1. Kathy Conway Co-facilitator: Southern Oregon Climate Action Now http://socan.info kathleendconway@gmail.com 541 – 324 – 4501

2. Just a bad fire year? Local projections Temperature Green House Gas Basics Take Action SOCAN

3. Just a bad fire year? Local projections Temperature Green House Gas Basics Take Action SOCAN

4. http://www.ucsusa.org/global_warming/science_and_impacts/impacts/infographic-wildfires-climate-change.html

7. 1 0 F makes difference between a high fire year and a low fire year. (http://news.discovery.com/earth/climate-change- yellowstone-fires.html )http://news.discovery.com/earth/climate-change- yellowstone-fires.html

8. Just a bad fire year? Local projections Temperature Green House Gas Basics Take Action SOCAN

9. Rogue Valley Temperature History and Projections 2099 1961-1990 Ave – 50.03 0 F Summer Ave – 63.58 0 F Winter Ave – 38.10 0 F 19002000 1961-1990 Ave – 50.03 0 F Summer Ave – 63.58 0 F Winter Ave – 38.17 0 F

10. 2035-2045 Average 1.6 – 4 F (51.6 – 53.8 F) Winter 1 – 3.5 F (39.1 – 41.7 F) Summer 1 – 6 F (64.4 – 69.5 F) August 1 – 7.5 F (67.1 – 73.5 F) 2075-2085 Average 4.3 – 8.2 F (54.3 – 58.2 F) Winter 3.4 – 6.3 F (41.5 – 44.5 F) Summer 5.5 – 11.8 F (69.1 – 75.4 F) August 6.7 – 16.8 F (72.7 – 82.8 F)

11. Global Climate Change Impacts in the U.S. National increase of 5%

14. Source: Crater Lake National Park 25% Reduction N. California 1950 - 2000 Below 7500 13% decline Above 7500 12% increase Applegate Lake By the end of the century, there may be 90% reduction.

15. Just a bad fire year? Local projections Temperature Green House Gas Basics Take Action SOCAN

16. 2011 2010 2008 2009 2000-2009 was hottest decade on record Nine of the ten hottest years recorded occurred in that decade 2012 Since 1970s + 1.3 F Since 1880s + app. 1.65 F http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.A.gif The 15 hottest year recorded are post 1997

17. http://epa.gov/climatechange/science/futuretc.html There is much variability – depends on what we do.

18. Just a bad fire year? Local projections Temperature Green House Gas Basics Take Action SOCAN

19. Home

20. Incoming Visible light Transformed to Infra-red radiation= heat – re-radiated out Some infra-red radiation is absorbed by atmospheric gases (CO 2, methane, oxides of nitrogen) Remainder escapes into space The Atmospheric Greenhouse Effect" WARNING: Not drawn to scale

21. NOTE: Absorbency is in lower atmosphere – which is where we live

22. If atmospheric gas density increases, more heat is retained by this thermal blanket Surface - Lower Atmosphere Warming Less escapes into space

23. The CO 2 / Temperature Pattern

25. Just a bad fire year? Local projections Temperature Green House Gas Basics Take Action SOCAN

26. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenhouse_gas B UT 23 X CO 2 296 X CO 2 Approximately 75%> 75% Greenhouse gases released by human activity: Carbon dioxide Methane Oxides of nitrogen 2000 Global Emissions

27. Source: EPAs Opportunities to Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions through Materials and Land Management Practices 2006 U.S. GHG Emissions: sectors view U.S. Total GHG Emissions (2006) = 7.1 billion MT CO 2 e

28. What produces carbon emissions locally? Good Co, Eugene, OR GHG Inventory http://rvcog.org/cogboard/2011/Dec_14/RVCOG-REA-Final_PPT- 121511.pdf

29. Just a bad fire year? Local projections Temperature Green House Gas Basics Take Action SOCAN

30. http://socan.info Co-Facilitators: Alan Journet alanjournet@gmail.comalanjournet@gmail.com Kathy Conway kathleendconway@gmail.comkathleendconway@gmail.com MEETINGS: Last Tuesday of the month (except September 17 th ) Special Topic Presentation 6:00 – 6:30 pm General Meeting: 6:30 – 8:00 pm Medford Pubic Library, 205 S. Central Ave.

31. Mission & Goal Statement The Mission of SOCAN is: To recognize the urgency for bold action against climate change To promote awareness and understanding about the causes and consequences of climate change To develop solutions and motivate concerned citizens to take action Our Goal: Collaborating with individuals and organizations throughout the world, we seek a reduction in the global atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration to 350 parts per million. To achieve this, we encourage both personal and governmental actions that reduce carbon dioxide emissions from individual to global levels.

32. Focus Groups Community Education Green Energy Natural Resources Government

33. Projects Divestment from Fossil Fuels Climate change in the curriculum Weather Reporting Presentations Federal, State & Local Governments Networking Bear Creek Salmon Festival Booth (October 5, 2013)

34. What will you do to protect future generations? http://socan.info

35. 'Climate Change and the Rogue Valley;' a ten week SOU/OLLI course; will be presented Thursdays 1:00 - 3:00 pm from September 12th at the SOU/RCC HEC in Medford - contact SOU/OLLI. (541) 552-6048(541) 552-6048 'A Rogue Climate for the Valley;' a three week Ashland North Mountain Park Nature Center course; Tuesdays 7:00 - 9:00 pm from October 1st - contact the Nature Center. (541) 488-6606(541) 488-6606 'A Rogue Climate for Our Valley;' three week Coyote Trails Jefferson Nature Center Course; Saturdays 1:00 - 3:00 pm from November 9th - contact Coyote Trails: 541-772-1390541-772-1390