1. JTC 1 Technology Watch Mandate and Objectives
François Coallier

2. Table of Content History and Mandate Process Fit Deliverables
IT Taxonomy Model
Status
Next Steps

3. History and Mandate

4. History
Concept originated from the JTC Long Term Business Planning exercise
2002 Deliverables:
A presentation (JTC 1 N6827-1) outlining the concept.
A spreadsheet (JTC 1 N6827-2) mapping the ICT standardizations activities of JTC 1 and some key standardizations and professional organizations to the proposed ICT standard taxonomy.
A draft Technology Watch Template (JTC 1 N6827-3) that has been partially completed.

5. History
Special Working Group (SWG) was put in place at the Sophia Antipolis JTC 1 Plenary (resolution 23)

6. Mandate
To provide to JTC 1 National Bodies and SCs a yearly status on the future evolution of ICT technology within the Scope of JTC 1 Terms of Reference, as well as information on organisations working on those technologies. This information shall be in the form of a JTC 1 internal technical report, whose first version is JTC 1 N 6827, to be sent to the JTC 1 Secretariat no latter than three months before the JTC 1 Plenary.
The SWG shall be chaired by Mr. François Coallier.

7. Why Technology Watch ICT is evolving constantly
ICT field is wider than the coverage of all of JTC 1 SCs
JTC 1, its Members and its SCs need a consolidated assessment of ICT evolution to make their business decisions
We need to bring

8. Membership
The membership of the SWG shall consist of all of JTC 1 SC Chairs or their designate. JTC 1 instructs its secretariat to send a letter to JTC 1 National Bodies, Liaison Organizations and Recognized JTC 1 PAS Submitters inviting nominations for participation in the SWG. JTC 1 noted with pleasure the commitment of the US, France, Australia, Japan and ECMA to participate in the SWG.
The JTC1 SWG for Technology Watch shall work as much as possible electronically. A face to face meeting may be organised before a JTC 1 Plenary.

9. Technology Watch Deliverables
MANAGEMENT documents to assist JTC 1 in its Business Planning process.

10. Process Fit

11. Process Overview Alliances PLANNING PLAN IMPLEMENT Technology Watch
Market/Customers
Users
VISION
Alliances
PLANNING
PLAN
IMPLEMENT
Technology
Watch
RESULTS

12. Technology Watch Cycle
Initial Technology Watch
Constant Incremental
Tech Watch Assessment Renewal
Gap Analysis
Tech Watch
Maintenance
Major Tech Watch Renewal Triggers
- Technology Changes
Change in Market Realities
SC and Industrial feedback
- Gap Analysis
Feedback from Tech Watch Implementation Activities
Constantly Renewed Technical Watch Assessment reflecting the evolution of ICT market, technology and consortia
1 Year Cycle
Clonned and adapted from : Thomas Rehkopf , IT Architecture Management, The Government Enterprise Architecture Conference, BellSouth Information Systems, October 1999,

13. Initial Technology Watch Document Structure

14. Basic Document Structure
Executive Summary
Version Control
Scope and Purpose
Technology Drivers Overview
Detailed Technology Forecasts

15. Technology Drivers Overview
Technology evolution is driven by many drivers including:
Scientific and Technological progress.
Market driven generated research and development e.g.
This section of the document will give an overview of the current technology drivers in the field of IT.

16. Scientific and Technological Progress
Areas to consider:
Moore’s Law
Storage Technologies
Display Technologies
Wireless Technologies
Artificial Intelligence
Direct Human-Machine Interfaces
Quantum Computing

17. Markets Three Key Markets: Enterprise Information System Market
Consumer Market
Embedded System Market

18. Enterprise Information System Market
The enterprise information system market includes the following:
Private and public corporation IT infrastructure and systems
Government IT infrastructure and systems
New player driving IT: Biotech

19. Consumer Market The IT consumer market includes the following:
Audio and Video entertainment systems
Gaming
Home PCs
Home networking systems
Digital photography and video
Other IT enabled devices

20. Embedded System Market
The Embedded Systems Market includes the following:
Telecommunication systems and devices
Automotive and ground/sea transportation
Industrial production and control
Aerospace systems
Military systems
Miscellaneous control and embedded systems

21. Markets Size (109 US $) Global ICT 1998 ICT Vendor 2002
Telecommunications
777
IT Hardware
336
Internal Spending
304
IT Services
266
IT Software
115
Other Office Equipment 29
TOTAL
1 827
Telecommunications equipment
380
Computer Systems Hardware
240
Software Licenses 70
Project Oriented IT Services
250
Semiconductors
150
Support/Management IT Services
350
TOTAL
1 440

22. Detailed Technology Forecasts
Should be done for pertinent entities in the IT Taxonomy Model
Content:
A statement of the forecast (including the identification of consortia and/or other standards organization involved)
The rationale of the forecast
Dates, values and probability of occurrence
Opportunity and threats presented by the forecast
Impact of the forecast on strategic position
From: Bernard Boar, The Art of Strategic Planning for Information Technology,
Second Edition, Wiley, 2001, ISBN

23. IT Taxonomy Model

24. ICT ICT Taxonomy Model Social and Cultural Processes and Methods
Human Interfaces
Processes and Methods
APIs and Middleware
Hardware and Devices
Base Technologies
Social and Cultural
ICT

25. Base Technologies Machine level representation of data Encoding
Compression
Encryption
Telecommunication Protocols
File systems
Processor Instruction Sets
Programming Languages
Data Description Languages
Graphic Description Languages
Document Description Languages
Data and Document Query Languages
Transaction Description Languages
Event Description Languages
Architecture Description Languages
Meta Languages
Modeling formalisms

26. Base Technologies Hot Areas and Key Players
The following technical areas are of strategic importance and are evolving at a fast pace:
Compression
Encryption
Meta Languages and Document Description Languages (XML based)
Data, Event and Transaction Description Languages (UML)
Key players in standardization in these areas are:
JTC 1 (Compression and Encryption)
IETF (XML)
W3C (XML)
OMG (UML) (work with JTC 1)

27. APIs and Middleware Operating System APIs Storage System Services
Data Exchange Protocols
Transaction Protocols
Document Exchange Protocols
General Middleware
Directory services
Geographic/Location Services
Authentification services
Security Services
Network Services
Transaction Processing Services
Rights Management Services
Document Management Services
Messaging Services and EDI
Voice Messaging Services
Mobile Services
Collaboration Services

28. APIs and Middleware Hot Areas and Key Players
The following technical areas are of strategic importance and are evolving at a fast pace:
Directory Services
Document Exchange Protocols
Transaction Services
Authentification Services
Security Services
Copyright Management Services
Messaging Services
Mobile Services
Key players in standardization in these areas are:
IETF
W3C
OMG
OASIS
The Open Group
Liberty Alliance
JTC1
ISO TC211

29. Social and Cultural Standards dealing with:
IT support for human culture and society
IT support for human cultural exchanges
IT support for social activities

30. Social and Cultural Human Characteristics Conveyance
Consumer Requirements
Learning Support
Privacy Management
Cultural Adaptability
Natural Language Support
Automated translation
IT in education

31. Status
First draft of Technology Plan delivered to JTC 1 for its 2002 Plenary meeting
Preliminary mapping of many standards organisation work to ICT areas done
SWG established to carry the work

32. Next Steps Kick-off SWG Assess current version of deliverables
Assess current technology trends
Identify items pertinent to JTC 1
Process inputs from JTC 1 National Bodies, SCs and Liaisons
Update deliverables, in time for the 2003 JTC 1 Plenary in Singapore on November