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Published byBrenda Anabel Ellis Modified over 6 years ago
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Merrill Lynch Global Power & Gas Leaders Conference September 19, 2002
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Chairman and Chief Executive Officer “Where Do We Go from Here?”
Lew Hay Chairman and Chief Executive Officer “Where Do We Go from Here?”
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Safe Harbor Statement: Any statements made herein about future operating results or other future events are forward-looking statements under the Safe Harbor Provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of Actual results may differ substantially from such forward-looking statements. A discussion of factors that could cause actual results or events to vary is contained in FPL Group's most recent SEC Form 10-Q. 3
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Capitalizing on Our Strengths
Premier integrated utility high growth, stable customer base Successful wholesale generation business well hedged portfolio Strong balance sheet 51% Debt to Capital, A2 / A credit rating1 Substantial cash flow to fund expansion $1.4 billion operating cash flow in 2001, net of dividends2 1 Corporate credit rating 2 Operating cash flow = recurring net income + depreciation & amortization - dividends
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Financial Discipline Well-Hedged Position EPS Contribution % 2001
Capacity % contracted: FPL 100% FPL Energy % Total FPL Group % 1 weighted average based on 2001 EPS contribution FPL Energy Florida Power & Light
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Premier Electric Utility
Favorable customer mix Strong customer and usage growth Operational excellence Proven cost management Constructive regulatory environment Attractive financial returns
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High Growth Utility With Favorable Customer Mix
3% 3% Strong demand growth1 2% avg. annual increase in customer accounts 1% avg. annual increase in usage per customer Generation 18,159 MW 900 MW incremental by end of 2003 1,900 MW more by end of 2005 3% 32% 38% 32% Residential Commercial Industrial Other 56% 33% FPL Industry Average 1 Over last 10 years
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Operational Excellence
Service Reliability Outage Time Per Customer (Min.) Plant Availability 107 FPL = 41% better than average 63 FPL Industry Average Over a Decade of O&M Reductions (Cents per Kilowatt Hour) Superior Cost Management (O&M $ per customer) Industry Average Down 40% since 1990 FPL
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FPL Residential Rates Low
Comparisons of a 1,000 kWh residential bill (as of 9/13/02)
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Constructive Regulatory Environment
Vertically integrated utility model Fuel, capacity charges directly passed through to customers “Rate certainty” through end of 2005 incentive-based agreement “win-win” revenue sharing provision no ROE limits shareholders benefit from productivity improvements No current activity on wholesale restructuring “I just don’t think there’s a sense of urgency to this.” Governor Jeb Bush
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Disciplined Wholesale Generator
Low risk approach diversified by region, fuel source well hedged portfolio emphasis on base-load assets Low cost provider modern, efficient, clean plants operational excellence Conservative, integrated asset optimization function 5,476 net-MW in operation presence in 21 states
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Diversified Portfolio
Year-end 2004 (Projected) (11,542 Net-MW in Operation) Regional Diversity Fuel Diversity Gas 59% Northeast Central 26% 37% Wind Other 21% Mid-Atlantic 2% 21% Hydro Oil Nuclear West 3% 7% 9% 15% Assumes addition of 1,000 mw of wind. Percentages may not add to 100% due to rounding
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Current Industry Environment
Challenging market environment declining/flat spark spreads overall low volatility in 2002 significant movements in 2003 forward prices limited liquidity; large bid-ask spreads counterparty credit issues uncertainty regarding SMD (e.g. NEPOOL LMP) Has lead to reduced asset optimization opportunities greater difficulty covering positions at target margins credit vs market risk trade-offs greater uncertainty regarding 2003 Large volume of assets for sale; asking prices remain unreasonably high
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Responding to Market Conditions
Undertaking complete review of all FPL Energy activities top to bottom review of all development projects minimize ongoing commitments re-size infrastructure (approximately 12% G&A reduction to date) Maintaining fundamental focus, but increasing “patience quotient” measured, disciplined approach to wind development handful of longer term (i.e ) fossil opportunities cautious receptivity to value-accretive acquisition opportunities
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Contract Coverage 1 Weighted to reflect in-service dates 2 Includes Maine hydro and fossil peaking units
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Principal Market Sensitivities
Note: Future prices could be higher or lower than indicated
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Wind Energy: Unique Advantage
More than 1,500 net MW in operation U.S. market leader with 1/3 market share Supported by policy trends (RPS, PTCs) and economics Attractive financial characteristics long-term power contracts (15 – 25 years) ROEs in the high teens/low 20s accretive in first full year Prudent development opportunities underway targeting 300 net MW this year another ,200 net MW in ‘03
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Strong Financial Position
Financial discipline Strong credit ratings A2 / A = FPL Group Capital Aa3 / A = Florida Power & Light Company 13.4% ROE in 2001 2001 net income of nearly $800 million 1 Prudent dividend policy 1 Excluding FAS 133 and a non-recurring item
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Capital Plan Supports Disciplined Growth Strategy Projected Capital Sources & Uses ($ billion) 8.9 – 9.4 Future debt issuance Wind 1.0 – 1.5 Completed equity/equity-linked issuance, benefit plans FPL Energy Seabrook 0.8 Gas 1.6 Operating cash flow less dividends Regulated utility 5.5 Sources Uses
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2002 Financial Outlook EPS guidance: $4.70 - $4.75
FPL earnings modestly higher than last year FPL Energy earnings up 10% - 15% EPS relative to last year 3rd quarter down somewhat ($ $1.78) 4th quarter up slightly ($ $0.71)
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2003 Financial Outlook Limited depth and significant price movements make 2003 forward markets of questionable reliability for forecasting Wind development profile slowed practical delays (off-taker credit issues, etc.) value vs MW As a result, much greater uncertainty in current outlook downside scenario slightly above 2002 upside $5.00 Currently reviewing all forecast assumptions Will update outlook during third quarter earnings release
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Relative Low Risk, High Return
FPL Group represents one of best combinations of risk, return and earnings growth among major electric companies High FPL Group Earnings Growth/ Return Low High Risk
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