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Foreign Competition and Domestic Innovation: Evidence from U. S
Foreign Competition and Domestic Innovation: Evidence from U.S. Patents David Autor MIT David Dorn Univ. of Zurich Gordon Hanson UCSD Gary Pisano Harvard Pian Shu Harvard June 6, 2017
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Motivation U.S. manufacturing is a locus of U.S. innovation
Less than 1/10 of U.S. employment More than 2/3 of U.S. R&D spending More than 3/4 of U.S. corporate patents
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The Rise of China Import competition could affect innovation both
Unexpected timing of growth Degree of growth (China was far from the production frontier under Mao) Comparative advantage in manufacturing / abundant supply of cheap labor Import competition could affect innovation both positively and negatively.
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Key Findings We measure the overall effects of Chinese import growth on large U.S. firms’ innovative activities ( ): Within sectors, industries facing more import competition show decline in patenting Trade-exposed U.S. industries downscale both production and innovation Effects most negative in initially less profitable, more indebted firms
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Implications Globalization has multifaceted effects
A surge of foreign competition could hurt unprepared domestic firms Moving production away from R&D could be detrimental to the innovation process Protectionism is not the answer Many benefits of globalization not captured here (e.g., access to foreign markets) Efforts to strengthen US competitiveness through R&D and innovation are ever more important
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