1. Contract Performance Charts
Applying charts to the A-12 program

2. Scheduled Completion Date
CONTRACT PERFORMANCE
Scheduled Completion Date
120
100 80 60 40 20 D o l a r s i n M
BCWS
BCWP
ACWP
74.5
70.5
95.5
Target
Contractor’s Est
Program Manager’s Est
75.9
99.2
105.4

3. COST/SCHEDULE VARIANCE TRENDS30 20 10
-10
-20
-30
Scheduled Completion Date D o l a r s i n M
Variance at Completion
Contractor
Program Manager
Schedule Variance
Cost Variance
Management Reserve
10 Pct Threshold Band

4. Detailed A-12 Example

5. CONTRACT PERFORMANCE
GD/MCAIR
A-12 FSED
A-12 Adv Tac Acft
AS OF 12/31/89
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000 D o l a r s i n M S t a r C o m p l e t E f o r t C m p l e S i g n f c a t F l i g h t F i r s t
BCWS
BCWP
ACWP
1745.0
1279.2
1597.1
Target
Program Manager’s Est
Contractor’s Est
4042.3
4808.7
4302.7

6. COST/SCHEDULE VARIANCE TRENDS
GD/MCAIR
A-12 FSED N C-0050
A-12 Adv Tac Acft
AS OF 12/31/89
400
200
-200
-400
-600
-800 C o m p l e t D o l a r s i n M S t a r F l i g h t E f o r t C m p l e F i r s t S i g n f c a t
Cost Variance
Sched Variance
Mgmt Reserves
10% Thresholds
-317.9
-465.8
318.8
Start/Complete Date
Program Manager’s Est
Contractor’s Est
-766.4
-260.4

7. FSD CONTRACT ESTIMATE AT COMPLETION
EAC
$5.6B
$6.6B
$6.7B
$6.8B
$7.5B
PERFORMANCE TO DATE (CPI)
CURRENT PERIOD PERFORMANCE (90 DAY CPI)
COST & SCHEDULE PERFORMANCE (CPI X SPI)
PROJECTED PERFORMANCE AT COMPLETION
PROJECT OFFICE
CONCLUSION:
RANGE: $6.0B TO $7.5B
POINT: $6.8B

8. 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10
F-15
F-18
F-16 P e r c n t C o s
(TY $)
A-12
First Flight
Jan 93
A-12
Percent Time

9. CONCLUSION
THE MAGNITUDE AND DIVERGENCE OF THESE COST PROJECTIONS INDICATE THE NEED FOR AN ASSESSMENT OF ACTUAL REMAINING FSD EFFORT AND A DETAILED ESTIMATE BASED ON AN ENGINEERING BUILD-UP.