1. VERIFICATIONS
- 78
- Rain = yes
- CLD: 3.5/10
- THUN PA = ??

2. NAM MODEL – sfc forecast
Valid at 8 p.m. YESTERDAY (00z)

4. NAM MODEL – 500mb fcst.
Valid at 8 p.m. YEST(00z)
Trough

5. 6 a.m. (10z) YESTERDAY

6. THUNDER TODAY ….. ARE YOU KIDDING ME ?!?!?!?
LIFTED INDEX
Valid 8 P.M. (00z) YEST

7. CAPE (NAM)
Valid 2 P.M. (18z)
yesterday

8. CAPE (GFS)
Valid 2 P.M. (18Z)
yesterday

9. SVR RPTS

10. Penn State Weather Camps
Basic Weather Forecasting Guidelines
Sat I – Sat II – Sat III – Sat WV - NWS - NHC – Radar - Radar
sfc. map 1 - sfc. map 2 – sfc map 3

11. Radar imagery from Slidell and Lake Charles, Louisiana along with surface synoptic data, particularly those from Calcasieu Pass Louisiana, indicate that the center of Cindy crossed the coast between Cameron Louisiana and Port Arthur Texas an hour or two ago.
The observations from Calcasieu indicate that the intensity is now around 35 kt.
Now that the center is inland, steady weakening will occur and the system should become a depression later today, and be reduced to a post-tropical remnant low tonight.
In 2-3 days, or sooner, the remnant low of Cindy should become absorbed into a frontal zone over the eastern United States.

13. The initial motion is a little faster, and is about 360/10 kt
The initial motion is a little faster, and is about 360/10 kt. Cindy should continue to move through a break in the subtropical ridge today, and gradually turn toward the northeast and east-northeast as it encounters mid-level westerly flow over the next couple of days.
The official track forecast lies between the GFS and ECMWF predictions.
Although Cindy is weakening, it will continue to produce heavy rainfall over portions of the northern Gulf Coast and the southeastern and eastern United States, along with the potential for life-threatening flash flooding in some locations

14. NAM MODEL – 4 panel fcst.
Valid at 8 p.m. (00z) TODAY

15. NAM MODEL – 4 panel fcst.
Valid at 8 p.m. (00z) TODAY
Trough
Trough

16. NAM MODEL – 4 panel fcst.
Valid at 8 p.m. (00z) TODAY

17. 6 a.m. (10z) TODAY

18. THUNDER TODAY ….. ARE YOU KIDDING ME ?!?!?!?
LIFTED INDEX
Valid 8 P.M. TODAY (00z)

19. CAPE (NAM)
Valid 8 P.M. (00z)

20. CAPE (ECMWF)
Valid 8 P.M. (00z)

21. MOS – Model Output S …
Accu Friends
Wx Channel Friends
NWS Friends
E-WALL

22. Penn State Weather Camps
Basic Weather Forecasting Guidelines
Sat I – Sat II – Sat III – Sat WV - NWS - NHC – Radar - Radar
sfc. map 1 - sfc. map 2 – sfc map 3

23. SURFACE PRESSURE ? ? ? ? ?

24. SURFACE PRESSURE

25. Warm Sector vs. Cool Sector

28. Know what to expect! = Climo.NH RH NL RL
Know what to expect! = Climo.