1. Long Term Conditions : Projected Prevalence
The following slides have been extracted from:
Chronic Disease Intelligence to Optimise Service Planning in Scotland
Projected prevalence of specific Long Term Conditions in Scotland 2014 – 2019
Available from
© The Scottish Government 2017

2. Introduction
This slide deck has been extracted from a report entitled “Chronic Disease Intelligence to Optimise Service Planning in Scotland”. The report provides a key piece of intelligence to assist local planning for Long Term Conditions in Scotland. The Scottish Government has provided direction to services through its 2020 Vision and, more recently, through A National Clinical Strategy for Scotland 2016, and the Health and Social Care Delivery Plan These documents call for changes in the ways in which health and care services are delivered in Scotland. These slides, briefings and accompanying actionable data provide a common reference point for local health and care organisations as they plan and deliver the necessary service transformation.
Additional documentation can be found at:
We also encourage colleagues to highlight additional areas where production of this kind of intelligence would help to support the work to integrate Health and Care services.
For technical questions about the projections and to request additional analyses and actionable intelligence please contact:
Richard Dobbie at National Services Scotland, Information Services Division
For questions about Home and Mobile Health Monitoring please contact:
Michelle Brogan at the Scottish Centre for Telehealth and Telecare

3. Long Term Conditions - Prevalence Projections
Macro Trends

4. Projected prevalence of Chronic Disease

5. An accelerating trend

6. Long Term Conditions - Prevalence Projections
National Disease Trends

7. Projected prevalence of COPD

8. Projected prevalence of COPD

9. Projected prevalence of Heart Failure

10. Projected prevalence of Heart Failure

11. Projected prevalence of T1 Diabetes

12. Projected prevalence of T1 Diabetes

13. Projected prevalence of T2 Diabetes

14. Projected prevalence of T2 Diabetes

15. Projected prevalence of Hypertension

16. Projected prevalence of Hypertension

17. Long Term Conditions - Prevalence Projections
Regional Disease Trends

18. COPD projections by board and time period

19. Heart Failure projections by board and time period

20. T1 Diabetes projections by board and time period

21. T2 Diabetes projections by board and time period

22. Hypertension projections by board and time period

23. Notices
This slide deck is part of a larger piece of work that describes and supports an evolving National Service Model for Home and Mobile Health Monitoring in Scotland. More details can be found by visiting
Copyright Notice © The Scottish Government 2017 Unless otherwise stated, the Scottish Government retains the copyright to this and related works and hereby grants an Open Government License to freely share and reuse this work on a non-commercial basis under the terms of the Non-Commercial Government License for public sector information When you use this information under the Open Government Licence, you should include the following attribution: "A National Service Model for Home and Mobile Health Monitoring, Scottish Centre for Telehealth and Telecare, November 2016, licensed under the Open Government Licence