1. The Changing Face of the Texas Labor Market
Labor Market & Career Information (LMCI)
Texas Workforce Commission
(512)

2. Harry Truman is purported to have said,
All my economists say, “on the one, or on the other hand”…what I really need is a one-handed economist.

3. Themes of the day
The Texas economy is stronger than the U.S. but subject to the same challenges. There are mixed economic signals
Globalization is influencing job creation; type and number
Demographic shifts are changing the face of the Texas labor market – where we live, what we look like
Nobody lives in Texas: every region is a different economy
Recent Texas job growth has been largely fueled by: population growth and the oil & gas cluster. But there has been diversity
Occupational demand is more bifurcated. Skill sets over job titles
The match between labor market demand and education outputs is less than perfect
At the end of the day, getting a job is all about balancing Will and Skill

4. Gleaning Wisdom from Data Observations
The Japanese eat LESS red meat and drink less red wine than do Americans or the British—and they have a much lower incidence of heart attacks.
The Italians eat MORE red meat and drink much more red wine than do Americans or the British--and yet they too have a lower incidence of heart attacks.
Conclusion:
Go ahead and eat whatever you want. It’s pretty clear that speaking English is what kills you.

5. The economy is getting better!
TX Unemployment rate falling – 8.1% Jan ‘11 to 6.6% Oct ‘12
Broad sector job growth – 10 of 11 sectors growing
24 straight months of US job growth
Spending is up, consumers lowering debt burden
Consumer confidence rising – highest since recession
Housing activity on the rise, multi-family up, rents rising
House prices starting to increase
UI initial claims are down
Pent up demand: Delayed TX household formation
Cheap money: Interest rates remain rock bottom
Pent up demand: Excess bank reserves, corporate cash, consumers all have lots of cash

6. The economy is still bad … or getting worse!
Insufficient U.S. demand (low GDP growth)
Disposable personal income flat, real compensation down
Student loan debt tops $1 trillion
Anemic post recession job growth. Manufacturing slowing, exports slowing & public sector still reeling
Energy/gas price volatility creates winners and losers
Tight lending standards & terms
Oil & Gas drilling slowing – new permits slowing
Net worth down $9.4 trillion from peak
Rising healthcare costs, uncertainties of “ObamaCare”
No confidence in political system plus pending “fiscal cliff”
*European recession plus sovereign debt/bank crisis
*Slowing global demand, Japanese recession, slow Chinese GDP growth

8. Does the Global Economic Slowdown Matter
Does the Global Economic Slowdown Matter? Percent of 2011 Revenue Outside U.S.
YUM Brands 70% Wal-Mart 26% IBM 64% Boeing 41% Intel 84% General Electric 54% Bank of America 20% Ford 51% Dow Chemical 67% Microsoft 46%
Apple Inc. 61%
JNJ 56%
Caterpillar 64%
Dell 48%
ExxonMobil 45%
McDonalds 66%
Amazon 45%
General Motors 46%
Nike 50%
Hewlett Packard 65%

10. Change of the Total Population by County, 2000 to 2010
79 counties lost population over the decade
175 counties gained population while 79 lost population over the decade.
Source: Texas State Data Center

11. Texas becomes more Hispanic

12. Tough Competition: Generational Employment in Texas 2000 - 2010

13. How many Millenials does it take to screw in a light bulb?
1. One to the instructions 2. One to post the instructions on the wall of their page 3. One to post the video of their work showing collaboration One Baby Boomer to tell them what a terrific, wonderful, spectacular job they did with the light bulb

14. Texas Labor Market: Where we are Where we’ve been Where we’re going Why we care

15. Emerging Patterns in Quits and Layoffs

16. Texas Industry Growth October 2011-12 YOY
INDUSTRY TITLE
Oct 2012
Oct 2011
ABS CHG
PER CHG
Total Nonagricultural
10,883,200
10,605,800
277,400
2.6%
Goods-Producing
1,713,900
1,643,200
70,700
4.3%
Service-Providing
9,169,300
8,962,600
206,700
2.3%
Leisure and Hospitality
1,108,600
1,056,800
51,800
4.9%
Trade, Transportation, Utilities
2,165,700
2,117,900
47,800
Construction
603,400
556,500
46,900
8.4%
Education & Health Services
1,486,900
1,443,800
43,100
3.0%
Professional/Business Services
1,389,900
1,355,100
34,800
Financial Activities
653,500
639,200
14,300
2.2%
Manufacturing
853,800
840,900
12,900
1.5%
Mining and Logging
256,700
245,800
10,900
4.4%
Other Services
385,800
375,900
9,900
Government
1,787,000
1,778,600
8,400
0.5%
Information
191,900
195,300
-3,400
-1.7%

17. Texas MSA October Urates
2012
2011
Midland
3.3
4.1
San Antonio
6.0
7.2
Odessa
3.9
5.2
Ft Worth-Arlington
6.1
7.4
Amarillo
4.3
D/FW-Arlington CSA
6.2
7.5
San Angelo
4.8
Houston-Sugar Land
7.7
Abilene
4.9
Texas
6.3
7.6
Lubbock
5.9
Laredo
Austin-Round Rock
5.3
6.6
Sherman-Denison
6.5
8.0
College Station-Bryan
Tyler
8.2
Victoria
6.4
Killeen-Temple
7.0
8.1
Longview
5.6
6.7
United States
8.5
Corpus Christi
5.8
7.3
El Paso
8.7
10.1
Wichita Falls
6.8
Beaumont-Pt Arthur
9.8
10.5
Texarkana
Brville-Harlingen
11.3
Waco
McAllen-Edinburg
11.2

18. Regional Job Growth Rates Big Texas metro areas employment – 2nd Quarter to 2nd Quarter
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Austin-Round Rock
+3.9%
+5.1%
+2.4%
-2.8%
+1.4%
+3.8%
+3.3%
Beaumont-Port Arthur
+3.0%
+2.9%
-0.01%
-3.8%
-0.7%
+1.5%
Brownsville-Harlingen
+4.0%
+2.0%
+1.2%
-1.5%
+1.8%
+2.2%
Corpus Christi
+0.9%
+3.1%
-2.9%
+0.01%
+1.0%
+2.5%
Dallas-Fort Worth
-4.4%
-0.2%
+2.7%
El Paso
+1.7%
+2.6%
-2.1%
+2.1%
Houston-Sugar Land
+3.5%
+5.0%
-2.3%
-0.4%
+3.6%
McAllen-Edinburg
+2.8%
-0.8%
+2.3%
+1.1%
San Antonio
+4.3%
-1.9%
Victoria
+1.9%
+0.7%
-4.9%
0.0%
Source: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, Texas Workforce Commission, 2nd Quarter 2012 data is preliminary

19. Texas Industry Employment Change 2010-12
QTR2/2012
Abs CHG
Per CHG
Administrative and Support Services
674,162
71,963
12.0%
Food Services and Drinking Places
874,556
69,156
8.6%
Professional, Scientific & Technical Srvcs
621,377
53,360
9.4%
Support Activities for Mining
161,926
50,582
45.4%
Ambulatory Health Care Services
629,222
42,887
7.3%
Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods
307,082
27,687
9.9%
Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing
132,538
21,565
19.4%
Truck Transportation
126,334
20,413
19.3%
Machinery Manufacturing
104,062
20,052
23.9%
Oil and Gas Extraction
95,708
14,700
18.1%
Heavy & Civil Engineering Construction
154,567
13,452
9.5%
Credit Intermediation Activities
249,728
12,439
5.2%
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
153,729
12,247
8.7%
General Merchandise Stores
268,809
10,891
4.2%
Hospitals
412,846
10,433
2.6%

20. IHS Global Texas Industry Employment Change 2011-2014
NAICS
NAICS Description 43%
2014
ABS CHG
561
Administrative & Support Services
743,868
102,565
541
Professional, Scientific & Technical Services
662,750
75,209
621
Ambulatory Health Care Services
663,942
61,190
722
Food Services and Drinking Places
880,489
53,561
238
Specialty Trade Contractors
356,766
38,161
622
Hospitals
416,173
33,036
611
Educational Services
1,140,501
28,171
423
Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods
311,990
20,109
336
Transportation Equipment Manufacturing
104,640
16,913
333
Machinery Manufacturing
111,834
16,907
623
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
189,695
16,420
236
Construction of Buildings
145,874
15,257
332
Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing
137,160
15,219
237
Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction
128,571
13,433
425
B2B Wholesale Electronic Markets
79,098
13,018

21. Professional, Scientific & Technical Services in Texas 2010-2012
NAICS
Industry
2010
2012
ABS CHG
541
Professional and Technical Services
568,028
620,449
52,421
5415
Computer Systems Design Services
100,219
121,309
21,090
5416
Management & Tech Consulting Svc
83,962
98,599
14,637
5413
Architectural & Engineering Services
137,024
146,711
9,687
5412
Accounting & Bookkeeping Services
65,546
69,975
4,429
5411
Legal Services
78,151
80,252
2,101
5419
Other Professional & Tech Services
47,738
49,102
1,364
5414
Specialized Design Services
7,095
7,762
667
5418
Advertising & Public Relations Srvcs
24,000
23,650
-350
5417
Scientific Research & Develop Srvcs
24,290
23,090
-1,200

22. Estimated Occupational Staffing Pattern for Professional & Technical Services%
Education Preferred
Accountants and Auditors
5.2
Bachelor's degree
Office Clerks, General
3.9
Short-term OJT
Lawyers
3.5
First professional
Secretaries, Ex. Legal/Medical
3.3
Moderate OJT
Computer Software Engineers, Apps
2.8
Computer Systems Analysts
Bookkeeping, Accounting & Audit Clerks
Computer Support Specialists
2.5
Associate degree
Civil Engineers
2.4
Paralegals and Legal Assistants
Management Analysts
2.3
Bachelor's plus exp
Computer Software Engineers, Systems
2.1
Executive Secretaries & Admin Assists
Related work experience
Legal Secretaries
Computer Programmers
2.0

23. Texas Occupations Adding the Most Jobs Occupational growth projections - 2010-2020
Annual Average
Wage 2011
$18,188
$51,847
$17,636
$24,165
$67,581
$19,069
$28,671
$19,155
$19,919
$30,387

24. Texas Jobs with Most Annual Average Openings Occupational growth projections - 2010-2020
Wage 2011
$24,165
$19,155
$19,069
$18,188
$51,847
$28,671
$30,387
$67,581
$19,052
$24,316

26. Where The Job Postings Are Located?
Metro Area
Postings
Dallas-Fort Worth
176,506
Odessa
7,166
Houston-Sugar Land
140,273
Waco
6,996
San Antonio
66,915
Amarillo
5,648
Austin-Round Rock
60,547
Beaumont
5,515
El Paso
14,226
College Station
5,356
Corpus Christi
11,444
Brownsville-Harlingen
4,058
Lubbock
8,477
Abilene
3,867
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission
8,409
Laredo
3,492
Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood
8,181
Longview
2,955
Midland
8,005
San Angelo
2,824
Tyler
7,257
Wichita Falls
2,727
Based on Job Postings listed online for previous 90 days as Oct. 24, 2012, compiled by Wanted Analytics and the Conference Board for TWC

27. Help Wanted Job Listings for Texas
Job Type
Openings
Preferred training/education
1. Registered Nurse
h 30,420
Associate’s degree
2. Retail Salesperson
h 20,024
Short On The Job training
3. Truck Driver (heavy/tractor trailer)
h 19,027
4. Manager of Retail Workers
h 17,947
Related Work Experience
5. Computer Systems Analyst
h 14,794
Bachelor’s degree
6. Customer Service Rep
13,956
Moderate On Job Training
7. Computer Support Specialist
h 12,048
8. Web Developer
h 11,752
9. Manager of Food Prep Workers
h 11,167
10. Accountant
h 10,372
11. Network/Computer Systems Admin
h 9,592
12. Secretary/Admin Assistant
9,492
NOTE: Arrows indicate occupation with greater or less than 5% change
Source: Wanted Analytics for 90 day period from Dec. 14, 2012

28. Help Wanted Job Listings for Texas (continued)
Job Type
Openings
Preferred training/education
13. Manager of Office/Admin Staff
h8,917
Related Work Experience
14. Sales Rep (wholesale/manufacturing)
8,759
15. Computer Software Engineer
h8,298
Bachelor’s degree
16. Industrial Engineer
h8,089
17. Medical/Health Services Manager
h8,000
18. Sales Manager
h7,729
19. Maintenance / Repair Worker
h6,978
Moderate On Job Training
20. Marketing Manager
6,751
21. Sales Rep (services)
6,389
22. Management Analyst
6,648
23. Manager of Production Workers
h 6,278
24. Bookkeeper / Audit Clerk
h5,792
25. Physical Therapist
i5,695
Master’s degree
Source: Wanted Analytics for 90 day period from Dec. 14, 2012

29. Help Wanted Job Listings Austin metro area
Job Type
Openings
Preferred training/education
1. Registered Nurse
h 2,294
Associate’s degree
2. Computer Software Engineer
h 2,227
Bachelor’s degree
3. Web Developer
h 2,179
4. Retail Salesperson
h 1,952
Short Term On The Job training
5. Computer Support Specialist
h 1,596
6. Customer Service Representative
1,580
Moderate On Job Training
7. Computer Network Administrator
h 1,541
8. Computer Systems Analyst
1,522
9. Manager of Retail Sales Workers
h 1,502
Related Work Experience
10. Manager of Food Prep Workers
h 1,166
11. Truck Driver (heavy/tractor trailer)
h 1,086
12. Marketing Manager
i 1,028
13. Secretary / Administrative Assistant
1,017
14. Computer Programmer
h 916
NOTE: Arrows indicate occupation with greater or less than 5% change
Source: Wanted Analytics for 90 day period from Dec. 14, 2012

30. Help Wanted Job Listings Austin metro (cont.)
Job Type
Openings
Preferred training/education
15. Supervisor Office Support Workers
h 899
Related Work Experience
16. Software Quality Assurance Tester
851
Bachelor’s degree
17. Sales Rep (wholesale/manufactured)
779
18. Sales Manager
h 770
19. Sales Rep (services)
758
20. Accountant
h 721
21. Management Analyst
719
22. Computer Systems Architect
h 660
23. Database Administrator
h 641
24. Information Technology Project Manager
624
Associate’s degree
25. Medical/Health Services Manager
h 601
26. Medical Secretary
h 563
Moderate On Job training
27. Maintenance / Repair Worker
h 550
Moderate On Job Training
28. Sales Rep (technical/scientific)
Source: Wanted Analytics for 90 day period from Dec. 14, 2012

32. Highest Earning College Programs 2011 Detail View
Bachelor’s Degree Graduate Major (TX) (50+)
Grads
Earnings
Petroleum Engineering
315
$84,298
Chemical Engineering
402
$67,303
Ocean Engineering 63
$61,213
Mechanical Engineering
1,285
$57,200
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration
5,590
$56,921
Mechanical Engineering Technicians
116
$54,165
Industrial Engineering
266
$52,468
Electrical, Electronics & Telecomm Engineering
991
$51,796
Industrial Production Technologies/Technicians
239
$51,645
Sales, Merchandising & Marketing Operations
253
$51,342
Electrical Engineering Technologies/Technicians
165
$50,596
Computer Engineering
227
$48,017
Construction Engineering Technologies
344
$47,381
Allied Health Diagnostic & Treatment Professions
337
$47,330
Civil Engineering
734
$47,256

33. Lowest Earning College Programs 2011 Detail View
Bachelor’s Degree Graduate Major (TX)
Grads
Earnings
Pastoral Counseling and Specialized Ministries 61
$13,383
Health/Medical Preparatory Programs
107
$16,949
Drama/Theatre Arts and Stagecraft
540
$18,555
Visual and Performing Arts, General
108
$18,854
Religious Education
151
$19,071
Rehabilitation and Therapeutic Professions
207
$19,738
Film/Video and Photographic Arts
131
$19,817
Anthropology
488
$20,492
Dance
$20,548
Zoology/Animal Biology 81
$20,914
Fine and Studio Arts
1,433
$21,024
Microbiological Sciences and Immunology
139
$21,398
Foods, Nutrition, and Related Services
$21,722
Ecology, Evolution & Population Biology
109
$21,788
Psychology, General
5,345
$21,800

34. Highest Earning Associate’s Degree Programs 2011
Associate’s Degree Graduate Major (TX)
Grads
Earnings
Fire Protection
177
$61,280
Nuclear and Industrial Radiologic Technicians 23
$57,564
Physical Science Technologies/Technicians
474
$52,724
Quality Control and Safety Technicians
152
$50,872
Registered Nursing & Nursing Administration
5,822
$49,160
Electrical and Power Transmission Installers 32
$48,692
Mining and Petroleum Technologies/Technicians
$45,644
Electromechanical and Instrumentation Techs
541
$44,968
Industrial Equipment Maintenance Technologies 19
Electrical/Electronics Maintenance Technology 71
$43,044
Industrial Production Technologies/Technicians
119
$41,700
Precision Metal Working
176
$41,676
Geography and Cartography 35
$37,876
Mechanical Engineering Technicians 26
$37,148
Dental Support Services and Allied Professions
319
$37,144

35. Structural Mismatch: 2011 Graduates Grads Earnings
Multi-/Interdisciplinary Studies, Other
9,810
$30,112
Business Admin, Management & Operations
6,911
$41,216
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration
5,590
$56,920
Psychology, General
5,345
$21,800
Biology, General
4,496
$21,812
Health and Physical Education/Fitness
3,719
$23,068
Accounting and Related Services
3,272
$35,356
Finance and Financial Management Services
2,915
$37,868
Criminal Justice and Corrections
2,864
$25,624
No CIP Code submitted (Private Colleges)
2,778
$29,972
Marketing
2,677
$32,080
Liberal Arts and Sciences, Humanities
2,615
$33,924
English Language and Literature, General
2,309
$23,048
History
2,278
$23,568
Political Science and Government
2,065
$25,268

36. Regional employers say they want…
Good communications skills: Can you…..
Explain what you’re doing (to co-worker or customer)?
Explain what you need (from a co-worker or customer)?
Ability to listen to instructions?
2. Technical knowledge (degrees needed for half of all job openings)
Can you work with people who are of a different age, race, gender and education level than you?
Can-do attitude / pleasant attitude (workers who are “engaged” in their work)
Critical thinking skills (if given a sequence of events, can you determine what will probably happen next)

37. Giraffe Critical Thinking Quiz
1. How do you put a giraffe into a refrigerator?
Answer: Open the refrigerator, put in the giraffe, and close the door. This tests whether you tend to do simple things in an overly complicated way.
Anderson Consulting says 90% of Professionals tested got all questions wrong, but many preschoolers got several correct answers. This conclusively proves that most professionals do not have the brains of a four-year-old.
2. How do you put an elephant into a refrigerator?
Answer: Open the refrigerator, take out the giraffe, put in the elephant, close the door. This tests your ability to understand the repercussions of your actions.
3. The Lion King is hosting an All Animal Meeting. All the animals attend - except one. Which animal does not attend?
Answer: The Elephant. The elephant is in the refrigerator. You just put him in there, remember? This tests your memory.
4. You must cross a shallow river, but it is used by crocodiles and you do not have a boat. How do you manage it?
Answer: You jump in the river and swim across. Pay attention! All the crocodiles are at the Meeting with the other animals. This tests if you learn quickly from your mistakes.

38. Getting a Job is a Balance between Skill & Will
Workplace Skills
Will
Skills
Distill

39. Skills Strong academics Distill
Workplace Skills
Will
Skills Strong academics
High School diploma Post secondary schooling
Appropriate technical skills
Distill

40. Workplace Basic Skills Communication skills Getting along with others
Critical thinking
Will
Skills
Distill

41. Distill On the Job Training Informal learning
Workplace Skills
Will
Skills
Distill On the Job Training Informal learning
Continuing education
Career Lattice

42. Workplace Skills
Will Willing to take a job: At lower level, lesser wage In a different locale Show flexibility & initiative
Skills
Distill

43. Skills Strong academics Distill On the Job Training Informal learning
Workplace Skills Workplace Basics!
Communication skills Getting along with others
Critical thinking
Will Willing to take a job: At lower level, lesser wage In a different locale Show flexibility & initiative
Skills Strong academics
High School diploma Post secondary schooling
Appropriate technical skills
Distill On the Job Training Informal learning
Continuing education Career Lattice

44. There is much more story to tell, but this version is over
Thank you!