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B to B Marketing Mastering the Life Cycle
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Mastering the Life Cycle
The Adoption Pattern NPD and Lead Time Break Even and Pay Back Technology Push and Market Pull 2
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The Life Cycle 3
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What happened to these Products ?
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Source : Everett M. Rogers
The Product Life Cycle Sales Emergence Growth Maturity Decline Time 5 Source : Everett M. Rogers
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Source : Everett M. Rogers
What’s Next ? Sales Emergence Growth Maturity Decline Time 6 Source : Everett M. Rogers
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Life Cycle of Intel Micro Processors
Pentium Pro Pentium 486 386 286 7 Source : Le Nouvel Economiste 1026
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The Adoption Pattern 8
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The Pattern of Buying Behaviour
Early Early Late Adopters Majority Majority Laggards 13.5% % % % Innovators 2.5% Time 9 Source : Everett Rogers
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The Cumulative Buying Pattern : a S Curve
100% 84 50 16 Early Early Late Adopters Majority Majority Laggards 13.5% % % % Innovators 2.5% Technology Visionaries Pragmatists Conservatives Skeptics enthusiasts Time 11 Source : Geoffrey Moore
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Profits after Revenues
Loss Revenues Profit R&D Emergence Growth Maturity Decline Source : Roger Palmer
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NPD and Lead Time 13
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R&D Emergence Growth Maturity Decline
The Lead Time Profit Revenues Profit R&D Emergence Growth Maturity Decline Time Go/No Go Lead Loss Source : Roger Palmer
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Steps in R&D Idea Building value Capturing Value
Fuzzy Front End New Product Development Commercialization Idea Concept Product Idea Chaotic Unpredictable Goal oriented High degree of certainty Results oriented Building value Capturing Value Lead Time 15
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« EADS delays Airbus A350 launch »
Reading « EADS delays Airbus A350 launch » The Financial Times as of July 27, 2012 By Andrew Parker
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Sales, Break Even and Pay back
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R&D Emergence Growth Maturity Decline
Profit after Revenues Profit Revenues Profit R&D Emergence Growth Maturity Decline Time Loss Source : Roger Palmer
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How much Time to Break Even ?
Revenues Profit Revenues Break Even Profit R&D Emergence Growth Maturity Decline Time Lead Pay Back Pay Off Loss Source : Roger Palmer
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Training Idea case
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Lead Time by Industry 18 months 26 months 10 years Airbus A400M
Lead Time Life Cycle R&D Spend Agro Food years €100k Automobile years €1 to 2bn Aeronautics years € 10bn Pharmaceuticals years+ 10 €1bn 18 months 26 months 10 years Airbus A400M 12 years Compound
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Industries Spend R&D R&D Expenses in % of Sales 2006
Source : Les Echos
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Pay Back and ROI Pay Back is an easy way to compare projects
Pay Back is assessed against a 3 to 5 years time period ROI = Profit/ Sales * Sales/Investment = Profit/ Investment ROI is assessed against industry benchmark
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Leveraging the Key Factors of Success
Sales Experience Curve A&P Milk Consolidate Divest R&D Agile Emergence Growth Maturity Decline Time Source : Everett M. Rogers
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Technology Push and Market Pull
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2 Business Models Market Pull : Demand triggers the market
Active role of Customer Process and methods Technology Push : the offer creates the market Visionary guru Launches
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Market Pull The Customer Adopted generates a new idea
by other companies after adjustment Company develops a taylor made response 27 27
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innovations in products
Technology Push Search of leveraging innovations in products Market research, test and introduction R&D to submit innovations 28 28
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Technology Push or Market Pull ?
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The Patent Process
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The European Patent A uniform application Procedure Allows to file for 40 European countries The patent may be filed either in French, English or German Cost is c €18 000
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« Summit gives birth to common EU patent »
Reading « Summit gives birth to common EU patent » The Financial Times as of June 29, 2012 by Joshua Chaffin
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TM above Patents Trademark : Brand
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Ranking
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Conclusions Life cycle is made of 4 stages : emergence, growth, maturity and decline Lead Time, Break Even and Pay back are key elements to assess a life cycle R&D and patents are mandatory to secure life cycle 2 models in today’s industries Technology Push Market Pull
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