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SGMA – A Farmer’s Perspective
Farming Goals Produce more with less. Mitigate the risks you can control. Land Development Implications: Past decisions (prior to 2014): now what? New development: how much – only as good as our assumptions. Redevelopment decisions: ability to coordinate timing. Cash Flow Implications: Less acres farmed or redeveloped: what are the impacts? Increased Costs: new open land carrying costs, new fees from GSA’s, etc. Land Value Implications: What will change and how quickly? Presented by the Water Association of Kern County
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SGMA – Practical Implication
"Kern County Grower A" - Water Budget "Kern County Grower A" - Crop Mix Crop Acres AF/AC Total AF Crop Type Percent Almonds 300 4.00 1,200 Permanent Crops 600 50% Pistachios 3.50 1,050 Row Crops - Irrigated 25% Alfalfa 150 Row Crops - Fallow/Dry Land Tomatoes 3.00 450 100% Fallow/Dry Land - 2.75 3,300 Presented by the Water Association of Kern County
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SGMA - Practical Implication Cont.
"Kern County Gower A" - Water Balance Analysis Long Term Avg. Allocation SWP Contract Surface AF/AC Supplemental* (AF/AC) Total (AF) Shortfall (AF) Additional Water Needs** (AF/AC) 100% 3.00 0.25 3,900 600 none 65% 2.28 3,030 (270) 0.23 60% 2.10 2,820 (480) 0.40 55% 1.93 2,610 (690) 0.58 50% 1.75 2,400 (900) 0.75 45% 1.58 2,190 (1,110) 0.93 *New surface water supplies, in-district recharge, or groundwater banking leave behind **Needs could be additional surface water supplies or groundwater pumping credits Historical Allocations SWP 2017 60% 2016 2015 20% 2014 5% 2013 35% 2012 65% 2011 80% 2010 50% 2009 40% 2008 2007 2006 100% SWP Allocation's - Long Term Averages 5 Year Average ('13 - '17): 36% 10 Year Average ('08 - '17): 45% Average since 2006: 51% Presented by the Water Association of Kern County
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