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CHAPTER 8 Index Models Investments Cover image Slides by
Richard D. Johnson McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved
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Advantages of the Single Index Model
Reduces the number of inputs for diversification. Easier for security analysts to specialize.
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Single Factor Model ri = E(Ri) + ßiF + e ßi = index of a securities’ particular return to the factor F= some macro factor; in this case F is unanticipated movement; F is commonly related to security returns Assumption: a broad market index like the S&P500 is the common factor.
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a (ri - rf) = i + ßi(rm - rf) + ei Single Index Model Risk Prem
Market Risk Prem or Index Risk Prem a = the stock’s expected return if the market’s excess return is zero i (rm - rf) = 0 ßi(rm - rf) = the component of return due to movements in the market index ei = firm specific component, not due to market movements
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Let: Ri = (ri - rf) Risk premium format Rm = (rm - rf)
Ri = i + ßi(Rm) + ei
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Components of Risk Market or systematic risk: risk related to the macro economic factor or market index. Unsystematic or firm specific risk: risk not related to the macro factor or market index. Total risk = Systematic + Unsystematic
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Measuring Components of Risk
i2 = i2 m2 + 2(ei) where; i2 = total variance i2 m2 = systematic variance 2(ei) = unsystematic variance
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Examining Percentage of Variance
Total Risk = Systematic Risk + Unsystematic Risk Systematic Risk/Total Risk = 2 ßi2 m2 / 2 = 2 i2 m2 / i2 m2 + 2(ei) = 2
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Index Model and Diversification
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Figure 8.1 The Variance of a Portfolio with Risk Coefficient Beta in the Single-Factor Economy
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Figure 8.2 Excess Returns on HP and S&P 500 April 2001 – March 2006
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Figure 8.3 Scatter Diagram of HP, S&P 500, and Security Characteristic Line (SCL) for HP
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Table 8.1 Regression Statistics for the SCL of Hewlett-Packard
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Figure 8.4 Excess Returns on Portfolio Assets
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Using the Single-Index Model with Active Management
The single-index model can be extended to optimize the portfolio with active management The portfolio consists of an active portfolio and a passive or index portfolio The weight of the active portfolio is determined by the information ratio
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Sharpe Ratio for the Combined Portfolio
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Figure 8.5 Efficient Frontiers with the Index Model and Full-Covariance Matrix
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Table 8.2 Comparison of Portfolios from the Single-Index and Full-Covariance Models
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Table 8. 3 Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Inc
Table 8.3 Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Inc.: Market Sensitivity Statistics
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Table 8.4 Industry Betas and Adjustment Factors
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