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LGIS Infrastructure Predictions for 2015
Innovative. Proven. Dedicated. Your infrastructure partner. LGIS Infrastructure Predictions for 2015 or “my 5 cents worth” Adam Matthews
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PREDICTIONS “I have seen the future and it is very much like the present, only longer.” - Kehlog Albran
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KEY DEMAND DRIVERS Mining construction and investment phase is ending
New public spending is not taking up the slack Major disaster recovery works completed Private investment will be slow to move
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WHERE’S THE CAVALRY New State Government will continue existing grant programs … but no major sugar hit from asset sales We’re expecting a pause before any new funding programs are planned
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WHERE’S THE CAVALRY Feds unlikely to announce major new funding
Asset recycling focus option unlikely to play out locally We don’t see any other major public sector demand in the short to medium term
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CONSTRUCTION PRICES SLIDE The bottom will not be reached till 2016.
Government reports of construction prices slashed by 50 per cent on 2013 levels. We see construction prices will continue to search for the bottom of the market.
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SELLING IT Fierce competition for limited grant funding
Selling infrastructure projects to funders will be vital Understand their priorities Its not the project, it’s the policies … OK, its both
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BE ENGAGING In volatile times:
Community support for major projects counts Be engaging Use innovative strategies to gain public support
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ASSET MANAGEMENT LGIS is watching closely the Productivity Commission’s report into NDRRA funding The report suggests that funding could be linked to standards and quality of asset management This is with the backdrop of QAO looking towards ISO and we see this as becoming a mandatory requirement in future
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DISASTER MITIGATION Federal funding % likely to reduce from 75 to 50
NDRRA funding reform will push greater responsibility onto asset owners Ensure your assets are resilient and sustainable More pressure for Councils to fund ‘betterment’ Look again at disaster mitigation projects Review long term planning for increased risk of flooding and storm surge
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MOBILES + BIG DATA Efficiencies through smart systems and mobile apps
Help customers help themselves Use big data to inform better decisions Defer infrastructure through better demand management Get more value from capital $
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DRONING ON The drone revolution is just beginning to be imagined
Camera equipment and image processing is dramatically improving too CASA working group exists Low hanging fruit - DM and road condition assessments
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I HAVE THE POWER Long term forecasts predict annual increase in power costs of 5.5% LGIS is working with UQ which are inventing new thermal dynamic solutions for small communities, including parabolic, geothermal and solar thermal Local governments can benefit from embedded energy solutions
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POWER TO THE PEOPLE Decentralised power generation and storage technology Local networks and load sharing grids Future role for community level smart power grids Need to build the ‘smarts’ in the smart grids
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NON-INFRASTRUCTURE Broncos? … not a safe bet
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