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Quantitative Demand Analysis
Managerial Economics Kyle J. Anderson Kelley School of Business Indiana University
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What we can learn: What factors affect sales of my product?
How sensitive are my sales to these factors? How will a price change impact revenue? Kelley School of Business
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The demand function Linear demand Qx=a + b1Px + b2Py + b3Pz + b4M
Log linear demand lnQx=a + b1lnPx + b2lnPy + b3lnPz + b4lnM Kelley School of Business
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Q = 513 – 3.68P Kelley School of Business
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Multiple Regression Q = 300 – 3.60P + 2.08Py + 23.19W Q = 531 – 3.60P
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Intercept 300.02 37.20 8.06 0.00 Our Price -3.60 0.27 -13.15 Comp. Price 2.08 0.26 8.12 Weekend 23.19 3.28 7.08 Q = 300 – 3.60P Py W Q = 531 – 3.60P Simplified Demand for Weekend when Py = 100 Kelley School of Business
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Elasticity Measurement of how one variable responds to a change in another. Own price elasticity Cross price elasticity Income elasticity Advertising elasticity Other – Win Elasticity Percentage change in one variable due to a percentage change in another.
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Own Price Elasticity -∞ Own price elasticity is always negative.
Elastic demand – absolute value greater than 1. Inelastic demand – abs. value less than 1. Unitary elasticity – E= -1. Inelastic Elastic -1 -∞ Unitary Own Price Elasticity Spectrum
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Perfectly Elastic Demand
Price D Quantity Exists for some sellers The demand facing a seller may be perfectly elastic. Kelley School of Business
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Perfectly Inelastic Demand
Price D Nothing has perfectly inelastic demand. Quantity Kelley School of Business
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Factors Affecting Own Price Elasticity
Available Substitutes The more close substitutes available for the good, the more elastic the demand. Similar products More elastic demand Brand loyal less elastic Kelley School of Business
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Factors Affecting Own Price Elasticity
Available Substitutes The more close substitutes available for the good, the more elastic the demand. Beer: Miller Lite Many substitutes: Elastic demand No substitute – inelastic demand Kelley School of Business
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Factors Affecting Own Price Elasticity
Time Demand tends to be more inelastic in the short term than in the long term. Time allows consumers to seek out available substitutes. Short-term e = -.53 Long-term e = -.81 Kelley School of Business
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Factors Affecting Own Price Elasticity
Expenditure Share Larger share more elastic demand Small purchase – less elastic Large purchase – more elastic Kelley School of Business
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Own Price Elasticity and Linear Demand
Elasticity is different at different prices. Higher prices – demand is more elastic. Price Elastic Unitary Elastic Inelastic D Quantity Kelley School of Business
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Calculating elasticity
Linear demand: Q= b0 – b1P Loglinear demand: lnQ = b0 + b1lnP E = b1 Kelley School of Business
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Conclusion Defined Elasticity Determinants of Elasticity
Calculate Elasticity Next: Elasticity and Revenue Kelley School of Business
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