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IAA Mortality Working Group
Long Term Drivers of Future Mortality MWG Project/Plan 2 Al Klein St. Petersburg, May 2016
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Members Assia Billig, Canada Simon Brimblecombe, UK Mathew Edwards, UK
Michael Eves, Switzerland Sam Gutterman, US Al Klein, Chair, US Paul Lewis, South Africa Mika Mäkinen, Finland Lars Pralle, Germany Marianne Purushotham, US Brian Ridsdale, UK
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Goals of Project Compile a list of drivers of future mortality
Will include items within broad categories (community, environmental, lifestyle, medical advances, natural, political, technology, and other) Hope to have most comprehensive list of drivers Provide issues related to each driver In some instances, there will be both positive and negative issues Provide thoughts on how to quantify drivers and measure the impact on future mortality (still be agreed to) Provide sources of mortality data
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Progress / Next Steps Initial rough draft sent to team shortly before meeting Review and comments due by end of June Revised draft out by end of July Final comments due by end of August Paper to be completed and sent for external review by end of September Comments to be received by end of October Paper to be finalized mid-December Distribution to be determined
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Possible Presentation Venues
International Mortality and Longevity Symposium Egham, UK, September 2016 Living to 100 Symposium Orlando, USA, January 2017 Older Age Seminar Sydney, Australia, February 2017 International Congress of Actuaries Berlin, Germany, June 2018 Other venues
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