1. Project EASY Recap... Locally accessed data sets
now
future -1 -2 -3
ONS
Borough
Ward
LSOA
EASY
GLA
2001 Census
Locally accessed data sets
Up-to-the-moment estimates
Small geographical areas (LSOA)
Can be carried out locally by analysts
Good quality data

2. Valuation Office Agency
Project EASY
Dwelling stock by Council Tax bands
Valuation Office Agency
Assumptions: everyone living in an LSOA lives in a property;
all properties are registered for Council Tax.
Therefore, for a given stock of dwellings, determine the population that inhabit them.
Build and check model for 2001 (census and MYE) and then move forward.

3. Project EASY
Modelling total Council Tax properties (2001 census)

4. Project EASY
Modelling dwelling type and population from 2001 census

5. Project EASY
Council Tax bands and household size

6. Count of properties by Council Tax bands Multiple Home Occupancy
Project EASY
Key variables
LSOA
LA_NAME LA
WARD X Y
Hect E
Barking and Dagenham
00AB
00ABFX
544994
184363
14.653 E
544179
184455
20.009 E
543654
184401
19.506 E
544587
184437
12.796 E
544244
184018
35.207 E
544427
184734
9.164 E
543907
184714
13.905 E
00ABFY
548956
184943
20.783 E
548510
184922
34.123 E
549586
185102
28.063 E
549117
185496
19.878 E
548925
185479
15.837 E
549372
185259
17.399 E
00ABFZ
547102
186478
18.387 E
547400
186240
18.724 E
546830
186034
16.936
Count of properties by Council Tax bands
Multiple Home Occupancy
Child Benefit
Schools Census (PLASC)

7. Project EASY Structure of the model Total Estimated Population
Population in Households without Dependent Children
Population in Families with Dependent Children
Households without Dependent Children
Families with Dependent Children
School Census
Separate model for each Borough
Occupied Households
Child Benefit Records
Dwelling Counts by Council Tax Band
Houses with Multiple Occupancy

8. LA_NAME = Barking and Dagenham
Project EASY
Stepwise multiple regression (CT & MHO)
LA_NAME = Barking and Dagenham

9. can be estimated at LSOA....even up-to-the-moment.
Project EASY
Variables by Borough
Once built, the relationships are assumed to broadly remain between censuses
and by plugging in the variables for each subsequent year, the population
can be estimated at LSOA....even up-to-the-moment.
So, what are the results