts and warranty Understand PPA characteristic (PPA to renew every 5 years) Legal due diligence Legal counsel to review warranty, LD terms Legal counsel to review contract enforceability under Thai Laws Environmental Impact and effect to surrounding environment Local community acceptance Potential environment pollutions assessments Local community communication Social responsibility program Technical/Environmental Advisor to perform review and study Local road show and education CSR program Job creation
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Credit Structure Enhancement
Financial Guarantors such as, Guaranteed Bond and Standby Letter of Credit (SBLC) Export Credit Agencies (ECA) Financing & Support through Partial Risk Guarantee Development Banks – IFIs’ Financing & through Partial Risk Guarantee Insurance Brokers Back-leveraged structure through Standby Letter of Credit (SBLC) or Corporate Guarantee in case of highly acceptable credit standings to the bank (A+ Rating and above from rating agency) Example: IFC as a shareholder in Solar Power Co. Ltd. enhancing the more relaxing terms & conditions to the project ADB as a lender in early stage of Solar Farm development resulting to the longest tenor of 18 years Strong supplier’s guarantee such as life-time performance warranty reflected through improved credit acceptance
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Opportunities for Renewable Energy Financing
Geographical suitability for certain types of energy sources e.g. Solar PV (high and stable radiance) and Biomass Government policy direction which support investment (mostly private) in renewable energy under Power Development Plan Participation from other agencies on credit structure enhancement Lower implementation cost.
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Challenges of Renewable Energy Financing
Low electricity price environment ($0.11/kwh) Some government scheme is unclear and leave certain issues open. The market is more competitive leaving smaller margin to investors. High concentration on Solar PV. Other types of renewable energy (Wind, Biomass, Biogas) are still unproven or unstable.
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