1. IAA Mortality Working Group
Long Term Drivers of Future Mortality
MWG Project/Plan 2
Al Klein
St. Petersburg, May 2016

2. Members Assia Billig, Canada Simon Brimblecombe, UK Mathew Edwards, UK
Michael Eves, Switzerland
Sam Gutterman, US
Al Klein, Chair, US
Paul Lewis, South Africa
Mika Mäkinen, Finland
Lars Pralle, Germany
Marianne Purushotham, US
Brian Ridsdale, UK

3. Goals of Project Compile a list of drivers of future mortality
Will include items within broad categories (community, environmental, lifestyle, medical advances, natural, political, technology, and other)
Hope to have most comprehensive list of drivers
Provide issues related to each driver
In some instances, there will be both positive and negative issues
Provide thoughts on how to quantify drivers and measure the impact on future mortality (still be agreed to)
Provide sources of mortality data

4. Progress / Next Steps
Initial rough draft sent to team shortly before meeting
Review and comments due by end of June
Revised draft out by end of July
Final comments due by end of August
Paper to be completed and sent for external review by end of September
Comments to be received by end of October
Paper to be finalized mid-December
Distribution to be determined

5. Possible Presentation Venues
International Mortality and Longevity Symposium
Egham, UK, September 2016
Living to 100 Symposium
Orlando, USA, January 2017
Older Age Seminar
Sydney, Australia, February 2017
International Congress of Actuaries
Berlin, Germany, June 2018
Other venues

6. Questions / Comments?