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On the Sources of Ordinary Science Intelligence and Ignorance

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Presentation on theme: "On the Sources of Ordinary Science Intelligence and Ignorance"— Presentation transcript:

1 On the Sources of Ordinary Science Intelligence and Ignorance
On the Sources of Ordinary Science Intelligence and Ignorance Dan M. Kahan Yale University & many x 103 others

2 The science communication problem

3 The science communication problem
r = , p < 0.01

4 The science communication problem
r = , p < 0.01

5

6 HPV controversy; Gollust et al. studies

7

8 Cultural Cognition Worldviews
Hierarchy Individualism Communitarianism Egalitarianism

9 Cultural Cognition Worldviews
Hierarchy Hierarchy-individualism Hierarchy-communitarianism Individualism Communitarianism Egalitarian-individualism Egalitarian-individualism Egalitarianism

10 Marijuana legalization Marijuana legalization
Cultural Cognition Worldviews Risk Perception Key Low Risk High Risk Hierarchy climate change nuclear power air & water pollution guns/gun control Marijuana legalization Abortion procedure Anti-terrorism cats/varmints Hierarchy-individualism Hierarchy-communitarianism Individualism Communitarianism Marijuana legalization Abortion procedure Anti-terrorism cats/varmints climate change nuclear power air & water pollution guns/gun control Egalitarian-individualism Egalitarian-individualism Egalitarianism

11 Pro- & con- arguments

12 Culturally identifiable “public health experts”
Hierarchy Individualism Communitarianism Egalitarianism

13 Expert_x_argument

14 Expert_x_argument congruence index

15 “The HPV vaccine is safe for use among young girls.”
.1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1 probability agreeing -2 -1 2 expert_x_argument culturally predisposed to agree 2% ± 12% 22% ± 10% 28% ± 12% culturally predisposed to disagree min conflict max conflict N = 976. Monte carlo simulation based on logistic regression model.

16 HPV controversy; polluted science communication environment

17 Karl Popper science communication anomalies . . .
“Mature popper” Bernie Sanders . . . “Young popper” Arthur Lupia???????


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